{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\Regional_Convergence_Krause&Zarit_12-27-2015_CONFEDERACY_SOUTH.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}27 Dec 2015, 21:18:41

{com}. do "C:\Users\mzarit\AppData\Local\Temp\STD0l000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. 
. set more off
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. tsset state_fips year, yearly
{res}{txt}{col 8}panel variable:  {res}state_fips (unbalanced)
{txt}{col 9}time variable:  {res}{col 25}year, 1942 to 2010
{txt}{col 17}delta:  {res}1 year
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. *************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *****************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.A: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010): BIVARIATE DYNAMIC PANEL ARDL(4,3)--ECM REGRESSION MODELS OF STATE REAL PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME [real_pc_inc_ann] /// 
> ///       & STATE klarnerranney INDEX FOR PARTISAN COMPETITION IN LEGISLATURE/REPRESENTATIVE ASSEMBLIES [klarnerranney] WITH TWO-WAY FIXED EFFECTS [STATE AND TIME UNIT EFFECTS]  ***
> 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,425{col 27}-17948.01{col 38}-17020.72{col 49}   124{col 58} 34289.43{col 69} 35007.84
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,425
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(123,      2301){col 67}= {res}     33.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0364315{col 34}{space 2} .0087799{col 45}{space 1}   -4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.0536488{col 75}{space 3}-.0192143
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4145356{col 34}{space 2} .4432394{col 45}{space 1}   -0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.350{col 62}{space 4}-1.283726{col 75}{space 3} .4546549
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3057422{col 34}{space 2} .0620701{col 45}{space 1}    4.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  .184023{col 75}{space 3} .4274613
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.645713{col 34}{space 2} .7883992{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-3.191761{col 75}{space 3}-.0996661
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0576346{col 34}{space 2}  .046639{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.217{col 62}{space 4}-.1490935{col 75}{space 3} .0338242
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.589229{col 34}{space 2} .6981166{col 45}{space 1}    2.28{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} .2202252{col 75}{space 3} 2.958232
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0588272{col 34}{space 2} .0420149{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.162{col 62}{space 4}-.1412182{col 75}{space 3} .0235638
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1522648{col 34}{space 2} .7070667{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.830{col 62}{space 4}-1.538819{col 75}{space 3}  1.23429
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 70.21957{col 34}{space 2}    247.2{col 45}{space 1}    0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.776{col 62}{space 4}-414.5385{col 75}{space 3} 554.9776
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-319.3377{col 34}{space 2} 307.7978{col 45}{space 1}   -1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.300{col 62}{space 4}-922.9278{col 75}{space 3} 284.2524
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.26208{col 34}{space 2}  33.4873{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.526{col 62}{space 4}-86.93051{col 75}{space 3} 44.40636
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 67.36005{col 34}{space 2} 121.9096{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-171.7042{col 75}{space 3} 306.4243
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 330.8372{col 34}{space 2}  151.173{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4} 34.38755{col 75}{space 3} 627.2868
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-604.3222{col 34}{space 2} 457.0323{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.186{col 62}{space 4}-1500.561{col 75}{space 3} 291.9161
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 821.2328{col 34}{space 2} 305.2892{col 45}{space 1}    2.69{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 222.5619{col 75}{space 3} 1419.904
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6229.442{col 34}{space 2} 1018.276{col 45}{space 1}    6.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 4232.607{col 75}{space 3} 8226.277
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-3.375427{col 34}{space 2} 18.31979{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-39.30046{col 75}{space 3}  32.5496
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16.15087{col 34}{space 2} 21.11901{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.444{col 62}{space 4}-25.26342{col 75}{space 3} 57.56516
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.20914{col 34}{space 2} 19.16697{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.292{col 62}{space 4} -17.3772{col 75}{space 3} 57.79548
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-25.35006{col 34}{space 2}  21.7937{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.245{col 62}{space 4}-68.08741{col 75}{space 3} 17.38729
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-18.98959{col 34}{space 2} 19.99985{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.342{col 62}{space 4}-58.20921{col 75}{space 3} 20.23003
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.743189{col 34}{space 2}  26.9818{col 45}{space 1}   -0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.718{col 62}{space 4}-62.65437{col 75}{space 3}   43.168
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-182.7657{col 34}{space 2} 100.2809{col 45}{space 1}   -1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.069{col 62}{space 4}-379.4162{col 75}{space 3} 13.88475
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-97.38762{col 34}{space 2} 95.87434{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.310{col 62}{space 4}-285.3968{col 75}{space 3} 90.62153
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-116.4187{col 34}{space 2} 104.1339{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.264{col 62}{space 4}-320.6249{col 75}{space 3} 87.78744
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.79776{col 34}{space 2} 113.6897{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.740{col 62}{space 4}-185.1472{col 75}{space 3} 260.7427
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-91.12759{col 34}{space 2} 102.5429{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.374{col 62}{space 4}-292.2138{col 75}{space 3} 109.9586
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-101.8392{col 34}{space 2} 116.5599{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.382{col 62}{space 4}-330.4126{col 75}{space 3} 126.7343
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-183.3995{col 34}{space 2} 104.0264{col 45}{space 1}   -1.76{col 54}{space 3}0.078{col 62}{space 4}-387.3947{col 75}{space 3} 20.59577
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-104.3699{col 34}{space 2} 97.06417{col 45}{space 1}   -1.08{col 54}{space 3}0.282{col 62}{space 4}-294.7123{col 75}{space 3} 85.97246
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.5767{col 34}{space 2} 99.27764{col 45}{space 1}   -1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.068{col 62}{space 4}-376.2597{col 75}{space 3} 13.10631
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-100.4325{col 34}{space 2} 101.4103{col 45}{space 1}   -0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.322{col 62}{space 4}-299.2977{col 75}{space 3} 98.43263
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-121.2009{col 34}{space 2} 101.3579{col 45}{space 1}   -1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-319.9633{col 75}{space 3} 77.56152
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-262.4809{col 34}{space 2}  106.388{col 45}{space 1}   -2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}-471.1072{col 75}{space 3}-53.85449
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-215.4462{col 34}{space 2} 99.35622{col 45}{space 1}   -2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-410.2833{col 75}{space 3}-20.60908
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-62.07434{col 34}{space 2} 104.5538{col 45}{space 1}   -0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.553{col 62}{space 4}-267.1038{col 75}{space 3} 142.9551
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-57.43646{col 34}{space 2} 108.8246{col 45}{space 1}   -0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.598{col 62}{space 4}-270.8409{col 75}{space 3}  155.968
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-166.2676{col 34}{space 2} 100.2643{col 45}{space 1}   -1.66{col 54}{space 3}0.097{col 62}{space 4}-362.8854{col 75}{space 3} 30.35022
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-90.65082{col 34}{space 2}  96.3904{col 45}{space 1}   -0.94{col 54}{space 3}0.347{col 62}{space 4} -279.672{col 75}{space 3} 98.37032
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-204.6877{col 34}{space 2} 99.34079{col 45}{space 1}   -2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4}-399.4946{col 75}{space 3}-9.880888
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -172.05{col 34}{space 2} 106.4347{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-380.7681{col 75}{space 3} 36.66797
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -95.2729{col 34}{space 2} 107.4572{col 45}{space 1}   -0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4} -305.996{col 75}{space 3} 115.4502
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-96.53424{col 34}{space 2}   104.57{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.356{col 62}{space 4}-301.5955{col 75}{space 3}  108.527
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.162483{col 34}{space 2}  106.231{col 45}{space 1}   -0.04{col 54}{space 3}0.969{col 62}{space 4}-212.4809{col 75}{space 3}  204.156
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-241.8512{col 34}{space 2} 101.1165{col 45}{space 1}   -2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-440.1402{col 75}{space 3}-43.56229
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-50.13653{col 34}{space 2} 105.0406{col 45}{space 1}   -0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.633{col 62}{space 4}-256.1206{col 75}{space 3} 155.8476
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-71.47795{col 34}{space 2} 125.5139{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.569{col 62}{space 4}-317.6102{col 75}{space 3} 174.6543
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-173.6373{col 34}{space 2} 97.92015{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-365.6583{col 75}{space 3} 18.38367
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -238.276{col 34}{space 2} 103.7745{col 45}{space 1}   -2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4}-441.7772{col 75}{space 3}-34.77469
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-165.4495{col 34}{space 2} 96.05145{col 45}{space 1}   -1.72{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4}-353.8059{col 75}{space 3} 22.90701
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-141.2029{col 34}{space 2}  96.8989{col 45}{space 1}   -1.46{col 54}{space 3}0.145{col 62}{space 4}-331.2212{col 75}{space 3} 48.81544
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -166.891{col 34}{space 2} 101.4223{col 45}{space 1}   -1.65{col 54}{space 3}0.100{col 62}{space 4}-365.7796{col 75}{space 3} 31.99762
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-87.55338{col 34}{space 2} 116.5558{col 45}{space 1}   -0.75{col 54}{space 3}0.453{col 62}{space 4}-316.1188{col 75}{space 3} 141.0121
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-219.8238{col 34}{space 2} 102.3357{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-420.5037{col 75}{space 3}-19.14395
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-160.4984{col 34}{space 2} 100.1518{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.109{col 62}{space 4}-356.8957{col 75}{space 3} 35.89889
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-104.6304{col 34}{space 2} 96.15429{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.277{col 62}{space 4}-293.1886{col 75}{space 3} 83.92769
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-293.2653{col 34}{space 2} 105.0065{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-499.1827{col 75}{space 3}-87.34798
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-142.2186{col 34}{space 2} 95.30174{col 45}{space 1}   -1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.136{col 62}{space 4}-329.1049{col 75}{space 3} 44.66764
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-45.16094{col 34}{space 2} 120.2285{col 45}{space 1}   -0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-280.9286{col 75}{space 3} 190.6067
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.7629{col 34}{space 2}  87.9645{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.200{col 62}{space 4}-59.73509{col 75}{space 3} 285.2609
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 493.2141{col 34}{space 2} 78.74496{col 45}{space 1}    6.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 338.7955{col 75}{space 3} 647.6326
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  113.171{col 34}{space 2} 100.7743{col 45}{space 1}    1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-84.44701{col 75}{space 3}  310.789
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 586.7969{col 34}{space 2} 94.58181{col 45}{space 1}    6.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 401.3223{col 75}{space 3} 772.2714
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   402.94{col 34}{space 2} 93.21259{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 220.1506{col 75}{space 3} 585.7295
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 481.4886{col 34}{space 2} 77.39933{col 45}{space 1}    6.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 329.7089{col 75}{space 3} 633.2683
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 363.6319{col 34}{space 2} 80.76296{col 45}{space 1}    4.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 205.2561{col 75}{space 3} 522.0077
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 126.4241{col 34}{space 2} 78.26649{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4}-27.05614{col 75}{space 3} 279.9043
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 689.0467{col 34}{space 2} 75.86192{col 45}{space 1}    9.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 540.2818{col 75}{space 3} 837.8116
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 421.0993{col 34}{space 2} 92.81082{col 45}{space 1}    4.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 239.0977{col 75}{space 3} 603.1009
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 307.3495{col 34}{space 2} 91.20546{col 45}{space 1}    3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}  128.496{col 75}{space 3}  486.203
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 286.6569{col 34}{space 2} 79.94973{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 129.8759{col 75}{space 3}  443.438
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 595.6316{col 34}{space 2} 81.51514{col 45}{space 1}    7.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 435.7807{col 75}{space 3} 755.4824
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  313.651{col 34}{space 2} 96.73635{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 123.9515{col 75}{space 3} 503.3506
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 416.5859{col 34}{space 2} 86.88971{col 45}{space 1}    4.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 246.1956{col 75}{space 3} 586.9762
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 662.0875{col 34}{space 2} 87.64652{col 45}{space 1}    7.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  490.213{col 75}{space 3} 833.9619
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  416.569{col 34}{space 2} 84.85249{col 45}{space 1}    4.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 250.1737{col 75}{space 3} 582.9644
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 611.4042{col 34}{space 2} 84.27495{col 45}{space 1}    7.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 446.1414{col 75}{space 3}  776.667
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 718.3768{col 34}{space 2} 89.04849{col 45}{space 1}    8.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 543.7531{col 75}{space 3} 893.0005
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 656.2616{col 34}{space 2} 91.75028{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.3397{col 75}{space 3} 836.1835
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 593.2493{col 34}{space 2}  83.5936{col 45}{space 1}    7.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 429.3227{col 75}{space 3}  757.176
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 690.8663{col 34}{space 2} 85.57815{col 45}{space 1}    8.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 523.0479{col 75}{space 3} 858.6846
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 683.8922{col 34}{space 2} 90.14829{col 45}{space 1}    7.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 507.1118{col 75}{space 3} 860.6725
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  496.558{col 34}{space 2} 88.97668{col 45}{space 1}    5.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 322.0751{col 75}{space 3} 671.0408
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 648.9655{col 34}{space 2} 77.97791{col 45}{space 1}    8.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 496.0512{col 75}{space 3} 801.8798
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 967.9608{col 34}{space 2} 86.58032{col 45}{space 1}   11.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 798.1772{col 75}{space 3} 1137.744
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 983.3312{col 34}{space 2} 130.5138{col 45}{space 1}    7.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 727.3942{col 75}{space 3} 1239.268
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 221.1546{col 34}{space 2} 89.88211{col 45}{space 1}    2.46{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 44.89614{col 75}{space 3}  397.413
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 496.8465{col 34}{space 2} 100.1274{col 45}{space 1}    4.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 300.4971{col 75}{space 3}  693.196
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 799.2117{col 34}{space 2} 91.84723{col 45}{space 1}    8.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 619.0997{col 75}{space 3} 979.3237
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 558.9191{col 34}{space 2} 123.2897{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 317.1485{col 75}{space 3} 800.6897
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 821.8724{col 34}{space 2} 107.8048{col 45}{space 1}    7.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 610.4676{col 75}{space 3} 1033.277
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 328.2766{col 34}{space 2} 89.39094{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 152.9814{col 75}{space 3} 503.5719
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 151.0074{col 34}{space 2} 94.43908{col 45}{space 1}    1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.110{col 62}{space 4} -34.1872{col 75}{space 3}  336.202
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 633.9418{col 34}{space 2} 84.45752{col 45}{space 1}    7.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 468.3209{col 75}{space 3} 799.5626
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 485.3164{col 34}{space 2} 102.1933{col 45}{space 1}    4.75{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 284.9158{col 75}{space 3} 685.7171
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 636.9608{col 34}{space 2}  103.003{col 45}{space 1}    6.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 434.9723{col 75}{space 3} 838.9493
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 973.0097{col 34}{space 2}  91.8272{col 45}{space 1}   10.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  792.937{col 75}{space 3} 1153.082
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 643.3469{col 34}{space 2} 98.00595{col 45}{space 1}    6.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 451.1576{col 75}{space 3} 835.5361
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 817.4465{col 34}{space 2} 87.19445{col 45}{space 1}    9.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 646.4586{col 75}{space 3} 988.4345
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  657.866{col 34}{space 2} 89.04394{col 45}{space 1}    7.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 483.2512{col 75}{space 3} 832.4808
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 810.4037{col 34}{space 2} 101.3237{col 45}{space 1}    8.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 611.7084{col 75}{space 3} 1009.099
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 802.9925{col 34}{space 2} 100.2382{col 45}{space 1}    8.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 606.4257{col 75}{space 3} 999.5592
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 461.8042{col 34}{space 2}  102.993{col 45}{space 1}    4.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 259.8354{col 75}{space 3} 663.7731
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 422.0442{col 34}{space 2} 95.06603{col 45}{space 1}    4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 235.6201{col 75}{space 3} 608.4683
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  896.054{col 34}{space 2} 94.49722{col 45}{space 1}    9.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 710.7453{col 75}{space 3} 1081.363
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 476.5041{col 34}{space 2} 110.0458{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 260.7048{col 75}{space 3} 692.3035
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 800.4744{col 34}{space 2} 103.1222{col 45}{space 1}    7.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 598.2522{col 75}{space 3} 1002.697
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 648.8911{col 34}{space 2} 103.6179{col 45}{space 1}    6.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  445.697{col 75}{space 3} 852.0853
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  840.538{col 34}{space 2} 106.4525{col 45}{space 1}    7.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 631.7852{col 75}{space 3} 1049.291
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 858.2136{col 34}{space 2} 105.0438{col 45}{space 1}    8.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 652.2232{col 75}{space 3} 1064.204
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.059{col 34}{space 2} 108.6916{col 45}{space 1}   11.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1005.915{col 75}{space 3} 1432.203
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 693.6734{col 34}{space 2} 116.4417{col 45}{space 1}    5.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 465.3317{col 75}{space 3} 922.0151
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1187.21{col 34}{space 2} 107.6052{col 45}{space 1}   11.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 976.1962{col 75}{space 3} 1398.223
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  646.935{col 34}{space 2} 123.2916{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 405.1607{col 75}{space 3} 888.7094
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 631.5908{col 34}{space 2} 116.2595{col 45}{space 1}    5.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 403.6065{col 75}{space 3} 859.5751
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 780.6068{col 34}{space 2} 114.5974{col 45}{space 1}    6.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 555.8819{col 75}{space 3} 1005.332
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1041.17{col 34}{space 2} 125.7933{col 45}{space 1}    8.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 794.4899{col 75}{space 3}  1287.85
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 685.4185{col 34}{space 2}  131.866{col 45}{space 1}    5.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 426.8298{col 75}{space 3} 944.0072
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1198.525{col 34}{space 2} 137.1929{col 45}{space 1}    8.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   929.49{col 75}{space 3} 1467.559
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  888.337{col 34}{space 2} 128.4807{col 45}{space 1}    6.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  636.387{col 75}{space 3} 1140.287
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  757.144{col 34}{space 2} 144.7787{col 45}{space 1}    5.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 473.2336{col 75}{space 3} 1041.054
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-86.97176{col 34}{space 2} 137.5013{col 45}{space 1}   -0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.527{col 62}{space 4}-356.6113{col 75}{space 3} 182.6678
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1132.869{col 34}{space 2}  122.118{col 45}{space 1}    9.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 893.3961{col 75}{space 3} 1372.342
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-732.9882{col 34}{space 2} 297.8673{col 45}{space 1}   -2.46{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4}-1317.105{col 75}{space 3}-148.8718
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(914 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2301) ={res}   17.22
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2301) ={res}    8.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2087495{col 26}{space 2} 1.163713{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.858{col 54}{space 4}-2.490785{col 67}{space 3} 2.073286
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-11.37848{col 26}{space 2} 11.94227{col 37}{space 1}   -0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.341{col 54}{space 4} -34.7849{col 67}{space 3} 12.02794
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     2,388{col 27}-8960.643{col 38} -8657.83{col 49}   119{col 58} 17553.66{col 69} 18241.27
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     2,388
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F(118,      2269){col 67}= {res}      3.39
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.137592{col 29}{space 2} .0165743{col 40}{space 1}   -8.30{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.1700943{col 70}{space 3}-.1050897
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0001264{col 29}{space 2} .0002261{col 40}{space 1}   -0.56{col 49}{space 3}0.576{col 57}{space 4}-.0005699{col 70}{space 3} .0003171
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0479009{col 29}{space 2} .0134158{col 40}{space 1}    3.57{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0215925{col 70}{space 3} .0742094
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0019237{col 29}{space 2}  .000759{col 40}{space 1}   -2.53{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-.0034121{col 70}{space 3}-.0004353
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2289073{col 29}{space 2} .0382015{col 40}{space 1}   -5.99{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3038208{col 70}{space 3}-.1539937
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0002676{col 29}{space 2} .0007886{col 40}{space 1}   -0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.734{col 57}{space 4} -.001814{col 70}{space 3} .0012788
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0229044{col 29}{space 2} .0097341{col 40}{space 1}    2.35{col 49}{space 3}0.019{col 57}{space 4} .0038158{col 70}{space 3} .0419931
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0002643{col 29}{space 2} .0008628{col 40}{space 1}    0.31{col 49}{space 3}0.759{col 57}{space 4}-.0014276{col 70}{space 3} .0019563
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0986395{col 29}{space 2} .0349888{col 40}{space 1}   -2.82{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-.1672529{col 70}{space 3}-.0300261
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  -.00072{col 29}{space 2}  .000946{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.447{col 57}{space 4}-.0025751{col 70}{space 3} .0011351
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3605423{col 29}{space 2} .6184203{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.560{col 57}{space 4}-.8521861{col 70}{space 3} 1.573271
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5511062{col 29}{space 2} .4532654{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.224{col 57}{space 4}-1.439964{col 70}{space 3} .3377517
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.059526{col 29}{space 2} .9385301{col 40}{space 1}    1.13{col 49}{space 3}0.259{col 57}{space 4}-.7809413{col 70}{space 3} 2.899993
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4788454{col 29}{space 2} .6073186{col 40}{space 1}   -0.79{col 49}{space 3}0.431{col 57}{space 4}-1.669803{col 70}{space 3} .7121125
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.809356{col 29}{space 2} .8235914{col 40}{space 1}    2.20{col 49}{space 3}0.028{col 57}{space 4} .1942853{col 70}{space 3} 3.424427
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.775462{col 29}{space 2} .5503547{col 40}{space 1}   -3.23{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-2.854713{col 70}{space 3}-.6962106
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1088231{col 29}{space 2}  .818981{col 40}{space 1}    0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.894{col 57}{space 4}-1.497207{col 70}{space 3} 1.714853
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.575942{col 29}{space 2} 3.330247{col 40}{space 1}   -1.07{col 49}{space 3}0.283{col 57}{space 4}-10.10659{col 70}{space 3} 2.954706
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.044523{col 29}{space 2} 2.053677{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.320{col 57}{space 4}-6.071804{col 70}{space 3} 1.982758
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.226748{col 29}{space 2} 1.723209{col 40}{space 1}   -0.71{col 49}{space 3}0.477{col 57}{space 4}-4.605979{col 70}{space 3} 2.152483
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3946487{col 29}{space 2}  1.87045{col 40}{space 1}   -0.21{col 49}{space 3}0.833{col 57}{space 4} -4.06262{col 70}{space 3} 3.273323
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.269111{col 29}{space 2} 1.824762{col 40}{space 1}   -0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.487{col 57}{space 4}-4.847488{col 70}{space 3} 2.309265
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3728548{col 29}{space 2} 1.858804{col 40}{space 1}   -0.20{col 49}{space 3}0.841{col 57}{space 4}-4.017988{col 70}{space 3} 3.272279
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.814942{col 29}{space 2}  2.12012{col 40}{space 1}   -3.69{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-11.97252{col 70}{space 3}-3.657366
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.647775{col 29}{space 2} 2.549302{col 40}{space 1}   -1.82{col 49}{space 3}0.068{col 57}{space 4}-9.646982{col 70}{space 3} .3514321
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3751102{col 29}{space 2} 1.670588{col 40}{space 1}    0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.822{col 57}{space 4}-2.900929{col 70}{space 3} 3.651149
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.278291{col 29}{space 2} 2.016105{col 40}{space 1}   -0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.526{col 57}{space 4}-5.231893{col 70}{space 3} 2.675311
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.435567{col 29}{space 2} 2.076758{col 40}{space 1}   -0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.489{col 57}{space 4} -5.50811{col 70}{space 3} 2.636976
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.99685{col 29}{space 2} 2.091529{col 40}{space 1}   -1.43{col 49}{space 3}0.152{col 57}{space 4}-7.098359{col 70}{space 3} 1.104658
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.70818{col 29}{space 2} 2.662236{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.164{col 57}{space 4}-8.928852{col 70}{space 3} 1.512492
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.072736{col 29}{space 2} 2.262828{col 40}{space 1}   -0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.635{col 57}{space 4}-5.510165{col 70}{space 3} 3.364692
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -6.07664{col 29}{space 2} 2.200964{col 40}{space 1}   -2.76{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4}-10.39275{col 70}{space 3}-1.760528
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.002296{col 29}{space 2}  2.15914{col 40}{space 1}   -2.32{col 49}{space 3}0.021{col 57}{space 4}-9.236391{col 70}{space 3}-.7682016
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2904377{col 29}{space 2}  2.01968{col 40}{space 1}   -0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.886{col 57}{space 4} -4.25105{col 70}{space 3} 3.670174
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.223558{col 29}{space 2} 2.090041{col 40}{space 1}   -0.59{col 49}{space 3}0.558{col 57}{space 4}-5.322149{col 70}{space 3} 2.875033
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.54852{col 29}{space 2} 2.087462{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.222{col 57}{space 4}-6.642055{col 70}{space 3} 1.545014
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1494564{col 29}{space 2} 2.077579{col 40}{space 1}   -0.07{col 49}{space 3}0.943{col 57}{space 4}-4.223611{col 70}{space 3} 3.924698
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2940129{col 29}{space 2} 2.254141{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.896{col 57}{space 4}-4.714406{col 70}{space 3} 4.126381
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.105077{col 29}{space 2} 1.916916{col 40}{space 1}   -1.62{col 49}{space 3}0.105{col 57}{space 4}-6.864169{col 70}{space 3} .6540153
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9226642{col 29}{space 2}  1.87061{col 40}{space 1}   -0.49{col 49}{space 3}0.622{col 57}{space 4}-4.590949{col 70}{space 3} 2.745621
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.161346{col 29}{space 2} 2.567621{col 40}{space 1}   -1.23{col 49}{space 3}0.218{col 57}{space 4}-8.196477{col 70}{space 3} 1.873785
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4846769{col 29}{space 2} 1.616171{col 40}{space 1}    0.30{col 49}{space 3}0.764{col 57}{space 4}-2.684651{col 70}{space 3} 3.654005
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.654961{col 29}{space 2} 2.696908{col 40}{space 1}   -1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.175{col 57}{space 4}-8.943624{col 70}{space 3} 1.633703
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.536612{col 29}{space 2} 2.079665{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.460{col 57}{space 4}-5.614856{col 70}{space 3} 2.541631
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.84471{col 29}{space 2} 2.490884{col 40}{space 1}   -1.94{col 49}{space 3}0.052{col 57}{space 4}-9.729357{col 70}{space 3} .0399383
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4845337{col 29}{space 2} 2.129712{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.820{col 57}{space 4}-4.660921{col 70}{space 3} 3.691854
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2139499{col 29}{space 2} 1.818967{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.906{col 57}{space 4}-3.353064{col 70}{space 3} 3.780963
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.863952{col 29}{space 2} 2.366038{col 40}{space 1}   -2.48{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4}-10.50378{col 70}{space 3}-1.224127
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.052472{col 29}{space 2} 2.431092{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4}-8.819867{col 70}{space 3} .7149234
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.341673{col 29}{space 2} 2.639916{col 40}{space 1}   -1.27{col 49}{space 3}0.206{col 57}{space 4}-8.518575{col 70}{space 3}  1.83523
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.654112{col 29}{space 2} 2.210203{col 40}{space 1}   -1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.230{col 57}{space 4}-6.988342{col 70}{space 3} 1.680118
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   .05972{col 29}{space 2} 2.048834{col 40}{space 1}    0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.977{col 57}{space 4}-3.958063{col 70}{space 3} 4.077503
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.150748{col 29}{space 2} 2.573365{col 40}{space 1}   -2.39{col 49}{space 3}0.017{col 57}{space 4}-11.19714{col 70}{space 3}-1.104354
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4984865{col 29}{space 2}  1.99722{col 40}{space 1}   -0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.803{col 57}{space 4}-4.415056{col 70}{space 3} 3.418083
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.340801{col 29}{space 2} 1.978765{col 40}{space 1}   -1.69{col 49}{space 3}0.091{col 57}{space 4}-7.221178{col 70}{space 3} .5395765
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.267046{col 29}{space 2}  2.74215{col 40}{space 1}    2.65{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4} 1.889663{col 70}{space 3} 12.64443
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.96063{col 29}{space 2} 4.994522{col 40}{space 1}    4.40{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 12.16632{col 70}{space 3} 31.75494
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.850671{col 29}{space 2} 3.170925{col 40}{space 1}    2.79{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 2.632455{col 70}{space 3} 15.06889
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.905439{col 29}{space 2} 3.269823{col 40}{space 1}    2.11{col 49}{space 3}0.035{col 57}{space 4} .4932829{col 70}{space 3}  13.3176
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.308477{col 29}{space 2} 3.000974{col 40}{space 1}    2.77{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 2.423537{col 70}{space 3} 14.19342
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.673419{col 29}{space 2} 3.854465{col 40}{space 1}    1.73{col 49}{space 3}0.084{col 57}{space 4}-.8852248{col 70}{space 3} 14.23206
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  8.17183{col 29}{space 2} 2.998335{col 40}{space 1}    2.73{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 2.292066{col 70}{space 3}  14.0516
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.60128{col 29}{space 2} 3.860338{col 40}{space 1}    3.78{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.031114{col 70}{space 3} 22.17144
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.816914{col 29}{space 2} 3.089525{col 40}{space 1}    3.18{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.758324{col 70}{space 3}  15.8755
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.84983{col 29}{space 2} 4.058861{col 40}{space 1}    3.66{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.890363{col 70}{space 3}  22.8093
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.66762{col 29}{space 2}  3.10503{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.578624{col 70}{space 3} 16.75661
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.06529{col 29}{space 2} 4.308696{col 40}{space 1}    3.03{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.615894{col 70}{space 3} 21.51469
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.71093{col 29}{space 2} 3.153473{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.526942{col 70}{space 3} 16.89493
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.44129{col 29}{space 2} 3.821945{col 40}{space 1}    2.73{col 49}{space 3}0.006{col 57}{space 4} 2.946423{col 70}{space 3} 17.93617
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.31113{col 29}{space 2} 3.106256{col 40}{space 1}    3.64{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.219727{col 70}{space 3} 17.40252
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  11.1501{col 29}{space 2} 3.405304{col 40}{space 1}    3.27{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.472263{col 70}{space 3} 17.82793
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.23515{col 29}{space 2} 3.167356{col 40}{space 1}    3.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.023935{col 70}{space 3} 17.44637
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.17528{col 29}{space 2} 3.887873{col 40}{space 1}    3.39{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.551127{col 70}{space 3} 20.79944
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.19783{col 29}{space 2} 3.217117{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.889027{col 70}{space 3} 17.50663
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.51992{col 29}{space 2} 4.848551{col 40}{space 1}    2.99{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 5.011866{col 70}{space 3} 24.02798
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.96808{col 29}{space 2} 3.239107{col 40}{space 1}    3.69{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.616156{col 70}{space 3}    18.32
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.81683{col 29}{space 2}  3.69713{col 40}{space 1}    3.20{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.566724{col 70}{space 3} 19.06694
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.85318{col 29}{space 2}  3.10494{col 40}{space 1}    3.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 4.764366{col 70}{space 3}   16.942
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.27001{col 29}{space 2} 3.614039{col 40}{space 1}    4.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.182842{col 70}{space 3} 23.35718
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.29384{col 29}{space 2} 3.372589{col 40}{space 1}    3.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.680157{col 70}{space 3} 19.90752
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.26671{col 29}{space 2} 3.851862{col 40}{space 1}    3.44{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.713173{col 70}{space 3} 20.82025
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.47626{col 29}{space 2} 3.417204{col 40}{space 1}    3.07{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.775092{col 70}{space 3} 17.17743
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.069368{col 29}{space 2} 4.323324{col 40}{space 1}    1.87{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-.4087132{col 70}{space 3} 16.54745
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.22699{col 29}{space 2} 3.397274{col 40}{space 1}    3.60{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.564906{col 70}{space 3} 18.88908
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.07118{col 29}{space 2} 3.901449{col 40}{space 1}    2.58{col 49}{space 3}0.010{col 57}{space 4} 2.420399{col 70}{space 3} 17.72196
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.25353{col 29}{space 2} 3.394305{col 40}{space 1}    3.61{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.597268{col 70}{space 3}  18.9098
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.00063{col 29}{space 2} 3.661514{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.820359{col 70}{space 3} 19.18089
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.27897{col 29}{space 2} 3.315391{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.777458{col 70}{space 3} 17.78049
{txt}{space 10}1981  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.87105{col 29}{space 2} 3.703945{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.607578{col 70}{space 3} 20.13452
{txt}{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.94273{col 29}{space 2} 3.435626{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.205433{col 70}{space 3} 18.68003
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.26633{col 29}{space 2} 3.786578{col 40}{space 1}    2.98{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} 3.840808{col 70}{space 3} 18.69184
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.77977{col 29}{space 2} 3.400747{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.110872{col 70}{space 3} 19.44867
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.86014{col 29}{space 2} 3.687852{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.628219{col 70}{space 3} 21.09205
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.86142{col 29}{space 2} 3.371503{col 40}{space 1}    3.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.249873{col 70}{space 3} 19.47298
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  15.2214{col 29}{space 2} 3.529464{col 40}{space 1}    4.31{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.300088{col 70}{space 3} 22.14272
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.86013{col 29}{space 2} 3.412542{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.168106{col 70}{space 3} 19.55216
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.18743{col 29}{space 2} 3.651394{col 40}{space 1}    3.89{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  7.02701{col 70}{space 3} 21.34785
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.45399{col 29}{space 2} 3.436863{col 40}{space 1}    3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.714264{col 70}{space 3} 19.19371
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.12644{col 29}{space 2} 3.749618{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.773407{col 70}{space 3} 21.47948
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.8808{col 29}{space 2} 3.568227{col 40}{space 1}    3.61{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.883473{col 70}{space 3} 19.87813
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.93534{col 29}{space 2} 3.861247{col 40}{space 1}    3.35{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.363392{col 70}{space 3} 20.50728
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.29051{col 29}{space 2} 3.586531{col 40}{space 1}    3.71{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.257289{col 70}{space 3} 20.32374
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.59727{col 29}{space 2} 4.167854{col 40}{space 1}    2.78{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 3.424067{col 70}{space 3} 19.77048
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.38746{col 29}{space 2}  3.58392{col 40}{space 1}    3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.359354{col 70}{space 3} 20.41556
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  12.0848{col 29}{space 2} 3.912334{col 40}{space 1}    3.09{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.412671{col 70}{space 3} 19.75692
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.98931{col 29}{space 2} 3.716858{col 40}{space 1}    3.76{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.700516{col 70}{space 3} 21.27811
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.39643{col 29}{space 2} 3.871781{col 40}{space 1}    3.46{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.803828{col 70}{space 3} 20.98903
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  14.4209{col 29}{space 2} 3.784754{col 40}{space 1}    3.81{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.998965{col 70}{space 3} 21.84284
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.3779{col 29}{space 2} 3.978476{col 40}{space 1}    3.36{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.576072{col 70}{space 3} 21.17974
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.3709{col 29}{space 2} 3.845819{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.829207{col 70}{space 3} 20.91259
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.57914{col 29}{space 2} 4.022276{col 40}{space 1}    3.13{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}  4.69142{col 70}{space 3} 20.46687
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.73539{col 29}{space 2} 3.954172{col 40}{space 1}    3.47{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.981215{col 70}{space 3} 21.48956
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.51015{col 29}{space 2} 4.097502{col 40}{space 1}    3.05{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.474905{col 70}{space 3} 20.54539
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.85874{col 29}{space 2} 3.982631{col 40}{space 1}    3.48{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.048762{col 70}{space 3} 21.66872
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.39107{col 29}{space 2} 4.196857{col 40}{space 1}    3.19{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.160994{col 70}{space 3} 21.62115
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.11525{col 29}{space 2} 4.056347{col 40}{space 1}    3.23{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  5.16071{col 70}{space 3} 21.06979
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.326075{col 29}{space 2} 4.136227{col 40}{space 1}    2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4} .2148922{col 70}{space 3} 16.43726
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.048323{col 29}{space 2} 4.718607{col 40}{space 1}    1.71{col 49}{space 3}0.088{col 57}{space 4}-1.204914{col 70}{space 3} 17.30156
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.379033{col 29}{space 2} 4.313075{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.749{col 57}{space 4}-7.078949{col 70}{space 3} 9.837016
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(951 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  2269) ={res}   68.92
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  2269) ={res}   34.47
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.002647{col 26}{space 2} .0013919{col 37}{space 1}   -1.90{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.0053766{col 67}{space 3} .0000826
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009185{col 26}{space 2} .0016421{col 37}{space 1}   -0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.576{col 54}{space 4}-.0041369{col 67}{space 3}    .0023
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.B: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 -1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,250{col 27} -9226.52{col 38}-8733.308{col 49}    95{col 58} 17656.62{col 69} 18144.05
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,250
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 94,      1155){col 67}= {res}     21.93
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2102484{col 34}{space 2} .0392908{col 45}{space 1}   -5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2873378{col 75}{space 3}-.1331591
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.155505{col 34}{space 2} .6680897{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-2.466311{col 75}{space 3} .1553002
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3634414{col 34}{space 2} .1074246{col 45}{space 1}    3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1526722{col 75}{space 3} .5742106
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.692851{col 34}{space 2} .9081735{col 45}{space 1}   -1.86{col 54}{space 3}0.063{col 62}{space 4}-3.474706{col 75}{space 3} .0890036
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0639549{col 34}{space 2} .0706038{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.365{col 62}{space 4}-.2024809{col 75}{space 3} .0745711
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.365135{col 34}{space 2} .9571813{col 45}{space 1}    2.47{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} .4871263{col 75}{space 3} 4.243144
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.021964{col 34}{space 2} .0597927{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.713{col 62}{space 4}-.1392785{col 75}{space 3} .0953504
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1603115{col 34}{space 2} .8807057{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.856{col 62}{space 4}-1.888274{col 75}{space 3} 1.567651
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0646134{col 34}{space 2} .0479819{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-.0295281{col 75}{space 3} .1587549
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .8603252{col 34}{space 2} .8533842{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.314{col 62}{space 4}-.8140316{col 75}{space 3} 2.534682
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-163.8181{col 34}{space 2} 199.3692{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.411{col 62}{space 4}-554.9844{col 75}{space 3} 227.3483
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-85.70036{col 34}{space 2}  303.293{col 45}{space 1}   -0.28{col 54}{space 3}0.778{col 62}{space 4}-680.7673{col 75}{space 3} 509.3665
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 6.261296{col 34}{space 2} 70.45291{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.929{col 62}{space 4}-131.9687{col 75}{space 3} 144.4913
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 178.8202{col 34}{space 2} 193.1121{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.355{col 62}{space 4}-200.0697{col 75}{space 3} 557.7101
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 223.6869{col 34}{space 2} 222.9455{col 45}{space 1}    1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.316{col 62}{space 4}-213.7367{col 75}{space 3} 661.1105
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 399.2184{col 34}{space 2} 634.6494{col 45}{space 1}    0.63{col 54}{space 3}0.529{col 62}{space 4}-845.9765{col 75}{space 3} 1644.413
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  599.532{col 34}{space 2} 573.5132{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.296{col 62}{space 4}-525.7125{col 75}{space 3} 1724.776
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5246.986{col 34}{space 2} 1450.974{col 45}{space 1}    3.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 2400.146{col 75}{space 3} 8093.825
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 42.64286{col 34}{space 2} 29.04057{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.142{col 62}{space 4}-14.33532{col 75}{space 3} 99.62104
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-19.30117{col 34}{space 2} 30.88472{col 45}{space 1}   -0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.532{col 62}{space 4} -79.8976{col 75}{space 3} 41.29526
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-22.01443{col 34}{space 2} 31.78276{col 45}{space 1}   -0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.489{col 62}{space 4}-84.37284{col 75}{space 3} 40.34398
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 10.36035{col 34}{space 2} 32.79809{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.752{col 62}{space 4}-53.99015{col 75}{space 3} 74.71086
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.31427{col 34}{space 2}  29.8187{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.655{col 62}{space 4}-71.81915{col 75}{space 3}  45.1906
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-51.15509{col 34}{space 2} 39.53759{col 45}{space 1}   -1.29{col 54}{space 3}0.196{col 62}{space 4}-128.7286{col 75}{space 3} 26.41844
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1224.058{col 34}{space 2} 340.4355{col 45}{space 1}   -3.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}    -1892{col 75}{space 3}-556.1172
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-687.9163{col 34}{space 2} 286.5184{col 45}{space 1}   -2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-1250.071{col 75}{space 3}-125.7614
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1041.288{col 34}{space 2} 324.8963{col 45}{space 1}   -3.20{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1678.741{col 75}{space 3}-403.8344
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-620.9278{col 34}{space 2} 286.0055{col 45}{space 1}   -2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-1182.076{col 75}{space 3}-59.77924
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-717.1564{col 34}{space 2} 288.0191{col 45}{space 1}   -2.49{col 54}{space 3}0.013{col 62}{space 4}-1282.256{col 75}{space 3}-152.0571
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-663.2723{col 34}{space 2} 292.6984{col 45}{space 1}   -2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4}-1237.552{col 75}{space 3}-88.99213
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1267.149{col 34}{space 2} 352.9806{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1959.704{col 75}{space 3} -574.594
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-773.5818{col 34}{space 2} 290.9171{col 45}{space 1}   -2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4}-1344.367{col 75}{space 3}-202.7966
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1103.603{col 34}{space 2} 321.0696{col 45}{space 1}   -3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1733.548{col 75}{space 3}-473.6584
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1107.041{col 34}{space 2} 339.5942{col 45}{space 1}   -3.26{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1773.331{col 75}{space 3}-440.7499
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1134.383{col 34}{space 2} 334.6088{col 45}{space 1}   -3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1790.892{col 75}{space 3}-477.8734
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1529.357{col 34}{space 2}  381.077{col 45}{space 1}   -4.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2277.037{col 75}{space 3}-781.6759
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1439.368{col 34}{space 2} 357.5809{col 45}{space 1}   -4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2140.949{col 75}{space 3}-737.7872
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-920.3444{col 34}{space 2} 308.4581{col 45}{space 1}   -2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1525.545{col 75}{space 3}-315.1434
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-952.7121{col 34}{space 2}  307.901{col 45}{space 1}   -3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} -1556.82{col 75}{space 3}-348.6042
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-927.7542{col 34}{space 2} 302.2114{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-1520.699{col 75}{space 3}-334.8094
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1064.667{col 34}{space 2} 325.0199{col 45}{space 1}   -3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1702.363{col 75}{space 3}-426.9717
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1187.725{col 34}{space 2} 335.2186{col 45}{space 1}   -3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -1845.43{col 75}{space 3}-530.0189
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1145.061{col 34}{space 2} 340.0843{col 45}{space 1}   -3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1812.313{col 75}{space 3}-477.8085
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-646.0855{col 34}{space 2} 290.8732{col 45}{space 1}   -2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4}-1216.785{col 75}{space 3}-75.38641
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1154.731{col 34}{space 2} 329.6053{col 45}{space 1}   -3.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1801.423{col 75}{space 3}-508.0389
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-746.8618{col 34}{space 2} 290.2515{col 45}{space 1}   -2.57{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-1316.341{col 75}{space 3}-177.3826
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1438.982{col 34}{space 2} 366.9819{col 45}{space 1}   -3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2159.008{col 75}{space 3}-718.9564
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-731.7862{col 34}{space 2} 287.6059{col 45}{space 1}   -2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-1296.075{col 75}{space 3}-167.4976
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1281.317{col 34}{space 2}  395.881{col 45}{space 1}   -3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2058.043{col 75}{space 3}-504.5903
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1019.316{col 34}{space 2} 311.5415{col 45}{space 1}   -3.27{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1630.566{col 75}{space 3}-408.0649
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1414.759{col 34}{space 2} 369.7358{col 45}{space 1}   -3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2140.188{col 75}{space 3}-689.3302
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1044.04{col 34}{space 2} 313.3212{col 45}{space 1}   -3.33{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1658.782{col 75}{space 3}-429.2971
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1048.667{col 34}{space 2} 313.7873{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1664.324{col 75}{space 3}-433.0098
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1133.879{col 34}{space 2} 324.6663{col 45}{space 1}   -3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-1770.881{col 75}{space 3} -496.877
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1329.919{col 34}{space 2}  393.812{col 45}{space 1}   -3.38{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-2102.586{col 75}{space 3}-557.2519
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1337.464{col 34}{space 2} 350.7067{col 45}{space 1}   -3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2025.558{col 75}{space 3}-649.3707
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1374.609{col 34}{space 2} 355.5639{col 45}{space 1}   -3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2072.232{col 75}{space 3} -676.985
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-910.4466{col 34}{space 2} 302.9428{col 45}{space 1}   -3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-1504.826{col 75}{space 3}-316.0668
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1551.838{col 34}{space 2} 375.2692{col 45}{space 1}   -4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-2288.124{col 75}{space 3}-815.5523
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1081.486{col 34}{space 2} 321.5188{col 45}{space 1}   -3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-1712.312{col 75}{space 3}-450.6594
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-913.7133{col 34}{space 2} 327.4342{col 45}{space 1}   -2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-1556.146{col 75}{space 3}-271.2809
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 343.6962{col 34}{space 2}  88.0849{col 45}{space 1}    3.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 170.8718{col 75}{space 3} 516.5205
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-21.34236{col 34}{space 2} 148.3207{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.886{col 62}{space 4}-312.3505{col 75}{space 3} 269.6658
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 497.8761{col 34}{space 2} 146.0751{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 211.2739{col 75}{space 3} 784.4783
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 320.9274{col 34}{space 2} 155.7829{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} 15.27822{col 75}{space 3} 626.5766
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  417.097{col 34}{space 2} 118.2808{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 185.0277{col 75}{space 3} 649.1663
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 363.8694{col 34}{space 2} 125.6029{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 117.4341{col 75}{space 3} 610.3048
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.9112{col 34}{space 2} 122.5933{col 45}{space 1}    1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.286{col 62}{space 4}-109.6193{col 75}{space 3} 371.4417
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 696.6842{col 34}{space 2} 105.8926{col 45}{space 1}    6.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 488.9207{col 75}{space 3} 904.4476
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.8756{col 34}{space 2} 153.6162{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 146.4776{col 75}{space 3} 749.2737
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 412.8414{col 34}{space 2} 141.4435{col 45}{space 1}    2.92{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 135.3264{col 75}{space 3} 690.3564
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.5443{col 34}{space 2} 118.6153{col 45}{space 1}    3.36{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 165.8187{col 75}{space 3} 631.2698
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 673.5412{col 34}{space 2} 106.7688{col 45}{space 1}    6.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 464.0587{col 75}{space 3} 883.0238
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 436.2765{col 34}{space 2} 156.0817{col 45}{space 1}    2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 130.0411{col 75}{space 3} 742.5118
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  575.647{col 34}{space 2} 139.9928{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 300.9784{col 75}{space 3} 850.3156
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  854.599{col 34}{space 2} 142.9834{col 45}{space 1}    5.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 574.0627{col 75}{space 3} 1135.135
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 588.7263{col 34}{space 2} 156.1903{col 45}{space 1}    3.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 282.2778{col 75}{space 3} 895.1747
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.9374{col 34}{space 2} 146.4436{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 556.6122{col 75}{space 3} 1131.263
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 985.4163{col 34}{space 2} 173.3329{col 45}{space 1}    5.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 645.3338{col 75}{space 3} 1325.499
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 963.5899{col 34}{space 2} 180.1387{col 45}{space 1}    5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 610.1542{col 75}{space 3} 1317.026
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1002.235{col 34}{space 2} 178.0228{col 45}{space 1}    5.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 652.9511{col 75}{space 3}  1351.52
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1137.759{col 34}{space 2} 182.1095{col 45}{space 1}    6.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 780.4566{col 75}{space 3} 1495.062
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1165.344{col 34}{space 2} 200.7235{col 45}{space 1}    5.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 771.5207{col 75}{space 3} 1559.168
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1042.423{col 34}{space 2} 208.2927{col 45}{space 1}    5.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 633.7481{col 75}{space 3} 1451.097
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1240.207{col 34}{space 2} 201.5737{col 45}{space 1}    6.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 844.7153{col 75}{space 3} 1635.699
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1567.77{col 34}{space 2} 224.2277{col 45}{space 1}    6.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1127.831{col 75}{space 3} 2007.709
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1668.332{col 34}{space 2} 280.8385{col 45}{space 1}    5.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1117.321{col 75}{space 3} 2219.343
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1012.916{col 34}{space 2} 244.3171{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 533.5614{col 75}{space 3} 1492.272
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1318.102{col 34}{space 2} 190.5276{col 45}{space 1}    6.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 944.2831{col 75}{space 3} 1691.921
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1556.977{col 34}{space 2} 220.0139{col 45}{space 1}    7.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1125.306{col 75}{space 3} 1988.649
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1398.857{col 34}{space 2} 287.6997{col 45}{space 1}    4.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 834.3843{col 75}{space 3} 1963.329
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1748.885{col 34}{space 2} 294.8861{col 45}{space 1}    5.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1170.313{col 75}{space 3} 2327.458
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1286.905{col 34}{space 2} 283.9788{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 729.7331{col 75}{space 3} 1844.077
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1117.344{col 34}{space 2} 241.1463{col 45}{space 1}    4.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 644.2099{col 75}{space 3} 1590.478
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1677.382{col 34}{space 2} 747.6436{col 45}{space 1}    2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4} 210.4904{col 75}{space 3} 3144.274
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,089 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1155) ={res}   28.63
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1155) ={res}   14.34
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.372298{col 26}{space 2} 1.884882{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.467{col 54}{space 4}-2.325878{col 67}{space 3} 5.070473
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.495904{col 26}{space 2} 2.969035{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-11.31511{col 67}{space 3} .3232989
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year <= 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  7.89236       2.666667
{txt} 5%    {res}  25.6472       2.666667
{txt}10%    {res} 34.82143       4.966588       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,250
{txt}25%    {res} 52.38095       4.966588       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,250

{txt}50%    {res} 72.41176                      {txt}Mean          {res} 68.14335
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 22.85849
{txt}75%    {res}  86.9281            100
{txt}90%    {res} 95.42857            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 522.5105
{txt}95%    {res} 98.21675            100       {txt}Skewness      {res} -.646602
{txt}99%    {res} 99.78022            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.656422
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88  - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*88 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*57.88889

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-165.4878{col 26}{space 2} 89.40095{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.064{col 54}{space 4}-340.7104{col 67}{space 3} 9.734889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.  
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,250{col 27}-4935.192{col 38}-4726.702{col 49}    89{col 58} 9631.404{col 69} 10088.05
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(6) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,250
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 88,      1161){col 67}= {res}      3.84
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.198194{col 29}{space 2} .0292534{col 40}{space 1}   -6.78{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2555894{col 70}{space 3}-.1407985
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0012876{col 29}{space 2} .0008686{col 40}{space 1}   -1.48{col 49}{space 3}0.138{col 57}{space 4}-.0029919{col 70}{space 3} .0004166
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0948254{col 29}{space 2} .0215474{col 40}{space 1}    4.40{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0525492{col 70}{space 3} .1371015
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0027675{col 29}{space 2}  .001281{col 40}{space 1}   -2.16{col 49}{space 3}0.031{col 57}{space 4} -.005281{col 70}{space 3}-.0002541
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2700572{col 29}{space 2} .0482457{col 40}{space 1}   -5.60{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.3647157{col 70}{space 3}-.1753987
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0000931{col 29}{space 2} .0014606{col 40}{space 1}    0.06{col 49}{space 3}0.949{col 57}{space 4}-.0027725{col 70}{space 3} .0029587
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0554111{col 29}{space 2} .0140777{col 40}{space 1}    3.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .0277906{col 70}{space 3} .0830317
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0006506{col 29}{space 2} .0012306{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.597{col 57}{space 4}-.0017638{col 70}{space 3}  .003065
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1204038{col 29}{space 2} .0431831{col 40}{space 1}   -2.79{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-.2051295{col 70}{space 3}-.0356781
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0011072{col 29}{space 2} .0014681{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.451{col 57}{space 4}-.0017733{col 70}{space 3} .0039877
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.477599{col 29}{space 2} 1.129338{col 40}{space 1}    1.31{col 49}{space 3}0.191{col 57}{space 4}-.7381728{col 70}{space 3}  3.69337
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.216989{col 29}{space 2} .7642833{col 40}{space 1}   -1.59{col 49}{space 3}0.112{col 57}{space 4} -2.71652{col 70}{space 3}  .282542
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.560678{col 29}{space 2} 1.728231{col 40}{space 1}   -0.90{col 49}{space 3}0.367{col 57}{space 4}-4.951484{col 70}{space 3} 1.830128
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9965532{col 29}{space 2} 1.010177{col 40}{space 1}    0.99{col 49}{space 3}0.324{col 57}{space 4}-.9854243{col 70}{space 3} 2.978531
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.000819{col 29}{space 2} 1.369341{col 40}{space 1}    1.46{col 49}{space 3}0.144{col 57}{space 4}-.6858416{col 70}{space 3}  4.68748
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.788508{col 29}{space 2} .8771383{col 40}{space 1}   -2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.042{col 57}{space 4}-3.509462{col 70}{space 3}-.0675548
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5054946{col 29}{space 2} 1.439587{col 40}{space 1}   -0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.726{col 57}{space 4}-3.329978{col 70}{space 3} 2.318989
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.671932{col 29}{space 2} 4.308235{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.278{col 57}{space 4}-13.12473{col 70}{space 3} 3.780865
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.938017{col 29}{space 2} 5.339969{col 40}{space 1}   -1.49{col 49}{space 3}0.137{col 57}{space 4}-18.41509{col 70}{space 3} 2.539052
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.512247{col 29}{space 2} 3.652802{col 40}{space 1}   -0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.336{col 57}{space 4}-10.67908{col 70}{space 3} 3.654586
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.280938{col 29}{space 2} 4.555961{col 40}{space 1}   -0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.348{col 57}{space 4}-13.21978{col 70}{space 3}   4.6579
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.541588{col 29}{space 2} 3.793557{col 40}{space 1}   -1.20{col 49}{space 3}0.231{col 57}{space 4}-11.98458{col 70}{space 3} 2.901406
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.655961{col 29}{space 2} 3.808175{col 40}{space 1}   -0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.337{col 57}{space 4}-11.12764{col 70}{space 3} 3.815714
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.221347{col 29}{space 2} 3.631328{col 40}{space 1}   -2.26{col 49}{space 3}0.024{col 57}{space 4}-15.34605{col 70}{space 3}-1.096647
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.177835{col 29}{space 2}  5.44815{col 40}{space 1}   -1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.188{col 57}{space 4}-17.86716{col 70}{space 3} 3.511485
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.065209{col 29}{space 2} 3.686415{col 40}{space 1}   -0.56{col 49}{space 3}0.575{col 57}{space 4} -9.29799{col 70}{space 3} 5.167573
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.546892{col 29}{space 2} 4.984217{col 40}{space 1}   -1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.266{col 57}{space 4}-15.32597{col 70}{space 3} 4.232189
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.664777{col 29}{space 2} 5.241033{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.099{col 57}{space 4}-18.94773{col 70}{space 3} 1.618179
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.617425{col 29}{space 2} 5.372336{col 40}{space 1}   -1.60{col 49}{space 3}0.109{col 57}{space 4}  -19.158{col 70}{space 3} 1.923148
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.22752{col 29}{space 2} 6.352598{col 40}{space 1}   -1.92{col 49}{space 3}0.054{col 57}{space 4}-24.69138{col 70}{space 3} .2363333
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.427017{col 29}{space 2} 6.077411{col 40}{space 1}   -1.55{col 49}{space 3}0.121{col 57}{space 4}-21.35095{col 70}{space 3} 2.496921
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -11.1902{col 29}{space 2} 4.503209{col 40}{space 1}   -2.48{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4}-20.02554{col 70}{space 3}-2.354857
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -7.64404{col 29}{space 2} 4.565559{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.094{col 57}{space 4}-16.60171{col 70}{space 3}  1.31363
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.166791{col 29}{space 2} 4.380921{col 40}{space 1}   -0.95{col 49}{space 3}0.342{col 57}{space 4} -12.7622{col 70}{space 3} 4.428617
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.168383{col 29}{space 2} 4.839732{col 40}{space 1}   -1.27{col 49}{space 3}0.203{col 57}{space 4}-15.66398{col 70}{space 3} 3.327217
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.621975{col 29}{space 2} 4.969535{col 40}{space 1}   -1.53{col 49}{space 3}0.125{col 57}{space 4}-17.37225{col 70}{space 3}   2.1283
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.885782{col 29}{space 2} 4.878425{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.426{col 57}{space 4} -13.4573{col 70}{space 3} 5.685733
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.866653{col 29}{space 2} 4.191555{col 40}{space 1}   -0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.494{col 57}{space 4}-11.09052{col 70}{space 3} 5.357219
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.182126{col 29}{space 2} 5.075721{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.107{col 57}{space 4}-18.14074{col 70}{space 3} 1.776485
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.237359{col 29}{space 2} 3.969022{col 40}{space 1}   -1.32{col 49}{space 3}0.187{col 57}{space 4}-13.02462{col 70}{space 3} 2.549899
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.73791{col 29}{space 2} 6.279322{col 40}{space 1}   -1.87{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-24.05799{col 70}{space 3} .5821822
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.871652{col 29}{space 2} 3.725414{col 40}{space 1}   -0.50{col 49}{space 3}0.615{col 57}{space 4}-9.180949{col 70}{space 3} 5.437645
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.18787{col 29}{space 2}  6.26319{col 40}{space 1}   -1.95{col 49}{space 3}0.052{col 57}{space 4} -24.4763{col 70}{space 3}  .100571
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.650547{col 29}{space 2} 4.566203{col 40}{space 1}   -1.24{col 49}{space 3}0.216{col 57}{space 4}-14.60948{col 70}{space 3} 3.308385
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.08845{col 29}{space 2} 5.836773{col 40}{space 1}   -2.41{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4}-25.54026{col 70}{space 3}-2.636651
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.443121{col 29}{space 2} 4.777346{col 40}{space 1}   -1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.255{col 57}{space 4}-14.81632{col 70}{space 3} 3.930078
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.425027{col 29}{space 2} 4.498488{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.447{col 57}{space 4} -12.2511{col 70}{space 3}  5.40105
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.14387{col 29}{space 2} 4.985443{col 40}{space 1}   -2.03{col 49}{space 3}0.042{col 57}{space 4}-19.92536{col 70}{space 3}-.3623896
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -10.3115{col 29}{space 2} 6.244683{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.099{col 57}{space 4}-22.56362{col 70}{space 3}  1.94063
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.159403{col 29}{space 2} 5.794243{col 40}{space 1}   -1.06{col 49}{space 3}0.288{col 57}{space 4}-17.52776{col 70}{space 3} 5.208956
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  -12.183{col 29}{space 2} 5.892861{col 40}{space 1}   -2.07{col 49}{space 3}0.039{col 57}{space 4}-23.74485{col 70}{space 3}-.6211526
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.858487{col 29}{space 2} 4.421451{col 40}{space 1}   -0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.674{col 57}{space 4}-10.53341{col 70}{space 3} 6.816441
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.22389{col 29}{space 2} 6.365921{col 40}{space 1}   -1.92{col 49}{space 3}0.055{col 57}{space 4}-24.71389{col 70}{space 3} .2661038
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.038385{col 29}{space 2} 4.798923{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.209{col 57}{space 4}-15.45392{col 70}{space 3} 3.377147
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.683379{col 29}{space 2} 4.437197{col 40}{space 1}   -1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.201{col 57}{space 4} -14.3892{col 70}{space 3} 3.022444
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1948  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.490299{col 29}{space 2} 2.809773{col 40}{space 1}    2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.008{col 57}{space 4} 1.977498{col 70}{space 3}  13.0031
{txt}{space 10}1949  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 22.16281{col 29}{space 2} 4.873522{col 40}{space 1}    4.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 12.60091{col 70}{space 3} 31.72471
{txt}{space 10}1950  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.10131{col 29}{space 2} 3.330025{col 40}{space 1}    3.03{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 3.567774{col 70}{space 3} 16.63485
{txt}{space 10}1951  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.655312{col 29}{space 2} 3.521369{col 40}{space 1}    2.46{col 49}{space 3}0.014{col 57}{space 4} 1.746354{col 70}{space 3} 15.56427
{txt}{space 10}1952  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.144627{col 29}{space 2} 3.132466{col 40}{space 1}    2.92{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} 2.998699{col 70}{space 3} 15.29056
{txt}{space 10}1953  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.918676{col 29}{space 2}  4.20647{col 40}{space 1}    1.64{col 49}{space 3}0.100{col 57}{space 4}-1.334457{col 70}{space 3} 15.17181
{txt}{space 10}1954  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.825556{col 29}{space 2} 3.138819{col 40}{space 1}    2.81{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4} 2.667163{col 70}{space 3} 14.98395
{txt}{space 10}1955  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.23833{col 29}{space 2} 3.682585{col 40}{space 1}    4.14{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.013061{col 70}{space 3} 22.46359
{txt}{space 10}1956  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.15683{col 29}{space 2} 3.276728{col 40}{space 1}    3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 4.727861{col 70}{space 3}  17.5858
{txt}{space 10}1957  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.11385{col 29}{space 2} 4.130842{col 40}{space 1}    4.14{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.009102{col 70}{space 3}  25.2186
{txt}{space 10}1958  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.76432{col 29}{space 2} 3.249835{col 40}{space 1}    3.62{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.388108{col 70}{space 3} 18.14052
{txt}{space 10}1959  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.24555{col 29}{space 2} 4.566904{col 40}{space 1}    3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 6.285245{col 70}{space 3} 24.20586
{txt}{space 10}1960  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 13.17872{col 29}{space 2} 3.441959{col 40}{space 1}    3.83{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.425568{col 70}{space 3} 19.93188
{txt}{space 10}1961  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  13.5405{col 29}{space 2} 4.136045{col 40}{space 1}    3.27{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 5.425539{col 70}{space 3} 21.65546
{txt}{space 10}1962  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.20522{col 29}{space 2} 3.498934{col 40}{space 1}    4.06{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.340277{col 70}{space 3} 21.07016
{txt}{space 10}1963  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.14668{col 29}{space 2}  3.72418{col 40}{space 1}    3.80{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 6.839803{col 70}{space 3} 21.45355
{txt}{space 10}1964  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.42054{col 29}{space 2} 3.587068{col 40}{space 1}    4.02{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.382677{col 70}{space 3}  21.4584
{txt}{space 10}1965  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.31556{col 29}{space 2} 4.329917{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.820218{col 70}{space 3} 24.81089
{txt}{space 10}1966  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.26783{col 29}{space 2} 3.828095{col 40}{space 1}    3.99{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.757072{col 70}{space 3} 22.77859
{txt}{space 10}1967  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.89063{col 29}{space 2} 5.461292{col 40}{space 1}    3.46{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 8.175524{col 70}{space 3} 29.60574
{txt}{space 10}1968  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  16.1523{col 29}{space 2} 4.118803{col 40}{space 1}    3.92{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 8.071167{col 70}{space 3} 24.23343
{txt}{space 10}1969  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.67074{col 29}{space 2} 4.721718{col 40}{space 1}    3.53{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.406686{col 70}{space 3}  25.9348
{txt}{space 10}1970  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 15.75354{col 29}{space 2}    4.229{col 40}{space 1}    3.73{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 7.456202{col 70}{space 3} 24.05088
{txt}{space 10}1971  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 21.46232{col 29}{space 2} 4.755184{col 40}{space 1}    4.51{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 12.13261{col 70}{space 3} 30.79204
{txt}{space 10}1972  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.04134{col 29}{space 2} 4.899816{col 40}{space 1}    3.89{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.427855{col 70}{space 3} 28.65482
{txt}{space 10}1973  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 20.43021{col 29}{space 2} 5.374002{col 40}{space 1}    3.80{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.886365{col 70}{space 3} 30.97405
{txt}{space 10}1974  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 17.04041{col 29}{space 2} 5.101126{col 40}{space 1}    3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 7.031953{col 70}{space 3} 27.04887
{txt}{space 10}1975  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 14.33541{col 29}{space 2} 6.032263{col 40}{space 1}    2.38{col 49}{space 3}0.018{col 57}{space 4} 2.500049{col 70}{space 3} 26.17076
{txt}{space 10}1976  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.99211{col 29}{space 2} 5.635431{col 40}{space 1}    3.37{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 7.935342{col 70}{space 3} 30.04888
{txt}{space 10}1977  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 18.43494{col 29}{space 2} 6.032602{col 40}{space 1}    3.06{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 6.598916{col 70}{space 3} 30.27096
{txt}{space 10}1978  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 20.88213{col 29}{space 2} 5.965049{col 40}{space 1}    3.50{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 9.178644{col 70}{space 3} 32.58561
{txt}{space 10}1979  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 19.67074{col 29}{space 2} 5.988327{col 40}{space 1}    3.28{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}  7.92159{col 70}{space 3}  31.4199
{txt}{space 10}1980  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  18.8465{col 29}{space 2} 5.948126{col 40}{space 1}    3.17{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 7.176224{col 70}{space 3} 30.51678
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 16.86341{col 29}{space 2} 10.45841{col 40}{space 1}    1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.107{col 57}{space 4}  -3.6561{col 70}{space 3} 37.38291
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,089 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1161) ={res}   45.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1161) ={res}   23.09
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009166{col 26}{space 2} .0029967{col 37}{space 1}   -0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.760{col 54}{space 4}-.0067961{col 67}{space 3} .0049629
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0064969{col 26}{space 2} .0043503{col 37}{space 1}   -1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.135{col 54}{space 4}-.0150233{col 67}{space 3} .0020296
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 4601.759       3832.054
{txt} 5%    {res} 5363.201       3900.359
{txt}10%    {res} 5907.316       4075.713       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,250
{txt}25%    {res} 6965.924       4098.735       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,250

{txt}50%    {res}  8751.66                      {txt}Mean          {res} 9040.647
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2605.205
{txt}75%    {res} 10904.78       19154.27
{txt}90%    {res} 12653.53       19819.19       {txt}Variance      {res}  6787095
{txt}95%    {res} 13450.98       20438.71       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5399019
{txt}99%    {res} 14770.05       21278.61       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.191341
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*11116.22 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*7127.247

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-25.91587{col 26}{space 2} 17.35328{col 37}{space 1}   -1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.135{col 54}{space 4}-59.92768{col 67}{space 3} 8.095942
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** I.C: NON-SOUTHERN STATES (N = 35): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,138{col 27} -8419.24{col 38}-7871.312{col 49}    89{col 58} 15920.62{col 69} 16368.92
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified   i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,138
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 88,      1049){col 67}= {res}     30.67
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0918948{col 34}{space 2} .0146573{col 45}{space 1}   -6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.1206558{col 75}{space 3}-.0631337
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.032886{col 34}{space 2} .9043164{col 45}{space 1}    1.14{col 54}{space 3}0.254{col 62}{space 4}-.7415893{col 75}{space 3} 2.807361
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2986191{col 34}{space 2} .0573675{col 45}{space 1}    5.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1860511{col 75}{space 3} .4111872
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.867045{col 34}{space 2} 1.322475{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.158{col 62}{space 4}-4.462041{col 75}{space 3} .7279518
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .092597{col 34}{space 2} .0575129{col 45}{space 1}    1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-.0202563{col 75}{space 3} .2054504
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0293348{col 34}{space 2} 1.324249{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.982{col 62}{space 4}-2.569144{col 75}{space 3} 2.627813
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0497131{col 34}{space 2} .0432503{col 45}{space 1}   -1.15{col 54}{space 3}0.251{col 62}{space 4}  -.13458{col 75}{space 3} .0351538
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3965043{col 34}{space 2}  1.07829{col 45}{space 1}   -0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.713{col 62}{space 4}-2.512355{col 75}{space 3} 1.719347
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-386.1183{col 34}{space 2} 579.4354{col 45}{space 1}   -0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.505{col 62}{space 4}-1523.103{col 75}{space 3} 750.8661
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-459.5151{col 34}{space 2} 645.6495{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.477{col 62}{space 4}-1726.427{col 75}{space 3} 807.3963
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 190.8122{col 34}{space 2} 153.1425{col 45}{space 1}    1.25{col 54}{space 3}0.213{col 62}{space 4}-109.6884{col 75}{space 3} 491.3127
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.0815{col 34}{space 2} 154.2371{col 45}{space 1}   -0.88{col 54}{space 3}0.378{col 62}{space 4}  -438.73{col 75}{space 3} 166.5669
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-126.8852{col 34}{space 2} 362.8938{col 45}{space 1}   -0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.727{col 62}{space 4}-838.9656{col 75}{space 3} 585.1953
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1204.975{col 34}{space 2} 577.6353{col 45}{space 1}   -2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4}-2338.427{col 75}{space 3}-71.52236
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  9188.71{col 34}{space 2}  2281.32{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  4712.24{col 75}{space 3} 13665.18
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5147.873{col 34}{space 2} 1810.966{col 45}{space 1}    2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 1594.346{col 75}{space 3} 8701.401
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-40.89414{col 34}{space 2} 25.43677{col 45}{space 1}   -1.61{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-90.80688{col 75}{space 3} 9.018611
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 27.15255{col 34}{space 2} 29.11732{col 45}{space 1}    0.93{col 54}{space 3}0.351{col 62}{space 4}-29.98227{col 75}{space 3} 84.28737
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 32.31801{col 34}{space 2} 28.60989{col 45}{space 1}    1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.259{col 62}{space 4}-23.82112{col 75}{space 3} 88.45714
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.08537{col 34}{space 2} 29.01329{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.284{col 62}{space 4}-88.01606{col 75}{space 3} 25.84533
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-26.91165{col 34}{space 2} 29.41311{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.360{col 62}{space 4}-84.62687{col 75}{space 3} 30.80358
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 62.19534{col 34}{space 2} 33.70544{col 45}{space 1}    1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.065{col 62}{space 4} -3.94242{col 75}{space 3} 128.3331
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}4  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-418.0738{col 34}{space 2} 166.3134{col 45}{space 1}   -2.51{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4}-744.4186{col 75}{space 3}-91.72902
{txt}{space 18}6  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 37.98755{col 34}{space 2} 92.48358{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.681{col 62}{space 4}-143.4863{col 75}{space 3} 219.4614
{txt}{space 18}8  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 28.71647{col 34}{space 2}  80.6878{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.722{col 62}{space 4}-129.6114{col 75}{space 3} 187.0443
{txt}{space 18}9  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 445.8644{col 34}{space 2} 104.7147{col 45}{space 1}    4.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 240.3902{col 75}{space 3} 651.3385
{txt}{space 17}10  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-13.33776{col 34}{space 2} 72.49302{col 45}{space 1}   -0.18{col 54}{space 3}0.854{col 62}{space 4}-155.5856{col 75}{space 3} 128.9101
{txt}{space 17}15  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 31.90882{col 34}{space 2} 96.81927{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.742{col 62}{space 4}-158.0727{col 75}{space 3} 221.8903
{txt}{space 17}16  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-191.1176{col 34}{space 2} 180.3197{col 45}{space 1}   -1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.289{col 62}{space 4}-544.9459{col 75}{space 3} 162.7108
{txt}{space 17}17  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.049247{col 34}{space 2} 81.67138{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.941{col 62}{space 4}-166.3071{col 75}{space 3} 154.2086
{txt}{space 17}18  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-249.2509{col 34}{space 2} 84.25802{col 45}{space 1}   -2.96{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-414.5844{col 75}{space 3}-83.91745
{txt}{space 17}19  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-112.7104{col 34}{space 2} 189.0695{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.551{col 62}{space 4}-483.7079{col 75}{space 3}  258.287
{txt}{space 17}20  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-198.9842{col 34}{space 2} 169.8614{col 45}{space 1}   -1.17{col 54}{space 3}0.242{col 62}{space 4}-532.2911{col 75}{space 3} 134.3227
{txt}{space 17}21  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -291.945{col 34}{space 2} 106.0889{col 45}{space 1}   -2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4}-500.1155{col 75}{space 3}-83.77442
{txt}{space 17}23  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-249.4453{col 34}{space 2} 97.88815{col 45}{space 1}   -2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}-441.5242{col 75}{space 3} -57.3664
{txt}{space 17}24  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 212.8089{col 34}{space 2} 87.65179{col 45}{space 1}    2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 40.81607{col 75}{space 3} 384.8017
{txt}{space 17}25  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 298.4839{col 34}{space 2} 109.7597{col 45}{space 1}    2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 83.11036{col 75}{space 3} 513.8575
{txt}{space 17}26  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -231.334{col 34}{space 2} 94.91164{col 45}{space 1}   -2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4}-417.5722{col 75}{space 3}-45.09571
{txt}{space 17}27  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 64.86108{col 34}{space 2} 81.43034{col 45}{space 1}    0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-94.92382{col 75}{space 3}  224.646
{txt}{space 17}29  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-194.4915{col 34}{space 2} 81.59803{col 45}{space 1}   -2.38{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4}-354.6054{col 75}{space 3}-34.37753
{txt}{space 17}30  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-225.2593{col 34}{space 2} 100.7037{col 45}{space 1}   -2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-422.8629{col 75}{space 3}-27.65572
{txt}{space 17}32  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-328.4288{col 34}{space 2} 173.3234{col 45}{space 1}   -1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-668.5287{col 75}{space 3} 11.67116
{txt}{space 17}33  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 52.28496{col 34}{space 2}  84.5747{col 45}{space 1}    0.62{col 54}{space 3}0.537{col 62}{space 4}-113.6699{col 75}{space 3} 218.2398
{txt}{space 17}34  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 285.7369{col 34}{space 2} 87.00576{col 45}{space 1}    3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 115.0118{col 75}{space 3} 456.4621
{txt}{space 17}35  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-342.6045{col 34}{space 2} 95.37387{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-529.7497{col 75}{space 3}-155.4592
{txt}{space 17}36  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 175.2223{col 34}{space 2} 96.11972{col 45}{space 1}    1.82{col 54}{space 3}0.069{col 62}{space 4}-13.38655{col 75}{space 3} 363.8311
{txt}{space 17}38  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 255.8741{col 34}{space 2} 122.6447{col 45}{space 1}    2.09{col 54}{space 3}0.037{col 62}{space 4} 15.21723{col 75}{space 3}  496.531
{txt}{space 17}39  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-213.2958{col 34}{space 2} 81.08321{col 45}{space 1}   -2.63{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-372.3996{col 75}{space 3}-54.19207
{txt}{space 17}40  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-474.9693{col 34}{space 2}  165.611{col 45}{space 1}   -2.87{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-799.9358{col 75}{space 3}-150.0029
{txt}{space 17}41  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-170.2468{col 34}{space 2} 79.20812{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4}-325.6712{col 75}{space 3}-14.82241
{txt}{space 17}42  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-110.3104{col 34}{space 2} 83.21614{col 45}{space 1}   -1.33{col 54}{space 3}0.185{col 62}{space 4}-273.5994{col 75}{space 3} 52.97869
{txt}{space 17}44  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-48.62126{col 34}{space 2} 99.66889{col 45}{space 1}   -0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.626{col 62}{space 4}-244.1944{col 75}{space 3} 146.9518
{txt}{space 17}46  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 176.6319{col 34}{space 2} 240.5568{col 45}{space 1}    0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.463{col 62}{space 4}-295.3954{col 75}{space 3} 648.6592
{txt}{space 17}49  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-559.6691{col 34}{space 2} 166.0303{col 45}{space 1}   -3.37{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-885.4583{col 75}{space 3}-233.8799
{txt}{space 17}50  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-115.0947{col 34}{space 2} 84.81377{col 45}{space 1}   -1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.175{col 62}{space 4}-281.5187{col 75}{space 3} 51.32925
{txt}{space 17}53  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.41702{col 34}{space 2} 73.05142{col 45}{space 1}    0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.677{col 62}{space 4}-112.9265{col 75}{space 3} 173.7606
{txt}{space 17}54  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-476.0571{col 34}{space 2} 112.8812{col 45}{space 1}   -4.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-697.5557{col 75}{space 3}-254.5585
{txt}{space 17}55  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.9337{col 34}{space 2} 79.32322{col 45}{space 1}   -1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.085{col 62}{space 4} -292.584{col 75}{space 3} 18.71653
{txt}{space 17}56  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-181.8739{col 34}{space 2}  208.127{col 45}{space 1}   -0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.382{col 62}{space 4}-590.2665{col 75}{space 3} 226.5188
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.98666{col 34}{space 2} 57.62989{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.188{col 62}{space 4}-189.0696{col 75}{space 3} 37.09632
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-12.30971{col 34}{space 2} 80.09058{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.878{col 62}{space 4}-169.4657{col 75}{space 3} 144.8463
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 316.2975{col 34}{space 2} 53.07408{col 45}{space 1}    5.96{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  212.154{col 75}{space 3}  420.441
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  31.2152{col 34}{space 2} 60.83667{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.608{col 62}{space 4}-88.16021{col 75}{space 3} 150.5906
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 159.2798{col 34}{space 2} 62.64247{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4}   36.361{col 75}{space 3} 282.1986
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 68.85271{col 34}{space 2} 62.25804{col 45}{space 1}    1.11{col 54}{space 3}0.269{col 62}{space 4}-53.31175{col 75}{space 3} 191.0172
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 228.5934{col 34}{space 2} 68.50503{col 45}{space 1}    3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 94.17091{col 75}{space 3} 363.0159
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 231.8815{col 34}{space 2} 65.34652{col 45}{space 1}    3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 103.6567{col 75}{space 3} 360.1063
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-82.36115{col 34}{space 2} 73.45943{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-226.5053{col 75}{space 3}   61.783
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-124.0993{col 34}{space 2} 63.62474{col 45}{space 1}   -1.95{col 54}{space 3}0.051{col 62}{space 4}-248.9456{col 75}{space 3} .7468952
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 383.2904{col 34}{space 2} 57.43527{col 45}{space 1}    6.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 270.5893{col 75}{space 3} 495.9915
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.11883{col 34}{space 2} 71.34401{col 45}{space 1}    0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.633{col 62}{space 4}-105.8744{col 75}{space 3} 174.1121
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 262.9227{col 34}{space 2} 70.43958{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 124.7042{col 75}{space 3} 401.1412
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 164.6126{col 34}{space 2} 69.39274{col 45}{space 1}    2.37{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 28.44821{col 75}{space 3}  300.777
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 264.5525{col 34}{space 2} 75.15023{col 45}{space 1}    3.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 117.0906{col 75}{space 3} 412.0143
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  365.595{col 34}{space 2} 72.34262{col 45}{space 1}    5.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 223.6423{col 75}{space 3} 507.5477
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 702.7285{col 34}{space 2} 82.21866{col 45}{space 1}    8.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 541.3967{col 75}{space 3} 864.0603
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 215.2947{col 34}{space 2} 91.13054{col 45}{space 1}    2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 36.47576{col 75}{space 3} 394.1136
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 652.3686{col 34}{space 2} 94.90364{col 45}{space 1}    6.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  466.146{col 75}{space 3} 838.5912
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.1105{col 34}{space 2} 105.4282{col 45}{space 1}    2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.039{col 62}{space 4} 11.23644{col 75}{space 3} 424.9846
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 165.8131{col 34}{space 2} 96.00353{col 45}{space 1}    1.73{col 54}{space 3}0.084{col 62}{space 4}-22.56776{col 75}{space 3} 354.1939
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 351.7914{col 34}{space 2} 88.22086{col 45}{space 1}    3.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 178.6819{col 75}{space 3} 524.9008
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 671.3252{col 34}{space 2} 101.3563{col 45}{space 1}    6.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  472.441{col 75}{space 3} 870.2095
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 344.6838{col 34}{space 2} 111.3745{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 126.1417{col 75}{space 3}  563.226
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 814.3882{col 34}{space 2} 119.8449{col 45}{space 1}    6.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 579.2252{col 75}{space 3} 1049.551
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 535.9045{col 34}{space 2} 120.3051{col 45}{space 1}    4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 299.8385{col 75}{space 3} 771.9705
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  382.564{col 34}{space 2} 134.4731{col 45}{space 1}    2.84{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 118.6971{col 75}{space 3}  646.431
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-413.4992{col 34}{space 2} 121.0736{col 45}{space 1}   -3.42{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-651.0732{col 75}{space 3}-175.9252
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 767.9664{col 34}{space 2} 105.3327{col 45}{space 1}    7.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 561.2796{col 75}{space 3} 974.6532
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7736.385{col 34}{space 2} 2269.581{col 45}{space 1}   -3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-12189.82{col 75}{space 3}-3282.949
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,201 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1049) ={res}   39.31
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1049) ={res}   20.65
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom   d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.234214{col 26}{space 2} 2.277082{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-6.702368{col 67}{space 3} 2.233939
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 11.23987{col 26}{space 2} 10.07703{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.265{col 54}{space 4}-8.510744{col 67}{space 3} 30.99049
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if  real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.82353       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res} 31.78947       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res} 41.56863       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,138
{txt}25%    {res} 62.85714       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,138

{txt}50%    {res}    81.25                      {txt}Mean          {res} 74.99836
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.07013
{txt}75%    {res}       91            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.66667            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 402.8101
{txt}95%    {res}       98            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.9416469
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.018829
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*91.25554 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*65.40031

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 290.6095{col 26}{space 2} 260.5439{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.265{col 54}{space 4}-220.0473{col 67}{space 3} 801.2662
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}     1,138{col 27} -3843.04{col 38}-3740.085{col 49}    83{col 58}  7646.17{col 69} 8064.243
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     1,138
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 82,      1055){col 67}= {res}      2.43
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.2245687{col 29}{space 2}  .028832{col 40}{space 1}   -7.79{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2811433{col 70}{space 3}-.1679941
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0003297{col 29}{space 2} .0003352{col 40}{space 1}   -0.98{col 49}{space 3}0.326{col 57}{space 4}-.0009875{col 70}{space 3} .0003281
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0556222{col 29}{space 2}  .025046{col 40}{space 1}    2.22{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4} .0064766{col 70}{space 3} .1047679
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0013798{col 29}{space 2} .0008577{col 40}{space 1}   -1.61{col 49}{space 3}0.108{col 57}{space 4}-.0030628{col 70}{space 3} .0003032
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0105533{col 29}{space 2} .0377726{col 40}{space 1}    0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.780{col 57}{space 4}-.0635647{col 70}{space 3} .0846713
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0001105{col 29}{space 2} .0008468{col 40}{space 1}    0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.896{col 57}{space 4}-.0015512{col 70}{space 3} .0017721
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0044507{col 29}{space 2} .0248898{col 40}{space 1}    0.18{col 49}{space 3}0.858{col 57}{space 4}-.0443884{col 70}{space 3} .0532899
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0003226{col 29}{space 2} .0012842{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.802{col 57}{space 4}-.0021973{col 70}{space 3} .0028425
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8805084{col 29}{space 2} .6489656{col 40}{space 1}    1.36{col 49}{space 3}0.175{col 57}{space 4}-.3929018{col 70}{space 3} 2.153918
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.176202{col 29}{space 2} .5834146{col 40}{space 1}   -2.02{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-2.320987{col 70}{space 3}-.0314173
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.361346{col 29}{space 2} .9632424{col 40}{space 1}    1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.158{col 57}{space 4} -.528743{col 70}{space 3} 3.251435
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5116983{col 29}{space 2} .7661139{col 40}{space 1}   -0.67{col 49}{space 3}0.504{col 57}{space 4}-2.014979{col 70}{space 3}  .991582
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.804692{col 29}{space 2} .9312581{col 40}{space 1}    1.94{col 49}{space 3}0.053{col 57}{space 4}-.0226373{col 70}{space 3}  3.63202
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.046805{col 29}{space 2} .7607455{col 40}{space 1}   -2.69{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-3.539551{col 70}{space 3}-.5540586
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.252692{col 29}{space 2} 1.633413{col 40}{space 1}   -1.38{col 49}{space 3}0.168{col 57}{space 4}  -5.4578{col 70}{space 3} .9524166
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.218918{col 29}{space 2} 1.600823{col 40}{space 1}    2.01{col 49}{space 3}0.045{col 57}{space 4} .0777583{col 70}{space 3} 6.360077
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}4  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -2.84396{col 29}{space 2} 2.576926{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.270{col 57}{space 4}-7.900443{col 70}{space 3} 2.212523
{txt}{space 13}6  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.9530996{col 29}{space 2} 2.214061{col 40}{space 1}   -0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.667{col 57}{space 4}-5.297563{col 70}{space 3} 3.391364
{txt}{space 13}8  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.020013{col 29}{space 2}  2.43276{col 40}{space 1}   -0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.675{col 57}{space 4}-5.793611{col 70}{space 3} 3.753586
{txt}{space 13}9  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0699218{col 29}{space 2} 2.361531{col 40}{space 1}   -0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.976{col 57}{space 4}-4.703754{col 70}{space 3} 4.563911
{txt}{space 12}10  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7980931{col 29}{space 2} 2.210039{col 40}{space 1}    0.36{col 49}{space 3}0.718{col 57}{space 4}-3.538479{col 70}{space 3} 5.134665
{txt}{space 12}15  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.39732{col 29}{space 2} 2.920341{col 40}{space 1}   -4.59{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-19.12766{col 70}{space 3}-7.666987
{txt}{space 12}16  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.655907{col 29}{space 2} 3.930423{col 40}{space 1}   -2.20{col 49}{space 3}0.028{col 57}{space 4}-16.36824{col 70}{space 3}-.9435715
{txt}{space 12}17  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.230376{col 29}{space 2} 2.169941{col 40}{space 1}    0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.571{col 57}{space 4}-3.027515{col 70}{space 3} 5.488268
{txt}{space 12}18  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.921112{col 29}{space 2} 2.633016{col 40}{space 1}   -0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.466{col 57}{space 4}-7.087655{col 70}{space 3} 3.245431
{txt}{space 12}19  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4101746{col 29}{space 2} 2.479089{col 40}{space 1}   -0.17{col 49}{space 3}0.869{col 57}{space 4}-5.274681{col 70}{space 3} 4.454332
{txt}{space 12}20  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -5.01474{col 29}{space 2} 2.634648{col 40}{space 1}   -1.90{col 49}{space 3}0.057{col 57}{space 4}-10.18449{col 70}{space 3} .1550049
{txt}{space 12}21  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.752781{col 29}{space 2}  3.92512{col 40}{space 1}   -0.45{col 49}{space 3}0.655{col 57}{space 4}-9.454711{col 70}{space 3} 5.949149
{txt}{space 12}23  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.060496{col 29}{space 2} 2.768712{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.702{col 57}{space 4}-6.493304{col 70}{space 3} 4.372311
{txt}{space 12}24  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.177339{col 29}{space 2} 2.961366{col 40}{space 1}   -3.10{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4}-14.98818{col 70}{space 3}-3.366502
{txt}{space 12}25  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.28579{col 29}{space 2} 2.567198{col 40}{space 1}   -4.01{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-15.32318{col 70}{space 3}-5.248395
{txt}{space 12}26  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.687672{col 29}{space 2} 2.867684{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.349{col 57}{space 4}-2.939341{col 70}{space 3} 8.314684
{txt}{space 12}27  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9155866{col 29}{space 2} 3.058752{col 40}{space 1}    0.30{col 49}{space 3}0.765{col 57}{space 4}-5.086342{col 70}{space 3} 6.917516
{txt}{space 12}29  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.842364{col 29}{space 2} 2.581944{col 40}{space 1}   -1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.271{col 57}{space 4}-7.908694{col 70}{space 3} 2.223966
{txt}{space 12}30  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.674673{col 29}{space 2} 2.906456{col 40}{space 1}   -0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.565{col 57}{space 4}-7.377766{col 70}{space 3} 4.028419
{txt}{space 12}32  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.974534{col 29}{space 2}  2.69329{col 40}{space 1}    1.10{col 49}{space 3}0.270{col 57}{space 4} -2.31028{col 70}{space 3} 8.259348
{txt}{space 12}33  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.937418{col 29}{space 2}  2.44016{col 40}{space 1}   -2.02{col 49}{space 3}0.043{col 57}{space 4}-9.725537{col 70}{space 3}-.1492999
{txt}{space 12}34  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0530454{col 29}{space 2} 2.214101{col 40}{space 1}    0.02{col 49}{space 3}0.981{col 57}{space 4}-4.291498{col 70}{space 3} 4.397588
{txt}{space 12}35  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.577427{col 29}{space 2} 3.426242{col 40}{space 1}   -0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.645{col 57}{space 4} -8.30045{col 70}{space 3} 5.145597
{txt}{space 12}36  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.88344{col 29}{space 2} 1.953721{col 40}{space 1}    0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.335{col 57}{space 4} -1.95018{col 70}{space 3} 5.717061
{txt}{space 12}38  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.698083{col 29}{space 2} 3.412069{col 40}{space 1}   -0.50{col 49}{space 3}0.619{col 57}{space 4}-8.393296{col 70}{space 3}  4.99713
{txt}{space 12}39  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7720608{col 29}{space 2} 3.077853{col 40}{space 1}    0.25{col 49}{space 3}0.802{col 57}{space 4}-5.267348{col 70}{space 3}  6.81147
{txt}{space 12}40  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.061824{col 29}{space 2} 3.233294{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.209{col 57}{space 4}-10.40624{col 70}{space 3} 2.282595
{txt}{space 12}41  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.122092{col 29}{space 2}  2.89653{col 40}{space 1}    0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.464{col 57}{space 4}-3.561524{col 70}{space 3} 7.805707
{txt}{space 12}42  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6042319{col 29}{space 2} 2.217294{col 40}{space 1}    0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.785{col 57}{space 4}-3.746577{col 70}{space 3} 4.955041
{txt}{space 12}44  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.30479{col 29}{space 2} 3.023463{col 40}{space 1}   -3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-17.23747{col 70}{space 3}-5.372105
{txt}{space 12}46  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.624895{col 29}{space 2} 2.975722{col 40}{space 1}   -2.23{col 49}{space 3}0.026{col 57}{space 4} -12.4639{col 70}{space 3}-.7858883
{txt}{space 12}49  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -9.17111{col 29}{space 2} 3.173904{col 40}{space 1}   -2.89{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4}-15.39899{col 70}{space 3}-2.943227
{txt}{space 12}50  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.318711{col 29}{space 2} 2.597245{col 40}{space 1}   -0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.612{col 57}{space 4}-6.415065{col 70}{space 3} 3.777643
{txt}{space 12}53  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.035626{col 29}{space 2} 2.794165{col 40}{space 1}    0.73{col 49}{space 3}0.466{col 57}{space 4}-3.447126{col 70}{space 3} 7.518379
{txt}{space 12}54  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.503658{col 29}{space 2} 3.983628{col 40}{space 1}   -2.39{col 49}{space 3}0.017{col 57}{space 4}-17.32039{col 70}{space 3}-1.686923
{txt}{space 12}55  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.819084{col 29}{space 2} 2.886128{col 40}{space 1}    0.98{col 49}{space 3}0.329{col 57}{space 4}-2.844121{col 70}{space 3} 8.482288
{txt}{space 12}56  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.198114{col 29}{space 2}  2.55923{col 40}{space 1}   -2.81{col 49}{space 3}0.005{col 57}{space 4}-12.21987{col 70}{space 3}-2.176354
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3519236{col 29}{space 2} 1.530126{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.818{col 57}{space 4} -3.35436{col 70}{space 3} 2.650513
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.230697{col 29}{space 2} 2.598862{col 40}{space 1}   -0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.636{col 57}{space 4}-6.330224{col 70}{space 3}  3.86883
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1544146{col 29}{space 2} 1.554423{col 40}{space 1}   -0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.921{col 57}{space 4}-3.204527{col 70}{space 3} 2.895698
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.228729{col 29}{space 2} 2.050902{col 40}{space 1}    0.60{col 49}{space 3}0.549{col 57}{space 4}-2.795581{col 70}{space 3}  5.25304
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2625897{col 29}{space 2} 1.633215{col 40}{space 1}    0.16{col 49}{space 3}0.872{col 57}{space 4} -2.94213{col 70}{space 3} 3.467309
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.229947{col 29}{space 2} 1.985019{col 40}{space 1}    1.12{col 49}{space 3}0.262{col 57}{space 4}-1.665088{col 70}{space 3} 6.124981
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6216708{col 29}{space 2} 1.628397{col 40}{space 1}    0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.703{col 57}{space 4}-2.573595{col 70}{space 3} 3.816937
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.412216{col 29}{space 2} 1.962985{col 40}{space 1}    0.72{col 49}{space 3}0.472{col 57}{space 4}-2.439584{col 70}{space 3} 5.264015
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4597629{col 29}{space 2} 1.761511{col 40}{space 1}    0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.794{col 57}{space 4}-2.996701{col 70}{space 3} 3.916226
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   2.1031{col 29}{space 2} 2.128331{col 40}{space 1}    0.99{col 49}{space 3}0.323{col 57}{space 4}-2.073142{col 70}{space 3} 6.279343
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.024332{col 29}{space 2} 1.863654{col 40}{space 1}    0.55{col 49}{space 3}0.583{col 57}{space 4}-2.632558{col 70}{space 3} 4.681221
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .9648675{col 29}{space 2}  2.27322{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.671{col 57}{space 4} -3.49568{col 70}{space 3} 5.425415
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.880112{col 29}{space 2} 1.735689{col 40}{space 1}    1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.279{col 57}{space 4}-1.525684{col 70}{space 3} 5.285907
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3292929{col 29}{space 2} 2.593005{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.899{col 57}{space 4}-5.417327{col 70}{space 3} 4.758741
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.591406{col 29}{space 2} 1.788726{col 40}{space 1}    0.89{col 49}{space 3}0.374{col 57}{space 4} -1.91846{col 70}{space 3} 5.101272
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7010159{col 29}{space 2} 2.203953{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.750{col 57}{space 4}-3.623613{col 70}{space 3} 5.025645
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.886397{col 29}{space 2}  2.06231{col 40}{space 1}    0.91{col 49}{space 3}0.361{col 57}{space 4}-2.160299{col 70}{space 3} 5.933094
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.853115{col 29}{space 2} 2.363227{col 40}{space 1}    0.78{col 49}{space 3}0.433{col 57}{space 4}-2.784044{col 70}{space 3} 6.490274
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.581241{col 29}{space 2} 2.266784{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.255{col 57}{space 4}-1.866678{col 70}{space 3}  7.02916
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.585412{col 29}{space 2} 2.524008{col 40}{space 1}    0.63{col 49}{space 3}0.530{col 57}{space 4}-3.367234{col 70}{space 3} 6.538057
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.054929{col 29}{space 2} 2.367914{col 40}{space 1}    0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.386{col 57}{space 4}-2.591427{col 70}{space 3} 6.701284
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.214904{col 29}{space 2}  2.57168{col 40}{space 1}    0.47{col 49}{space 3}0.637{col 57}{space 4}-3.831285{col 70}{space 3} 6.261092
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.268281{col 29}{space 2}  2.40563{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.346{col 57}{space 4}-2.452083{col 70}{space 3} 6.988645
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.581475{col 29}{space 2} 2.583368{col 40}{space 1}    0.61{col 49}{space 3}0.541{col 57}{space 4}-3.487649{col 70}{space 3}   6.6506
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.463564{col 29}{space 2} 2.475256{col 40}{space 1}    1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.320{col 57}{space 4} -2.39342{col 70}{space 3} 7.320548
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.048356{col 29}{space 2} 2.972994{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.491{col 57}{space 4}-3.785297{col 70}{space 3} 7.882009
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.992326{col 29}{space 2} 2.660353{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.454{col 57}{space 4} -3.22786{col 70}{space 3} 7.212512
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.543738{col 29}{space 2}  2.90065{col 40}{space 1}   -0.88{col 49}{space 3}0.381{col 57}{space 4}-8.235438{col 70}{space 3} 3.147962
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.341675{col 29}{space 2} 3.346187{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.318{col 57}{space 4}-9.907615{col 70}{space 3} 3.224264
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 23.29796{col 29}{space 2} 6.564793{col 40}{space 1}    3.55{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 10.41643{col 70}{space 3}  36.1795
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,201 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. * 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,  1055) ={res}   60.67
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,  1055) ={res}   30.41
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009468{col 26}{space 2} .0012289{col 37}{space 1}   -0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.441{col 54}{space 4}-.0033582{col 67}{space 3} .0014646
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0014681{col 26}{space 2} .0014714{col 37}{space 1}   -1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.318{col 54}{space 4}-.0043519{col 67}{space 3} .0014157
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  klarnerranney  if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10226.16       9613.809
{txt} 5%    {res} 11186.47       9642.246
{txt}10%    {res} 11870.86       9678.673       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,138
{txt}25%    {res} 13361.92       9889.706       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,138

{txt}50%    {res} 15383.98                      {txt}Mean          {res}  15621.8
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 3043.185
{txt}75%    {res} 17444.66       24873.97
{txt}90%    {res} 19531.21       25955.62       {txt}Variance      {res}  9260975
{txt}95%    {res} 20815.45       26455.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .5528409
{txt}99%    {res} 24187.04       26940.36       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.185292

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 21.82353       19.76471
{txt} 5%    {res} 31.78947       19.76471
{txt}10%    {res} 41.56863       19.84314       {txt}Obs         {res}      1,138
{txt}25%    {res} 62.85714       19.84314       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}      1,138

{txt}50%    {res}    81.25                      {txt}Mean          {res} 74.99836
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.07013
{txt}75%    {res}       91            100
{txt}90%    {res} 96.66667            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 402.8101
{txt}95%    {res}       98            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.9416469
{txt}99%    {res} 99.43503            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.018829
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*17661.71 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*13630.93

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.917423{col 26}{space 2} 5.930712{col 37}{space 1}   -1.00{col 46}{space 3}0.318{col 54}{space 4} -17.5414{col 67}{space 3} 5.706558
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.A: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       715{col 27} -5030.84{col 38} -4494.14{col 49}    93{col 58}  9174.28{col 69} 9599.502
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney   l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       715
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 92,       622){col 67}= {res}     82.67
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0648436{col 34}{space 2} .0193945{col 45}{space 1}   -3.34{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-.1029302{col 75}{space 3} -.026757
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4552324{col 34}{space 2} .5843774{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.436{col 62}{space 4}-.6923593{col 75}{space 3} 1.602824
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3421703{col 34}{space 2} .0749441{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1949962{col 75}{space 3} .4893444
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.4349893{col 34}{space 2} .9662541{col 45}{space 1}   -0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-2.332505{col 75}{space 3} 1.462526
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .051987{col 34}{space 2} .0545732{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.341{col 62}{space 4} -.055183{col 75}{space 3}  .159157
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.3942432{col 34}{space 2} 1.003299{col 45}{space 1}   -0.39{col 54}{space 3}0.694{col 62}{space 4}-2.364508{col 75}{space 3} 1.576021
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0121282{col 34}{space 2} .0498391{col 45}{space 1}   -0.24{col 54}{space 3}0.808{col 62}{space 4}-.1100015{col 75}{space 3} .0857451
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5958167{col 34}{space 2} 1.137956{col 45}{space 1}    0.52{col 54}{space 3}0.601{col 62}{space 4}-1.638885{col 75}{space 3} 2.830518
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-682.2996{col 34}{space 2}  237.162{col 45}{space 1}   -2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4}-1148.035{col 75}{space 3}-216.5643
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  163.912{col 34}{space 2} 256.8972{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.524{col 62}{space 4} -340.579{col 75}{space 3} 668.4029
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-10.95125{col 34}{space 2} 26.73898{col 45}{space 1}   -0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.682{col 62}{space 4}-63.46085{col 75}{space 3} 41.55836
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-9.115572{col 34}{space 2} 59.31602{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.878{col 62}{space 4}-125.5995{col 75}{space 3} 107.3683
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-59.37465{col 34}{space 2} 235.0854{col 45}{space 1}   -0.25{col 54}{space 3}0.801{col 62}{space 4}-521.0319{col 75}{space 3} 402.2826
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-655.4272{col 34}{space 2}  549.632{col 45}{space 1}   -1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.234{col 62}{space 4}-1734.786{col 75}{space 3} 423.9321
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-355.4933{col 34}{space 2} 326.0465{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.276{col 62}{space 4}-995.7786{col 75}{space 3}  284.792
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3596.569{col 34}{space 2} 743.2166{col 45}{space 1}    4.84{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 2137.051{col 75}{space 3} 5056.086
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 24.11448{col 34}{space 2} 20.26046{col 45}{space 1}    1.19{col 54}{space 3}0.234{col 62}{space 4}-15.67271{col 75}{space 3} 63.90168
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  2.86677{col 34}{space 2} 18.18632{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.875{col 62}{space 4}-32.84725{col 75}{space 3} 38.58079
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-43.13419{col 34}{space 2} 30.41612{col 45}{space 1}   -1.42{col 54}{space 3}0.157{col 62}{space 4}-102.8649{col 75}{space 3} 16.59653
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 158.4948{col 34}{space 2} 48.87395{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 62.51689{col 75}{space 3} 254.4728
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 84.30135{col 34}{space 2} 29.23685{col 45}{space 1}    2.88{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 26.88646{col 75}{space 3} 141.7162
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 41.28156{col 34}{space 2}  37.6558{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.273{col 62}{space 4}-32.66635{col 75}{space 3} 115.2295
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-89.57724{col 34}{space 2}  36.8822{col 45}{space 1}   -2.43{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} -162.006{col 75}{space 3}-17.14852
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.00003{col 34}{space 2} 24.67972{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.106{col 62}{space 4} -8.46563{col 75}{space 3} 88.46569
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -.343066{col 34}{space 2} 16.70803{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.984{col 62}{space 4}-33.15406{col 75}{space 3} 32.46792
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 53.08522{col 34}{space 2} 33.51139{col 45}{space 1}    1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.114{col 62}{space 4}-12.72394{col 75}{space 3} 118.8944
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 128.5028{col 34}{space 2} 39.04149{col 45}{space 1}    3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 51.83368{col 75}{space 3} 205.1719
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 223.4716{col 34}{space 2} 59.10921{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 107.3938{col 75}{space 3} 339.5494
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 257.2187{col 34}{space 2} 105.6102{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} 49.82302{col 75}{space 3} 464.6144
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 764.0825{col 34}{space 2} 96.40431{col 45}{space 1}    7.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 574.7652{col 75}{space 3} 953.3999
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 473.7443{col 34}{space 2} 116.4106{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 245.1389{col 75}{space 3} 702.3496
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 702.9874{col 34}{space 2} 85.66051{col 45}{space 1}    8.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 534.7686{col 75}{space 3} 871.2063
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 593.7153{col 34}{space 2} 79.21591{col 45}{space 1}    7.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.1522{col 75}{space 3} 749.2783
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 671.7877{col 34}{space 2} 70.03158{col 45}{space 1}    9.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 534.2607{col 75}{space 3} 809.3147
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 617.3101{col 34}{space 2} 75.26248{col 45}{space 1}    8.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 469.5107{col 75}{space 3} 765.1094
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 468.7705{col 34}{space 2} 70.05565{col 45}{space 1}    6.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 331.1963{col 75}{space 3} 606.3448
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 898.2094{col 34}{space 2}  73.6575{col 45}{space 1}   12.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 753.5619{col 75}{space 3} 1042.857
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 732.3267{col 34}{space 2} 86.15363{col 45}{space 1}    8.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 563.1395{col 75}{space 3}  901.514
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 466.6377{col 34}{space 2}  89.0967{col 45}{space 1}    5.24{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 291.6709{col 75}{space 3} 641.6044
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 646.3331{col 34}{space 2} 80.63195{col 45}{space 1}    8.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 487.9892{col 75}{space 3} 804.6769
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 904.6825{col 34}{space 2} 84.34185{col 45}{space 1}   10.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.0533{col 75}{space 3} 1070.312
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 590.4138{col 34}{space 2} 93.66321{col 45}{space 1}    6.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 406.4794{col 75}{space 3} 774.3482
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  806.659{col 34}{space 2} 94.39772{col 45}{space 1}    8.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 621.2821{col 75}{space 3} 992.0358
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 852.7194{col 34}{space 2} 88.20258{col 45}{space 1}    9.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 679.5085{col 75}{space 3}  1025.93
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   830.98{col 34}{space 2} 97.94905{col 45}{space 1}    8.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 638.6291{col 75}{space 3} 1023.331
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  963.739{col 34}{space 2} 92.96227{col 45}{space 1}   10.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 781.1811{col 75}{space 3} 1146.297
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 965.1217{col 34}{space 2} 97.35311{col 45}{space 1}    9.91{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 773.9411{col 75}{space 3} 1156.302
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 994.9632{col 34}{space 2} 101.0551{col 45}{space 1}    9.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 796.5127{col 75}{space 3} 1193.414
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 980.4532{col 34}{space 2} 105.6148{col 45}{space 1}    9.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 773.0484{col 75}{space 3} 1187.858
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1056.632{col 34}{space 2}  108.948{col 45}{space 1}    9.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 842.6812{col 75}{space 3} 1270.582
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  989.459{col 34}{space 2} 122.1644{col 45}{space 1}    8.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 749.5543{col 75}{space 3} 1229.364
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  871.178{col 34}{space 2} 118.0086{col 45}{space 1}    7.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 639.4344{col 75}{space 3} 1102.922
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1039.413{col 34}{space 2} 114.3485{col 45}{space 1}    9.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.8568{col 75}{space 3} 1263.969
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1320.699{col 34}{space 2} 128.6809{col 45}{space 1}   10.26{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1067.997{col 75}{space 3} 1573.401
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1200.847{col 34}{space 2} 140.7075{col 45}{space 1}    8.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 924.5279{col 75}{space 3} 1477.167
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 637.1309{col 34}{space 2} 136.8053{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 368.4746{col 75}{space 3} 905.7871
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 744.5072{col 34}{space 2} 136.2796{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 476.8834{col 75}{space 3} 1012.131
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1354.206{col 34}{space 2}  141.635{col 45}{space 1}    9.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1076.065{col 75}{space 3} 1632.346
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1039.765{col 34}{space 2} 168.9642{col 45}{space 1}    6.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  707.956{col 75}{space 3} 1371.575
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1242.053{col 34}{space 2} 161.0131{col 45}{space 1}    7.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 925.8575{col 75}{space 3} 1558.248
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 768.3222{col 34}{space 2} 158.9282{col 45}{space 1}    4.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 456.2213{col 75}{space 3} 1080.423
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 676.6142{col 34}{space 2} 168.3744{col 45}{space 1}    4.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  345.963{col 75}{space 3} 1007.265
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1161.521{col 34}{space 2} 169.1008{col 45}{space 1}    6.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 829.4432{col 75}{space 3} 1493.599
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 911.1467{col 34}{space 2} 177.0111{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 563.5349{col 75}{space 3} 1258.758
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1226.268{col 34}{space 2} 174.7549{col 45}{space 1}    7.02{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  883.087{col 75}{space 3} 1569.449
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1404.933{col 34}{space 2} 170.3694{col 45}{space 1}    8.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1070.364{col 75}{space 3} 1739.502
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1086.47{col 34}{space 2} 177.9116{col 45}{space 1}    6.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 737.0903{col 75}{space 3} 1435.851
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1152.002{col 34}{space 2} 169.6422{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 818.8612{col 75}{space 3} 1485.143
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1054.854{col 34}{space 2} 172.8272{col 45}{space 1}    6.10{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 715.4583{col 75}{space 3} 1394.249
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1324.749{col 34}{space 2} 183.7346{col 45}{space 1}    7.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 963.9338{col 75}{space 3} 1685.564
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1215.246{col 34}{space 2} 194.3694{col 45}{space 1}    6.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 833.5463{col 75}{space 3} 1596.946
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 957.9142{col 34}{space 2} 203.3955{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 558.4891{col 75}{space 3} 1357.339
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  977.361{col 34}{space 2} 194.9744{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 594.4732{col 75}{space 3} 1360.249
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1433.664{col 34}{space 2} 196.7962{col 45}{space 1}    7.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1047.199{col 75}{space 3}  1820.13
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1101.011{col 34}{space 2} 210.9885{col 45}{space 1}    5.22{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 686.6748{col 75}{space 3} 1515.347
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1316.943{col 34}{space 2}  204.968{col 45}{space 1}    6.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 914.4297{col 75}{space 3} 1719.456
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1222.138{col 34}{space 2} 207.1046{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 815.4289{col 75}{space 3} 1628.847
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1261.125{col 34}{space 2} 209.9086{col 45}{space 1}    6.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   848.91{col 75}{space 3} 1673.341
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1349.19{col 34}{space 2}  214.873{col 45}{space 1}    6.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  927.225{col 75}{space 3} 1771.154
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1606.492{col 34}{space 2} 224.6476{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1165.333{col 75}{space 3} 2047.652
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1188.232{col 34}{space 2} 228.2626{col 45}{space 1}    5.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.9732{col 75}{space 3} 1636.491
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1471.959{col 34}{space 2} 233.1666{col 45}{space 1}    6.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1014.07{col 75}{space 3} 1929.848
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1235.843{col 34}{space 2} 233.1782{col 45}{space 1}    5.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 777.9316{col 75}{space 3} 1693.755
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1142.361{col 34}{space 2} 239.0471{col 45}{space 1}    4.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 672.9237{col 75}{space 3} 1611.798
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1321.285{col 34}{space 2} 232.7199{col 45}{space 1}    5.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 864.2728{col 75}{space 3} 1778.297
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1595.452{col 34}{space 2} 251.9286{col 45}{space 1}    6.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1100.719{col 75}{space 3} 2090.186
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1440.157{col 34}{space 2} 269.3046{col 45}{space 1}    5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 911.3005{col 75}{space 3} 1969.013
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1588.337{col 34}{space 2} 280.6872{col 45}{space 1}    5.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1037.128{col 75}{space 3} 2139.547
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1445.155{col 34}{space 2} 263.7705{col 45}{space 1}    5.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 927.1663{col 75}{space 3} 1963.144
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1180.908{col 34}{space 2} 289.4557{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 612.4792{col 75}{space 3} 1749.337
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  623.007{col 34}{space 2} 257.0848{col 45}{space 1}    2.42{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 118.1477{col 75}{space 3} 1127.866
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1676.049{col 34}{space 2} 275.9916{col 45}{space 1}    6.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1134.061{col 75}{space 3} 2218.037
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 97.60633{col 34}{space 2}  307.408{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.751{col 62}{space 4} -506.077{col 75}{space 3} 701.2896
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(196 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   622) ={res}   11.18
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   622) ={res}    5.59
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0039
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2334157{col 26}{space 2} 2.338896{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.921{col 54}{space 4}-4.826505{col 67}{space 3} 4.359674
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  7.02047{col 26}{space 2} 8.803845{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.425{col 54}{space 4}-10.23475{col 67}{space 3} 24.27569
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       715{col 27} -306.414{col 38}-169.2042{col 49}    91{col 58} 520.4085{col 69} 936.4862
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if nonsouth==0, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       715
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 90,       624){col 67}= {res}      4.61
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  -.11116{col 30}{space 2} .0258288{col 41}{space 1}   -4.30{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.1618819{col 71}{space 3}-.0604382
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000832{col 30}{space 2} .0000243{col 41}{space 1}   -3.42{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} -.000131{col 71}{space 3}-.0000355
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0108279{col 30}{space 2} .0605523{col 41}{space 1}   -0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.858{col 58}{space 4}-.1297388{col 71}{space 3}  .108083
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001258{col 30}{space 2} .0000691{col 41}{space 1}   -1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0002616{col 71}{space 3} 9.94e-06
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2415641{col 30}{space 2} .0475643{col 41}{space 1}   -5.08{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.3349695{col 71}{space 3}-.1481587
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .000087{col 30}{space 2} .0000855{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.309{col 58}{space 4}-.0000808{col 71}{space 3} .0002548
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1222832{col 30}{space 2} .0507815{col 41}{space 1}   -2.41{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4}-.2220065{col 71}{space 3}-.0225598
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001043{col 30}{space 2} .0000849{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.220{col 58}{space 4}-.0000625{col 71}{space 3}  .000271
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0412877{col 30}{space 2} .0388059{col 41}{space 1}   -1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.288{col 58}{space 4}-.1174936{col 71}{space 3} .0349182
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0110152{col 30}{space 2} .0421279{col 41}{space 1}   -0.26{col 50}{space 3}0.794{col 58}{space 4}-.0937448{col 71}{space 3} .0717145
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0712647{col 30}{space 2} .0445396{col 41}{space 1}    1.60{col 50}{space 3}0.110{col 58}{space 4} -.016201{col 71}{space 3} .1587304
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0236347{col 30}{space 2} .0447267{col 41}{space 1}   -0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.597{col 58}{space 4}-.1114678{col 71}{space 3} .0641984
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1140811{col 30}{space 2}  .037655{col 41}{space 1}   -3.03{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.1880271{col 71}{space 3}-.0401352
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0431277{col 30}{space 2} .0302349{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.154{col 58}{space 4}-.0162468{col 71}{space 3} .1025022
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1438951{col 30}{space 2} .0565606{col 41}{space 1}    2.54{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4}  .032823{col 71}{space 3} .2549673
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0002646{col 30}{space 2} .0573675{col 41}{space 1}   -0.00{col 50}{space 3}0.996{col 58}{space 4}-.1129214{col 71}{space 3} .1123921
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0352573{col 30}{space 2} .0673343{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.601{col 58}{space 4}-.1674865{col 71}{space 3} .0969719
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4630147{col 30}{space 2} .1207569{col 41}{space 1}    3.83{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2258756{col 71}{space 3} .7001538
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1888847{col 30}{space 2} .0791376{col 41}{space 1}    2.39{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .0334766{col 71}{space 3} .3442929
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0456986{col 30}{space 2} .0625076{col 41}{space 1}    0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.465{col 58}{space 4}-.0770521{col 71}{space 3} .1684494
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0807905{col 30}{space 2} .0707856{col 41}{space 1}   -1.14{col 50}{space 3}0.254{col 58}{space 4}-.2197973{col 71}{space 3} .0582163
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1945341{col 30}{space 2} .0798477{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .0377313{col 71}{space 3} .3513369
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2229928{col 30}{space 2}  .091891{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .0425397{col 71}{space 3}  .403446
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2821086{col 30}{space 2} .0997487{col 41}{space 1}    2.83{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .0862249{col 71}{space 3} .4779924
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2268998{col 30}{space 2} .0811229{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .0675929{col 71}{space 3} .3862068
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5243454{col 30}{space 2} .1354991{col 41}{space 1}    3.87{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2582559{col 71}{space 3} .7904348
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0162324{col 30}{space 2} .1058839{col 41}{space 1}   -0.15{col 50}{space 3}0.878{col 58}{space 4}-.2241644{col 71}{space 3} .1916996
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0830853{col 30}{space 2} .1064835{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.436{col 58}{space 4}-.1260242{col 71}{space 3} .2921948
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1330021{col 30}{space 2} .1319798{col 41}{space 1}   -1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.314{col 58}{space 4}-.3921805{col 71}{space 3} .1261763
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0117073{col 30}{space 2} .0870215{col 41}{space 1}   -0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.893{col 58}{space 4}-.1825978{col 71}{space 3} .1591831
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1123616{col 30}{space 2} .2119872{col 41}{space 1}    0.53{col 50}{space 3}0.596{col 58}{space 4}-.3039332{col 71}{space 3} .5286563
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0129629{col 30}{space 2} .0771025{col 41}{space 1}    0.17{col 50}{space 3}0.867{col 58}{space 4}-.1384488{col 71}{space 3} .1643746
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2693677{col 30}{space 2} .1724769{col 41}{space 1}    1.56{col 50}{space 3}0.119{col 58}{space 4}-.0693378{col 71}{space 3} .6080732
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0757621{col 30}{space 2} .0843929{col 41}{space 1}    0.90{col 50}{space 3}0.370{col 58}{space 4}-.0899664{col 71}{space 3} .2414907
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1514851{col 30}{space 2} .1628976{col 41}{space 1}    0.93{col 50}{space 3}0.353{col 58}{space 4}-.1684088{col 71}{space 3}  .471379
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .130925{col 30}{space 2} .1066432{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.220{col 58}{space 4}-.0784981{col 71}{space 3}  .340348
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0634037{col 30}{space 2} .0989039{col 41}{space 1}    0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.522{col 58}{space 4}-.1308212{col 71}{space 3} .2576286
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1075137{col 30}{space 2} .0982564{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.274{col 58}{space 4}-.0854395{col 71}{space 3}  .300467
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.148907{col 30}{space 2} .1975456{col 41}{space 1}   -0.75{col 50}{space 3}0.451{col 58}{space 4}-.5368418{col 71}{space 3} .2390277
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0741618{col 30}{space 2} .1025001{col 41}{space 1}    0.72{col 50}{space 3}0.470{col 58}{space 4}-.1271252{col 71}{space 3} .2754488
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2444334{col 30}{space 2} .1394977{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.080{col 58}{space 4}-.0295085{col 71}{space 3} .5183752
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1955414{col 30}{space 2} .1455111{col 41}{space 1}    1.34{col 50}{space 3}0.179{col 58}{space 4}-.0902094{col 71}{space 3} .4812922
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5660423{col 30}{space 2} .1811105{col 41}{space 1}    3.13{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2103823{col 71}{space 3} .9217022
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5883661{col 30}{space 2} .1678342{col 41}{space 1}    3.51{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .2587777{col 71}{space 3} .9179544
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2700818{col 30}{space 2} .2556764{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.291{col 58}{space 4}-.2320086{col 71}{space 3} .7721721
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7597216{col 30}{space 2} .2157904{col 41}{space 1}    3.52{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .3359582{col 71}{space 3} 1.183485
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.162981{col 30}{space 2} .3091116{col 41}{space 1}    3.76{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5559558{col 71}{space 3} 1.770006
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3703889{col 30}{space 2} .2688653{col 41}{space 1}    1.38{col 50}{space 3}0.169{col 58}{space 4}-.1576015{col 71}{space 3} .8983792
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .743227{col 30}{space 2}  .195873{col 41}{space 1}    3.79{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .358577{col 71}{space 3} 1.127877
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9166869{col 30}{space 2} .2053131{col 41}{space 1}    4.46{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5134987{col 71}{space 3} 1.319875
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5008109{col 30}{space 2} .1696834{col 41}{space 1}    2.95{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .1675911{col 71}{space 3} .8340306
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .764475{col 30}{space 2} .2250384{col 41}{space 1}    3.40{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .3225508{col 71}{space 3} 1.206399
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8659323{col 30}{space 2} .2021887{col 41}{space 1}    4.28{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4688796{col 71}{space 3} 1.262985
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6033394{col 30}{space 2} .1856426{col 41}{space 1}    3.25{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2387795{col 71}{space 3} .9678993
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3713463{col 30}{space 2} .2723768{col 41}{space 1}    1.36{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}  -.16354{col 71}{space 3} .9062326
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7286403{col 30}{space 2}  .231237{col 41}{space 1}    3.15{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2745433{col 71}{space 3} 1.182737
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8908681{col 30}{space 2} .3309335{col 41}{space 1}    2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .2409899{col 71}{space 3} 1.540746
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6879638{col 30}{space 2} .2044839{col 41}{space 1}    3.36{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .2864039{col 71}{space 3} 1.089524
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9006308{col 30}{space 2} .2282963{col 41}{space 1}    3.95{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4523087{col 71}{space 3} 1.348953
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8146163{col 30}{space 2} .2081401{col 41}{space 1}    3.91{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4058764{col 71}{space 3} 1.223356
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.074447{col 30}{space 2} .2445276{col 41}{space 1}    4.39{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5942505{col 71}{space 3} 1.554644
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8911245{col 30}{space 2} .2339004{col 41}{space 1}    3.81{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4317972{col 71}{space 3} 1.350452
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.003803{col 30}{space 2}  .288383{col 41}{space 1}    3.48{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4374838{col 71}{space 3} 1.570121
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9593889{col 30}{space 2} .2598572{col 41}{space 1}    3.69{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4490883{col 71}{space 3} 1.469689
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.185636{col 30}{space 2} .2819619{col 41}{space 1}    4.20{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6319265{col 71}{space 3} 1.739345
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .900668{col 30}{space 2} .2490464{col 41}{space 1}    3.62{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4115974{col 71}{space 3} 1.389739
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.150641{col 30}{space 2} .2756917{col 41}{space 1}    4.17{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6092448{col 71}{space 3} 1.692037
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.063696{col 30}{space 2} .2767938{col 41}{space 1}    3.84{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .520136{col 71}{space 3} 1.607256
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.18583{col 30}{space 2} .2869144{col 41}{space 1}    4.13{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .622395{col 71}{space 3} 1.749264
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.084476{col 30}{space 2} .2793748{col 41}{space 1}    3.88{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5358469{col 71}{space 3} 1.633104
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.109658{col 30}{space 2} .2882303{col 41}{space 1}    3.85{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5436392{col 71}{space 3} 1.675677
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.201245{col 30}{space 2} .3153318{col 41}{space 1}    3.81{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5820045{col 71}{space 3} 1.820485
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.215435{col 30}{space 2} .3081346{col 41}{space 1}    3.94{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6103282{col 71}{space 3} 1.820541
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.181853{col 30}{space 2} .3045646{col 41}{space 1}    3.88{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .5837577{col 71}{space 3} 1.779949
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.36659{col 30}{space 2} .3160125{col 41}{space 1}    4.32{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7460135{col 71}{space 3} 1.987167
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.296546{col 30}{space 2} .3153514{col 41}{space 1}    4.11{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6772674{col 71}{space 3} 1.915824
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.31907{col 30}{space 2} .3279136{col 41}{space 1}    4.02{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6751217{col 71}{space 3} 1.963017
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.354249{col 30}{space 2} .3418064{col 41}{space 1}    3.96{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6830187{col 71}{space 3} 2.025479
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.28761{col 30}{space 2} .3368247{col 41}{space 1}    3.82{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6261632{col 71}{space 3} 1.949058
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.327799{col 30}{space 2} .3450259{col 41}{space 1}    3.85{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6502463{col 71}{space 3} 2.005351
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.383106{col 30}{space 2} .3577852{col 41}{space 1}    3.87{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6804973{col 71}{space 3} 2.085715
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.336239{col 30}{space 2} .3549709{col 41}{space 1}    3.76{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6391566{col 71}{space 3} 2.033321
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.423279{col 30}{space 2} .3712764{col 41}{space 1}    3.83{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6941767{col 71}{space 3} 2.152382
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.473193{col 30}{space 2} .3840221{col 41}{space 1}    3.84{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7190603{col 71}{space 3} 2.227325
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.460531{col 30}{space 2} .3807118{col 41}{space 1}    3.84{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7128994{col 71}{space 3} 2.208163
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.493809{col 30}{space 2} .3819924{col 41}{space 1}    3.91{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7436628{col 71}{space 3} 2.243956
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.527303{col 30}{space 2} .3896992{col 41}{space 1}    3.92{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7620221{col 71}{space 3} 2.292584
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.509577{col 30}{space 2} .3835697{col 41}{space 1}    3.94{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7563332{col 71}{space 3} 2.262821
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.470843{col 30}{space 2} .3819112{col 41}{space 1}    3.85{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7208562{col 71}{space 3}  2.22083
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.590874{col 30}{space 2} .4278246{col 41}{space 1}    3.72{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7507235{col 71}{space 3} 2.431024
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1663847{col 30}{space 2}  .135618{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.220{col 58}{space 4}-.0999382{col 71}{space 3} .4327076
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,624 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   624) ={res}   18.52
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY) *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   624) ={res}    9.42
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0000655{col 26}{space 2}  .000103{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.525{col 54}{space 4}-.0001369{col 67}{space 3} .0002678
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0007485{col 26}{space 2} .0001573{col 37}{space 1}   -4.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0010569{col 67}{space 3}-.0004402
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.B: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980)***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       385{col 27}-2688.837{col 38}-2319.902{col 49}    65{col 58} 4769.804{col 69} 5026.765
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       385
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 64,       320){col 67}= {res}    266.33
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1508852{col 34}{space 2} .0539478{col 45}{space 1}   -2.80{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-.2570223{col 75}{space 3} -.044748
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.958812{col 34}{space 2} 1.122522{col 45}{space 1}    1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.082{col 62}{space 4}-.2496424{col 75}{space 3} 4.167267
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .294864{col 34}{space 2} .0864556{col 45}{space 1}    3.41{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} .1247708{col 75}{space 3} .4649572
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.472428{col 34}{space 2} 1.200367{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.221{col 62}{space 4}-.8891808{col 75}{space 3} 3.834037
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1008161{col 34}{space 2} .0469384{col 45}{space 1}   -2.15{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} -.193163{col 75}{space 3}-.0084692
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .5108666{col 34}{space 2} 1.085154{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.638{col 62}{space 4}-1.624071{col 75}{space 3} 2.645804
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0315985{col 34}{space 2} .0615357{col 45}{space 1}   -0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.608{col 62}{space 4}-.1526641{col 75}{space 3} .0894671
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1.46749{col 34}{space 2}  1.08601{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.178{col 62}{space 4}-.6691323{col 75}{space 3} 3.604112
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-384.9628{col 34}{space 2} 214.0516{col 45}{space 1}   -1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.073{col 62}{space 4}-806.0889{col 75}{space 3} 36.16329
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 230.3574{col 34}{space 2} 250.4347{col 45}{space 1}    0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.358{col 62}{space 4} -262.349{col 75}{space 3} 723.0639
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6630626{col 34}{space 2} 38.65377{col 45}{space 1}   -0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.986{col 62}{space 4}-76.71068{col 75}{space 3} 75.38455
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 29.98697{col 34}{space 2} 63.21128{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.636{col 62}{space 4}-94.37521{col 75}{space 3} 154.3491
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-253.8327{col 34}{space 2} 257.2492{col 45}{space 1}   -0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.325{col 62}{space 4} -759.946{col 75}{space 3} 252.2806
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-509.9734{col 34}{space 2} 569.7497{col 45}{space 1}   -0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.371{col 62}{space 4}-1630.902{col 75}{space 3}  610.955
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-147.5864{col 34}{space 2} 455.6479{col 45}{space 1}   -0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.746{col 62}{space 4} -1044.03{col 75}{space 3} 748.8575
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3241.773{col 34}{space 2} 766.3073{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1734.136{col 75}{space 3}  4749.41
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-52.84286{col 34}{space 2} 64.58494{col 45}{space 1}   -0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.414{col 62}{space 4}-179.9076{col 75}{space 3} 74.22188
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  30.2785{col 34}{space 2} 50.97429{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.553{col 62}{space 4}-70.00857{col 75}{space 3} 130.5656
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.69796{col 34}{space 2}  54.9635{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.720{col 62}{space 4} -88.4375{col 75}{space 3} 127.8334
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.756397{col 34}{space 2} 51.29866{col 45}{space 1}   -0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.911{col 62}{space 4}-106.6816{col 75}{space 3} 95.16883
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-53.42008{col 34}{space 2} 50.09373{col 45}{space 1}   -1.07{col 54}{space 3}0.287{col 62}{space 4}-151.9747{col 75}{space 3} 45.13457
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 251.1977{col 34}{space 2} 86.90535{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 80.21972{col 75}{space 3} 422.1758
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 110.7511{col 34}{space 2} 36.11999{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 39.68841{col 75}{space 3} 181.8137
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.2078{col 34}{space 2} 54.42814{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4}  5.12558{col 75}{space 3}   219.29
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-147.9591{col 34}{space 2} 62.58113{col 45}{space 1}   -2.36{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4}-271.0816{col 75}{space 3} -24.8367
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.49921{col 34}{space 2} 28.79233{col 45}{space 1}    0.78{col 54}{space 3}0.435{col 62}{space 4}-34.14696{col 75}{space 3} 79.14537
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.90275{col 34}{space 2} 26.20321{col 45}{space 1}   -0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.343{col 62}{space 4}-76.45508{col 75}{space 3} 26.64959
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.19147{col 34}{space 2} 55.21658{col 45}{space 1}   -0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.770{col 62}{space 4}-124.8248{col 75}{space 3}  92.4419
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 283.0564{col 34}{space 2} 78.76987{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 128.0842{col 75}{space 3} 438.0287
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 246.9897{col 34}{space 2} 86.50673{col 45}{space 1}    2.86{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 76.79592{col 75}{space 3} 417.1835
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 128.5814{col 34}{space 2}  107.035{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.231{col 62}{space 4}-81.99968{col 75}{space 3} 339.1625
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 479.5221{col 34}{space 2} 109.8421{col 45}{space 1}    4.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 263.4181{col 75}{space 3}  695.626
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 218.3119{col 34}{space 2} 106.1164{col 45}{space 1}    2.06{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4} 9.537981{col 75}{space 3} 427.0858
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 529.2045{col 34}{space 2} 75.05088{col 45}{space 1}    7.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 381.5491{col 75}{space 3}   676.86
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 440.9165{col 34}{space 2} 69.40413{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 304.3705{col 75}{space 3} 577.4625
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 562.4892{col 34}{space 2} 60.82013{col 45}{space 1}    9.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 442.8314{col 75}{space 3}  682.147
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 508.5158{col 34}{space 2} 59.88174{col 45}{space 1}    8.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 390.7041{col 75}{space 3} 626.3274
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 368.5169{col 34}{space 2} 58.01794{col 45}{space 1}    6.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 254.3721{col 75}{space 3} 482.6616
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 776.5576{col 34}{space 2} 68.48333{col 45}{space 1}   11.34{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 641.8232{col 75}{space 3} 911.2921
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 625.3625{col 34}{space 2} 76.78567{col 45}{space 1}    8.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  474.294{col 75}{space 3} 776.4311
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 424.5494{col 34}{space 2} 82.52735{col 45}{space 1}    5.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 262.1847{col 75}{space 3} 586.9141
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 566.5913{col 34}{space 2} 79.16433{col 45}{space 1}    7.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  410.843{col 75}{space 3} 722.3396
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 791.5494{col 34}{space 2} 89.60161{col 45}{space 1}    8.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 615.2668{col 75}{space 3} 967.8321
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 503.2234{col 34}{space 2} 92.08721{col 45}{space 1}    5.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 322.0506{col 75}{space 3} 684.3963
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 742.0296{col 34}{space 2} 98.94704{col 45}{space 1}    7.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 547.3607{col 75}{space 3} 936.6985
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 773.3689{col 34}{space 2} 93.55009{col 45}{space 1}    8.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  589.318{col 75}{space 3} 957.4198
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 785.4631{col 34}{space 2} 104.2535{col 45}{space 1}    7.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 580.3543{col 75}{space 3} 990.5718
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 942.9807{col 34}{space 2} 106.9939{col 45}{space 1}    8.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 732.4805{col 75}{space 3} 1153.481
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 981.3065{col 34}{space 2} 112.7489{col 45}{space 1}    8.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 759.4838{col 75}{space 3} 1203.129
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1054.873{col 34}{space 2}  127.445{col 45}{space 1}    8.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 804.1369{col 75}{space 3} 1305.609
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1059.531{col 34}{space 2} 139.3392{col 45}{space 1}    7.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 785.3948{col 75}{space 3} 1333.668
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1154.431{col 34}{space 2} 155.8126{col 45}{space 1}    7.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 847.8842{col 75}{space 3} 1460.977
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1115.877{col 34}{space 2} 180.7961{col 45}{space 1}    6.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 760.1777{col 75}{space 3} 1471.576
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1040.014{col 34}{space 2} 190.2724{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 665.6712{col 75}{space 3} 1414.357
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1211.978{col 34}{space 2} 205.2836{col 45}{space 1}    5.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.1017{col 75}{space 3} 1615.854
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1499.933{col 34}{space 2}  227.815{col 45}{space 1}    6.58{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1051.729{col 75}{space 3} 1948.137
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1449.196{col 34}{space 2}   240.26{col 45}{space 1}    6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 976.5072{col 75}{space 3} 1921.885
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 969.9594{col 34}{space 2} 243.6058{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 490.6881{col 75}{space 3} 1449.231
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1054.59{col 34}{space 2} 267.6603{col 45}{space 1}    3.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 527.9941{col 75}{space 3} 1581.187
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1562.423{col 34}{space 2} 270.0412{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1031.143{col 75}{space 3} 2093.703
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1297.778{col 34}{space 2} 299.3876{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 708.7611{col 75}{space 3} 1886.794
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1602.936{col 34}{space 2} 311.2782{col 45}{space 1}    5.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 990.5259{col 75}{space 3} 2215.346
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1156.849{col 34}{space 2} 311.1904{col 45}{space 1}    3.72{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 544.6118{col 75}{space 3} 1769.087
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1052.396{col 34}{space 2} 338.8786{col 45}{space 1}    3.11{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 385.6842{col 75}{space 3} 1719.107
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 460.5086{col 34}{space 2} 447.9927{col 45}{space 1}    1.03{col 54}{space 3}0.305{col 62}{space 4}-420.8744{col 75}{space 3} 1341.892
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,954 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   320) ={res}    7.82
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0055
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   320) ={res}    3.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0202
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.450785{col 26}{space 2} 2.311581{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-1.097031{col 67}{space 3}   7.9986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.98214{col 26}{space 2} 6.304431{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} .6256828{col 67}{space 3}  25.3386
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        385
{txt}25%    {res} .9433962              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        385

{txt}50%    {res} 6.373626                      {txt}Mean          {res} 15.08223
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}     20.3
{txt}75%    {res} 21.01075       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res}     44.5       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 412.0899
{txt}95%    {res} 63.63636       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.821364
{txt}99%    {res} 86.86869       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 5.859765
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 39.39394 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])* 1.923077

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  486.452{col 26}{space 2} 236.2325{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.039{col 54}{space 4} 23.44488{col 67}{space 3} 949.4591
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       385{col 27}-267.5408{col 38}-184.6897{col 49}    59{col 58} 487.3795{col 69} 720.6208
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       385
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 58,       326){col 67}= {res}      4.99
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1688929{col 30}{space 2} .0425293{col 41}{space 1}   -3.97{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.2525594{col 71}{space 3}-.0852264
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001981{col 30}{space 2} .0000871{col 41}{space 1}   -2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4}-.0003693{col 71}{space 3}-.0000268
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0208565{col 30}{space 2} .0739264{col 41}{space 1}    0.28{col 50}{space 3}0.778{col 58}{space 4}-.1245765{col 71}{space 3} .1662896
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001595{col 30}{space 2} .0001682{col 41}{space 1}   -0.95{col 50}{space 3}0.344{col 58}{space 4}-.0004904{col 71}{space 3} .0001714
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2383151{col 30}{space 2} .0533193{col 41}{space 1}   -4.47{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.3432085{col 71}{space 3}-.1334218
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002931{col 30}{space 2} .0001998{col 41}{space 1}    1.47{col 50}{space 3}0.143{col 58}{space 4}-.0001001{col 71}{space 3} .0006862
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1202887{col 30}{space 2} .0579445{col 41}{space 1}   -2.08{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4}-.2342812{col 71}{space 3}-.0062963
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0002684{col 30}{space 2} .0002108{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4}-.0001463{col 71}{space 3} .0006831
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0515288{col 30}{space 2} .1606693{col 41}{space 1}   -0.32{col 50}{space 3}0.749{col 58}{space 4}-.3676084{col 71}{space 3} .2645508
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1829608{col 30}{space 2}  .153728{col 41}{space 1}   -1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.4853849{col 71}{space 3} .1194632
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1483929{col 30}{space 2} .1579616{col 41}{space 1}    0.94{col 50}{space 3}0.348{col 58}{space 4}-.1623598{col 71}{space 3} .4591457
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0365938{col 30}{space 2} .1611353{col 41}{space 1}    0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.820{col 58}{space 4}-.2804023{col 71}{space 3}   .35359
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0105247{col 30}{space 2} .1095311{col 41}{space 1}    0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.924{col 58}{space 4}-.2049523{col 71}{space 3} .2260018
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0737264{col 30}{space 2} .1018935{col 41}{space 1}    0.72{col 50}{space 3}0.470{col 58}{space 4}-.1267254{col 71}{space 3} .2741782
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0434937{col 30}{space 2} .1180548{col 41}{space 1}    0.37{col 50}{space 3}0.713{col 58}{space 4}-.1887516{col 71}{space 3}  .275739
{txt}{space 13}12  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8639432{col 30}{space 2} .2094495{col 41}{space 1}    4.12{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .4518999{col 71}{space 3} 1.275986
{txt}{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4390532{col 30}{space 2} .1369005{col 41}{space 1}    3.21{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .1697333{col 71}{space 3} .7083731
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1449267{col 30}{space 2} .1152809{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.210{col 58}{space 4}-.0818616{col 71}{space 3}  .371715
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1116234{col 30}{space 2}  .127426{col 41}{space 1}   -0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.382{col 58}{space 4}-.3623045{col 71}{space 3} .1390576
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4898754{col 30}{space 2} .1514774{col 41}{space 1}    3.23{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .1918789{col 71}{space 3} .7878719
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1567344{col 30}{space 2} .1514256{col 41}{space 1}    1.04{col 50}{space 3}0.301{col 58}{space 4}-.1411603{col 71}{space 3} .4546291
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6824102{col 30}{space 2} .1817796{col 41}{space 1}    3.75{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}  .324801{col 71}{space 3} 1.040019
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4963997{col 30}{space 2} .1745627{col 41}{space 1}    2.84{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .1529882{col 71}{space 3} .8398113
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8003797{col 30}{space 2} .2108158{col 41}{space 1}    3.80{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .3856487{col 71}{space 3} 1.215111
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1061849{col 30}{space 2} .1702157{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.533{col 58}{space 4}-.2286749{col 71}{space 3} .4410447
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2602881{col 30}{space 2} .2431652{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4} -.218083{col 71}{space 3} .7386592
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0606685{col 30}{space 2} .2061883{col 41}{space 1}   -0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.769{col 58}{space 4}-.4662961{col 71}{space 3} .3449591
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0056452{col 30}{space 2} .1618686{col 41}{space 1}    0.03{col 50}{space 3}0.972{col 58}{space 4}-.3127937{col 71}{space 3} .3240841
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1162285{col 30}{space 2} .2397549{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.628{col 58}{space 4}-.3554336{col 71}{space 3} .5878905
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0143867{col 30}{space 2} .1309992{col 41}{space 1}    0.11{col 50}{space 3}0.913{col 58}{space 4}-.2433237{col 71}{space 3} .2720971
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3120463{col 30}{space 2} .2020508{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.123{col 58}{space 4}-.0854418{col 71}{space 3} .7095343
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1353206{col 30}{space 2} .1292034{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.296{col 58}{space 4} -.118857{col 71}{space 3} .3894983
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2652822{col 30}{space 2} .2149817{col 41}{space 1}    1.23{col 50}{space 3}0.218{col 58}{space 4}-.1576443{col 71}{space 3} .6882086
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2307155{col 30}{space 2} .1808225{col 41}{space 1}    1.28{col 50}{space 3}0.203{col 58}{space 4}-.1250107{col 71}{space 3} .5864417
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1474057{col 30}{space 2} .1324221{col 41}{space 1}    1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.266{col 58}{space 4}-.1131039{col 71}{space 3} .4079154
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .262506{col 30}{space 2}  .164921{col 41}{space 1}    1.59{col 50}{space 3}0.112{col 58}{space 4}-.0619377{col 71}{space 3} .5869497
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0410541{col 30}{space 2} .2594701{col 41}{space 1}    0.16{col 50}{space 3}0.874{col 58}{space 4}-.4693931{col 71}{space 3} .5515013
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2230027{col 30}{space 2} .1790589{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.214{col 58}{space 4} -.129254{col 71}{space 3} .5752595
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4027883{col 30}{space 2} .2082651{col 41}{space 1}    1.93{col 50}{space 3}0.054{col 58}{space 4}-.0069249{col 71}{space 3} .8125016
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3845084{col 30}{space 2} .2346082{col 41}{space 1}    1.64{col 50}{space 3}0.102{col 58}{space 4}-.0770287{col 71}{space 3} .8460455
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7513528{col 30}{space 2} .2511047{col 41}{space 1}    2.99{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .2573626{col 71}{space 3} 1.245343
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7987658{col 30}{space 2} .2616742{col 41}{space 1}    3.05{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .2839826{col 71}{space 3} 1.313549
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5124915{col 30}{space 2} .3104944{col 41}{space 1}    1.65{col 50}{space 3}0.100{col 58}{space 4} -.098334{col 71}{space 3} 1.123317
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.027843{col 30}{space 2} .3132124{col 41}{space 1}    3.28{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4116701{col 71}{space 3} 1.644015
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.469102{col 30}{space 2} .3699079{col 41}{space 1}    3.97{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .7413945{col 71}{space 3}  2.19681
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7454829{col 30}{space 2} .3843309{col 41}{space 1}    1.94{col 50}{space 3}0.053{col 58}{space 4}-.0105988{col 71}{space 3} 1.501565
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.195709{col 30}{space 2} .3623326{col 41}{space 1}    3.30{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .4829035{col 71}{space 3} 1.908514
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.415154{col 30}{space 2} .3864836{col 41}{space 1}    3.66{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4} .6548369{col 71}{space 3}  2.17547
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.067693{col 30}{space 2} .3800785{col 41}{space 1}    2.81{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .3199768{col 71}{space 3} 1.815409
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.387492{col 30}{space 2} .4671452{col 41}{space 1}    2.97{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .4684928{col 71}{space 3} 2.306492
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.462561{col 30}{space 2} .4472005{col 41}{space 1}    3.27{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4} .5827978{col 71}{space 3} 2.342324
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   1.1889{col 30}{space 2} .4412915{col 41}{space 1}    2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4}  .320762{col 71}{space 3} 2.057039
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.088931{col 30}{space 2} .5249795{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0561556{col 71}{space 3} 2.121706
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.54984{col 30}{space 2} .5385606{col 41}{space 1}    2.88{col 50}{space 3}0.004{col 58}{space 4} .4903476{col 71}{space 3} 2.609333
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.638345{col 30}{space 2} .5841739{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4}  .489119{col 71}{space 3} 2.787572
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.426052{col 30}{space 2}  .521699{col 41}{space 1}    2.73{col 50}{space 3}0.007{col 58}{space 4} .3997302{col 71}{space 3} 2.452373
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.662342{col 30}{space 2}   .54178{col 41}{space 1}    3.07{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .5965163{col 71}{space 3} 2.728169
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.631729{col 30}{space 2} .5420159{col 41}{space 1}    3.01{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4} .5654388{col 71}{space 3} 2.698019
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5544253{col 30}{space 2} .3969508{col 41}{space 1}    1.40{col 50}{space 3}0.163{col 58}{space 4}-.2264831{col 71}{space 3} 1.335334
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,954 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   326) ={res}   15.77
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   326) ={res}   10.01
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0001
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000402{col 26}{space 2}  .000325{col 37}{space 1}    1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.217{col 54}{space 4}-.0002375{col 67}{space 3} .0010414
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0011727{col 26}{space 2} .0005798{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-.0023091{col 67}{space 3}-.0000363
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3175.111       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3754.191       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 4006.136       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        385
{txt}25%    {res} 4967.889       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        385

{txt}50%    {res} 6443.068                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6873.828
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2359.508
{txt}75%    {res} 8856.906        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 10197.66       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5567280
{txt}95%    {res}  11124.2       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .4237045
{txt}99%    {res}  12169.1       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.118678
{txt}
{com}. 
. *
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8860.249 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4972.713

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.558785{col 26}{space 2} 2.254003{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4} -8.97655{col 67}{space 3}-.1410192
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** II.C: SOUTHERN STATES (N = 14): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       330{col 27}-2337.978{col 38}-2110.121{col 49}    62{col 58} 4344.243{col 69} 4579.787
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       330
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 61,       268){col 67}= {res}     40.46
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1562387{col 34}{space 2} .0259114{col 45}{space 1}   -6.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.2072544{col 75}{space 3} -.105223
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.6742364{col 34}{space 2} 1.104013{col 45}{space 1}   -0.61{col 54}{space 3}0.542{col 62}{space 4}-2.847878{col 75}{space 3} 1.499405
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3389282{col 34}{space 2} .0956619{col 45}{space 1}    3.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .1505837{col 75}{space 3} .5272726
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.9020605{col 34}{space 2} 1.561358{col 45}{space 1}   -0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.564{col 62}{space 4}-3.976147{col 75}{space 3} 2.172026
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2045714{col 34}{space 2}  .085521{col 45}{space 1}    2.39{col 54}{space 3}0.017{col 62}{space 4} .0361929{col 75}{space 3} .3729499
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.493421{col 34}{space 2} 1.630528{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.361{col 62}{space 4}-4.703695{col 75}{space 3} 1.716853
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0232135{col 34}{space 2} .0758416{col 45}{space 1}    0.31{col 54}{space 3}0.760{col 62}{space 4}-.1261077{col 75}{space 3} .1725346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2486163{col 34}{space 2} 1.673034{col 45}{space 1}   -0.15{col 54}{space 3}0.882{col 62}{space 4}-3.542579{col 75}{space 3} 3.045346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-533.8952{col 34}{space 2} 764.2059{col 45}{space 1}   -0.70{col 54}{space 3}0.485{col 62}{space 4}-2038.506{col 75}{space 3} 970.7156
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 74.23651{col 34}{space 2} 1048.404{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.944{col 62}{space 4}-1989.919{col 75}{space 3} 2138.392
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 56.56355{col 34}{space 2}  69.7777{col 45}{space 1}    0.81{col 54}{space 3}0.418{col 62}{space 4}-80.81864{col 75}{space 3} 193.9457
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -208.053{col 34}{space 2} 60.23706{col 45}{space 1}   -3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4}-326.6511{col 75}{space 3}-89.45497
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1141.745{col 34}{space 2} 522.4679{col 45}{space 1}   -2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.030{col 62}{space 4}-2170.409{col 75}{space 3}-113.0816
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.2752{col 34}{space 2} 958.9256{col 45}{space 1}    0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.678{col 62}{space 4} -1489.71{col 75}{space 3} 2286.261
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 305.2026{col 34}{space 2} 4497.511{col 45}{space 1}    0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.946{col 62}{space 4}-8549.745{col 75}{space 3}  9160.15
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4900.45{col 34}{space 2} 2986.471{col 45}{space 1}    1.64{col 54}{space 3}0.102{col 62}{space 4} -979.478{col 75}{space 3} 10780.38
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.99706{col 34}{space 2}  39.3823{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-42.54098{col 75}{space 3} 112.5351
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 34.15017{col 34}{space 2} 53.37039{col 45}{space 1}    0.64{col 54}{space 3}0.523{col 62}{space 4} -70.9284{col 75}{space 3} 139.2287
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-14.94226{col 34}{space 2} 49.68009{col 45}{space 1}   -0.30{col 54}{space 3}0.764{col 62}{space 4}-112.7552{col 75}{space 3} 82.87063
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-38.56155{col 34}{space 2} 54.42909{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.479{col 62}{space 4}-145.7246{col 75}{space 3} 68.60145
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-75.53887{col 34}{space 2} 55.68422{col 45}{space 1}   -1.36{col 54}{space 3}0.176{col 62}{space 4} -185.173{col 75}{space 3}  34.0953
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.09394{col 34}{space 2} 75.14757{col 45}{space 1}    0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.789{col 62}{space 4}-127.8607{col 75}{space 3} 168.0486
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.34414{col 34}{space 2} 98.62764{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.422{col 62}{space 4}-273.5277{col 75}{space 3} 114.8394
{txt}{space 17}12  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 454.0228{col 34}{space 2} 93.00194{col 45}{space 1}    4.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 270.9155{col 75}{space 3} 637.1302
{txt}{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 295.2809{col 34}{space 2} 60.29535{col 45}{space 1}    4.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 176.5681{col 75}{space 3} 413.9937
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 40.64999{col 34}{space 2} 45.83231{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.376{col 62}{space 4} -49.5872{col 75}{space 3} 130.8872
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-201.7895{col 34}{space 2} 56.67739{col 45}{space 1}   -3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} -313.379{col 75}{space 3}-90.19988
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 199.4632{col 34}{space 2} 46.29878{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 108.3076{col 75}{space 3} 290.6188
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 22.08715{col 34}{space 2} 46.79802{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.637{col 62}{space 4}-70.05137{col 75}{space 3} 114.2257
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 262.5713{col 34}{space 2} 86.07643{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 93.09926{col 75}{space 3} 432.0433
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  363.096{col 34}{space 2} 76.65416{col 45}{space 1}    4.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  212.175{col 75}{space 3} 514.0169
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 617.7751{col 34}{space 2} 121.4552{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.6473{col 75}{space 3} 856.9028
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-148.4788{col 34}{space 2} 93.94353{col 45}{space 1}   -1.58{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}  -333.44{col 75}{space 3} 36.48243
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  100.725{col 34}{space 2} 113.3273{col 45}{space 1}    0.89{col 54}{space 3}0.375{col 62}{space 4}-122.4001{col 75}{space 3} 323.8501
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 308.2889{col 34}{space 2}  96.1572{col 45}{space 1}    3.21{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 118.9693{col 75}{space 3} 497.6085
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 19.09933{col 34}{space 2} 122.1313{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.876{col 62}{space 4}-221.3595{col 75}{space 3} 259.5582
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 66.47764{col 34}{space 2}   112.37{col 45}{space 1}    0.59{col 54}{space 3}0.555{col 62}{space 4}-154.7627{col 75}{space 3}  287.718
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  20.6362{col 34}{space 2} 98.51098{col 45}{space 1}    0.21{col 54}{space 3}0.834{col 62}{space 4}-173.3177{col 75}{space 3} 214.5901
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 316.3385{col 34}{space 2} 105.7416{col 45}{space 1}    2.99{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 108.1486{col 75}{space 3} 524.5284
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 271.3176{col 34}{space 2} 123.7918{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4} 27.58946{col 75}{space 3} 515.0457
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 20.02206{col 34}{space 2} 127.7622{col 45}{space 1}    0.16{col 54}{space 3}0.876{col 62}{space 4}-231.5232{col 75}{space 3} 271.5673
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 47.66029{col 34}{space 2} 107.2455{col 45}{space 1}    0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.657{col 62}{space 4}-163.4906{col 75}{space 3} 258.8112
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 560.3033{col 34}{space 2} 123.6043{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 316.9444{col 75}{space 3} 803.6622
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 310.7883{col 34}{space 2} 164.2845{col 45}{space 1}    1.89{col 54}{space 3}0.060{col 62}{space 4}-12.66408{col 75}{space 3} 634.2408
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 524.2349{col 34}{space 2}  142.867{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 242.9504{col 75}{space 3} 805.5193
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 475.2241{col 34}{space 2} 153.3249{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 173.3496{col 75}{space 3} 777.0987
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 520.8171{col 34}{space 2} 153.1653{col 45}{space 1}    3.40{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 219.2569{col 75}{space 3} 822.3774
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 651.0488{col 34}{space 2} 164.0892{col 45}{space 1}    3.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 327.9809{col 75}{space 3} 974.1166
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   916.74{col 34}{space 2} 173.2921{col 45}{space 1}    5.29{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 575.5529{col 75}{space 3} 1257.927
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  534.952{col 34}{space 2} 196.3683{col 45}{space 1}    2.72{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 148.3312{col 75}{space 3} 921.5728
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 801.1755{col 34}{space 2} 184.0045{col 45}{space 1}    4.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.8973{col 75}{space 3} 1163.454
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 645.0481{col 34}{space 2}  199.613{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 252.0391{col 75}{space 3} 1038.057
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  564.625{col 34}{space 2} 197.2716{col 45}{space 1}    2.86{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 176.2258{col 75}{space 3} 953.0241
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 752.8327{col 34}{space 2} 195.5499{col 45}{space 1}    3.85{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 367.8232{col 75}{space 3} 1137.842
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1103.405{col 34}{space 2} 220.3253{col 45}{space 1}    5.01{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 669.6168{col 75}{space 3} 1537.194
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 987.0293{col 34}{space 2} 248.5834{col 45}{space 1}    3.97{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 497.6046{col 75}{space 3} 1476.454
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1127.865{col 34}{space 2} 241.3243{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  652.732{col 75}{space 3} 1602.997
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1022.864{col 34}{space 2}  236.557{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 557.1176{col 75}{space 3} 1488.611
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 759.0708{col 34}{space 2} 261.9494{col 45}{space 1}    2.90{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 243.3304{col 75}{space 3} 1274.811
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 209.4948{col 34}{space 2} 213.5588{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.327{col 62}{space 4}-210.9715{col 75}{space 3} 629.9612
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1248.194{col 34}{space 2} 219.3334{col 45}{space 1}    5.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 816.3582{col 75}{space 3}  1680.03
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1497.672{col 34}{space 2} 4505.264{col 45}{space 1}    0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.740{col 62}{space 4} -7372.54{col 75}{space 3} 10367.88
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,009 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   268) ={res}   36.36
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   268) ={res}   18.19
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.644098{col 26}{space 2}  3.16764{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.405{col 54}{space 4}-8.880721{col 67}{space 3} 3.592526
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.315424{col 26}{space 2}  7.01058{col 37}{space 1}   -0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.538{col 54}{space 4}-18.05591{col 67}{space 3}  9.42506
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney real_pc_inc_ann  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  9.52381       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 16.19048       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 24.37753        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        330
{txt}25%    {res} 43.51332        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        330

{txt}50%    {res} 67.97758                      {txt}Mean          {res}   63.229
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 25.22426
{txt}75%    {res} 83.33333        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 93.08333       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 636.2631
{txt}95%    {res} 97.89621       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5280498
{txt}99%    {res}  99.6129            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.214373

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9026.411       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9829.492       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10561.62       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        330
{txt}25%    {res} 12122.39       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        330

{txt}50%    {res} 13773.84                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13863.12
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  2493.96
{txt}75%    {res} 15688.15       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16891.35       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  6219836
{txt}95%    {res} 17892.14       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .199205
{txt}99%    {res} 20300.61       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.712839
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*83.33333 - (_b[l.klarnerranney]  / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*46.58065

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-158.6034{col 26}{space 2} 257.6576{col 37}{space 1}   -0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.538{col 54}{space 4} -663.603{col 67}{space 3} 346.3962
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       330{col 27}-1088.545{col 38}-1016.201{col 49}    56{col 58} 2144.402{col 69} 2357.151
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & nonsouth==0, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       330
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,       274){col 67}= {res}     30.47
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1912784{col 29}{space 2} .0394309{col 40}{space 1}   -4.85{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.2689043{col 70}{space 3}-.1136525
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0011246{col 29}{space 2} .0008008{col 40}{space 1}    1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4}-.0004519{col 70}{space 3}  .002701
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0172785{col 29}{space 2} .0511467{col 40}{space 1}   -0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.736{col 57}{space 4} -.117969{col 70}{space 3}  .083412
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0008688{col 29}{space 2} .0019775{col 40}{space 1}   -0.44{col 49}{space 3}0.661{col 57}{space 4}-.0047619{col 70}{space 3} .0030243
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0112048{col 29}{space 2} .0803008{col 40}{space 1}    0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.889{col 57}{space 4}-.1468802{col 70}{space 3} .1692899
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0024348{col 29}{space 2} .0027632{col 40}{space 1}    0.88{col 49}{space 3}0.379{col 57}{space 4} -.003005{col 70}{space 3} .0078746
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0192445{col 29}{space 2} .0580467{col 40}{space 1}   -0.33{col 49}{space 3}0.740{col 57}{space 4}-.1335187{col 70}{space 3} .0950297
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0009077{col 29}{space 2} .0023816{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.703{col 57}{space 4}-.0055962{col 70}{space 3} .0037809
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.123932{col 29}{space 2} 1.288688{col 40}{space 1}   -4.75{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-8.660921{col 70}{space 3}-3.586943
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.484633{col 29}{space 2} 1.189206{col 40}{space 1}    3.77{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 2.143492{col 70}{space 3} 6.825774
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.793371{col 29}{space 2} 1.643499{col 40}{space 1}    4.13{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  3.55788{col 70}{space 3} 10.02886
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.719399{col 29}{space 2} 1.409572{col 40}{space 1}   -3.35{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-7.494367{col 70}{space 3}-1.944431
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.585168{col 29}{space 2} 2.168166{col 40}{space 1}   -3.96{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-12.85355{col 70}{space 3}-4.316788
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.690281{col 29}{space 2} 1.931329{col 40}{space 1}    2.95{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}  1.88815{col 70}{space 3} 9.492411
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.610628{col 29}{space 2} 2.056879{col 40}{space 1}    1.76{col 49}{space 3}0.080{col 57}{space 4}-.4386667{col 70}{space 3} 7.659922
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.662968{col 29}{space 2} 2.769152{col 40}{space 1}   -0.96{col 49}{space 3}0.337{col 57}{space 4}-8.114485{col 70}{space 3} 2.788549
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.364595{col 29}{space 2} 1.688516{col 40}{space 1}   -1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.163{col 57}{space 4}-5.688708{col 70}{space 3} .9595173
{txt}{space 12}12  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.359402{col 29}{space 2} 3.978227{col 40}{space 1}    1.85{col 49}{space 3}0.065{col 57}{space 4}-.4723723{col 70}{space 3} 15.19118
{txt}{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5736394{col 29}{space 2} 1.796865{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.750{col 57}{space 4}-2.963775{col 70}{space 3} 4.111054
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3956265{col 29}{space 2} 1.225741{col 40}{space 1}   -0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.747{col 57}{space 4}-2.808692{col 70}{space 3} 2.017439
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.610985{col 29}{space 2} 1.714644{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.348{col 57}{space 4}-1.764564{col 70}{space 3} 4.986535
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.769356{col 29}{space 2} 2.155284{col 40}{space 1}    1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4}-1.473666{col 70}{space 3} 7.012377
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.731838{col 29}{space 2} 2.936136{col 40}{space 1}    3.31{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 3.951586{col 70}{space 3} 15.51209
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.460992{col 29}{space 2} 2.453641{col 40}{space 1}    2.23{col 49}{space 3}0.027{col 57}{space 4} .6306076{col 70}{space 3} 10.29138
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.360685{col 29}{space 2} 2.245452{col 40}{space 1}    1.50{col 49}{space 3}0.136{col 57}{space 4}-1.059846{col 70}{space 3} 7.781215
{txt}{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  5.55719{col 29}{space 2} 4.186788{col 40}{space 1}    1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.186{col 57}{space 4}-2.685171{col 70}{space 3} 13.79955
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.62527{col 29}{space 2} 2.771873{col 40}{space 1}   -1.67{col 49}{space 3}0.096{col 57}{space 4}-10.08214{col 70}{space 3}  .831604
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.343414{col 29}{space 2} 3.575702{col 40}{space 1}   -1.77{col 49}{space 3}0.077{col 57}{space 4}-13.38276{col 70}{space 3}  .695926
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.909988{col 29}{space 2} 2.628793{col 40}{space 1}   -2.25{col 49}{space 3}0.025{col 57}{space 4}-11.08519{col 70}{space 3}-.7347902
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.524655{col 29}{space 2} 3.875883{col 40}{space 1}    0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.694{col 57}{space 4}-6.105639{col 70}{space 3} 9.154949
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.307883{col 29}{space 2} 2.930716{col 40}{space 1}   -1.81{col 49}{space 3}0.071{col 57}{space 4}-11.07746{col 70}{space 3} .4616993
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.046403{col 29}{space 2} 3.592017{col 40}{space 1}   -0.57{col 49}{space 3}0.569{col 57}{space 4}-9.117862{col 70}{space 3} 5.025056
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-3.949929{col 29}{space 2} 2.727991{col 40}{space 1}   -1.45{col 49}{space 3}0.149{col 57}{space 4}-9.320414{col 70}{space 3} 1.420556
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3164903{col 29}{space 2} 3.386153{col 40}{space 1}   -0.09{col 49}{space 3}0.926{col 57}{space 4}-6.982673{col 70}{space 3} 6.349693
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.17584{col 29}{space 2} 3.175746{col 40}{space 1}   -1.00{col 49}{space 3}0.318{col 57}{space 4}-9.427802{col 70}{space 3} 3.076123
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.561659{col 29}{space 2} 3.029162{col 40}{space 1}   -0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.398{col 57}{space 4}-8.525047{col 70}{space 3} 3.401729
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3519636{col 29}{space 2} 3.560786{col 40}{space 1}   -0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.921{col 57}{space 4} -7.36194{col 70}{space 3} 6.658013
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5871275{col 29}{space 2} 3.968087{col 40}{space 1}    0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.882{col 57}{space 4}-7.224685{col 70}{space 3}  8.39894
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.4308451{col 29}{space 2} 3.372262{col 40}{space 1}   -0.13{col 49}{space 3}0.898{col 57}{space 4}-7.069681{col 70}{space 3} 6.207991
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.325529{col 29}{space 2} 4.791272{col 40}{space 1}    1.95{col 49}{space 3}0.053{col 57}{space 4}-.1068542{col 70}{space 3} 18.75791
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.384957{col 29}{space 2} 4.653954{col 40}{space 1}    0.94{col 49}{space 3}0.347{col 57}{space 4}-4.777094{col 70}{space 3} 13.54701
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.233193{col 29}{space 2}  4.38808{col 40}{space 1}    0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.611{col 57}{space 4}-6.405443{col 70}{space 3} 10.87183
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.366318{col 29}{space 2}  4.46063{col 40}{space 1}    0.31{col 49}{space 3}0.760{col 57}{space 4}-7.415145{col 70}{space 3} 10.14778
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.908817{col 29}{space 2} 5.082407{col 40}{space 1}   -0.38{col 49}{space 3}0.708{col 57}{space 4}-11.91435{col 70}{space 3} 8.096713
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1289321{col 29}{space 2} 4.596116{col 40}{space 1}    0.03{col 49}{space 3}0.978{col 57}{space 4}-8.919256{col 70}{space 3} 9.177121
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .557067{col 29}{space 2} 5.393482{col 40}{space 1}    0.10{col 49}{space 3}0.918{col 57}{space 4}-10.06086{col 70}{space 3}   11.175
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -1.14667{col 29}{space 2} 4.935278{col 40}{space 1}   -0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.816{col 57}{space 4}-10.86255{col 70}{space 3} 8.569213
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.292492{col 29}{space 2} 5.627434{col 40}{space 1}    0.23{col 49}{space 3}0.819{col 57}{space 4}-9.786009{col 70}{space 3} 12.37099
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.46815{col 29}{space 2} 5.374858{col 40}{space 1}    0.27{col 49}{space 3}0.785{col 57}{space 4}-9.113115{col 70}{space 3} 12.04942
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6709444{col 29}{space 2} 5.959154{col 40}{space 1}    0.11{col 49}{space 3}0.910{col 57}{space 4} -11.0606{col 70}{space 3} 12.40249
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  1.39984{col 29}{space 2} 5.805108{col 40}{space 1}    0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.810{col 57}{space 4}-10.02844{col 70}{space 3} 12.82812
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.204796{col 29}{space 2} 6.832381{col 40}{space 1}    0.32{col 49}{space 3}0.747{col 57}{space 4}-11.24584{col 70}{space 3} 15.65543
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.315756{col 29}{space 2} 6.684858{col 40}{space 1}    0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.729{col 57}{space 4}-10.84445{col 70}{space 3} 15.47597
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}   2.7457{col 29}{space 2} 6.361993{col 40}{space 1}    0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.666{col 57}{space 4}-9.778898{col 70}{space 3}  15.2703
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.353942{col 29}{space 2} 7.968682{col 40}{space 1}    0.42{col 49}{space 3}0.674{col 57}{space 4}-12.33368{col 70}{space 3} 19.04157
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.352135{col 29}{space 2} 8.605393{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.461{col 57}{space 4}-23.29323{col 70}{space 3} 10.58896
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & nonsouth==0
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,009 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. *
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   274) ={res}   23.53
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY) *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   274) ={res}   13.76
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006583{col 26}{space 2} .0027982{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.814{col 54}{space 4}-.0048504{col 67}{space 3}  .006167
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0058792{col 26}{space 2}  .004495{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.191{col 54}{space 4}-.0029308{col 67}{space 3} .0146891
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann  if klarnerranneyhatallpost !=. & year > 1980 & nonsouth==0, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 9026.411       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9829.492       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10561.62       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        330
{txt}25%    {res} 12122.39       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        330

{txt}50%    {res} 13773.84                      {txt}Mean          {res} 13863.12
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  2493.96
{txt}75%    {res} 15688.15       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 16891.35       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  6219836
{txt}95%    {res} 17892.14       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res}  .199205
{txt}99%    {res} 20300.61       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.712839
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / -_b[l.klarnerranney])*15294.64 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*11966

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 19.56971{col 26}{space 2}  14.9621{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.191{col 54}{space 4} -9.75546{col 67}{space 3} 48.89488
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.A: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 -2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-2319.461{col 38}-2013.438{col 49}    91{col 58} 4208.876{col 69} 4553.204
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 90,       234){col 67}= {res}    188.54
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0745586{col 34}{space 2} .0328144{col 45}{space 1}   -2.27{col 54}{space 3}0.024{col 62}{space 4} -.139208{col 75}{space 3}-.0099093
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.436573{col 34}{space 2}  1.31387{col 45}{space 1}   -1.09{col 54}{space 3}0.275{col 62}{space 4}  -4.0251{col 75}{space 3} 1.151953
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1780489{col 34}{space 2} .1196356{col 45}{space 1}    1.49{col 54}{space 3}0.138{col 62}{space 4}-.0576516{col 75}{space 3} .4137495
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .372648{col 34}{space 2} 1.001694{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.710{col 62}{space 4}-1.600843{col 75}{space 3} 2.346139
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1511838{col 34}{space 2} .0717822{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} .0097619{col 75}{space 3} .2926057
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.511914{col 34}{space 2} 1.587822{col 45}{space 1}    0.95{col 54}{space 3}0.342{col 62}{space 4} -1.61634{col 75}{space 3} 4.640167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0108234{col 34}{space 2} .0951169{col 45}{space 1}    0.11{col 54}{space 3}0.910{col 62}{space 4}-.1765716{col 75}{space 3} .1982184
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.468247{col 34}{space 2} 1.407533{col 45}{space 1}    1.04{col 54}{space 3}0.298{col 62}{space 4} -1.30481{col 75}{space 3} 4.241303
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-529.6811{col 34}{space 2} 375.1568{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.159{col 62}{space 4}-1268.798{col 75}{space 3} 209.4355
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-225.3816{col 34}{space 2} 511.0194{col 45}{space 1}   -0.44{col 54}{space 3}0.660{col 62}{space 4}-1232.168{col 75}{space 3} 781.4052
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .9385204{col 34}{space 2} 51.44819{col 45}{space 1}    0.02{col 54}{space 3}0.985{col 62}{space 4}-100.4223{col 75}{space 3} 102.2994
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 118.0542{col 34}{space 2} 120.0431{col 45}{space 1}    0.98{col 54}{space 3}0.326{col 62}{space 4}-118.4491{col 75}{space 3} 354.5575
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  576.485{col 34}{space 2} 425.4759{col 45}{space 1}    1.35{col 54}{space 3}0.177{col 62}{space 4}-261.7678{col 75}{space 3} 1414.738
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2692.029{col 34}{space 2} 1331.706{col 45}{space 1}   -2.02{col 54}{space 3}0.044{col 62}{space 4}-5315.695{col 75}{space 3}-68.36378
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1692.495{col 34}{space 2} 771.1922{col 45}{space 1}   -2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.029{col 62}{space 4}-3211.862{col 75}{space 3}-173.1274
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3839.988{col 34}{space 2}  1401.31{col 45}{space 1}    2.74{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 1079.192{col 75}{space 3} 6600.785
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  31.3646{col 34}{space 2} 55.22828{col 45}{space 1}    0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.571{col 62}{space 4} -77.4436{col 75}{space 3} 140.1728
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 63.52513{col 34}{space 2} 57.74206{col 45}{space 1}    1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.272{col 62}{space 4}-50.23561{col 75}{space 3} 177.2859
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-60.60842{col 34}{space 2} 54.21953{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.265{col 62}{space 4}-167.4292{col 75}{space 3} 46.21239
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-37.73531{col 34}{space 2} 58.44576{col 45}{space 1}   -0.65{col 54}{space 3}0.519{col 62}{space 4}-152.8824{col 75}{space 3} 77.41181
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5.312171{col 34}{space 2} 62.76868{col 45}{space 1}    0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.933{col 62}{space 4}-118.3518{col 75}{space 3} 128.9761
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-6.705575{col 34}{space 2} 100.9679{col 45}{space 1}   -0.07{col 54}{space 3}0.947{col 62}{space 4}-205.6279{col 75}{space 3} 192.2167
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-129.3988{col 34}{space 2} 57.56135{col 45}{space 1}   -2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-242.8035{col 75}{space 3}-15.99407
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-154.0075{col 34}{space 2} 65.56723{col 45}{space 1}   -2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} -283.185{col 75}{space 3}-24.82999
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.15561{col 34}{space 2} 63.80945{col 45}{space 1}   -1.24{col 54}{space 3}0.216{col 62}{space 4}  -204.87{col 75}{space 3} 46.55882
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  107.873{col 34}{space 2} 40.56451{col 45}{space 1}    2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.008{col 62}{space 4} 27.95463{col 75}{space 3} 187.7913
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 60.05545{col 34}{space 2} 171.4704{col 45}{space 1}    0.35{col 54}{space 3}0.726{col 62}{space 4}-277.7676{col 75}{space 3} 397.8785
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 532.8837{col 34}{space 2} 153.7043{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 230.0627{col 75}{space 3} 835.7047
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 592.6603{col 34}{space 2} 189.1115{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 220.0815{col 75}{space 3} 965.2391
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 875.1828{col 34}{space 2} 159.1952{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 561.5439{col 75}{space 3} 1188.822
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  602.406{col 34}{space 2} 144.8662{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 316.9973{col 75}{space 3} 887.8147
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 670.7248{col 34}{space 2} 131.7971{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 411.0643{col 75}{space 3} 930.3853
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 613.2934{col 34}{space 2} 135.8286{col 45}{space 1}    4.52{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 345.6903{col 75}{space 3} 880.8965
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 581.1812{col 34}{space 2} 135.0418{col 45}{space 1}    4.30{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 315.1281{col 75}{space 3} 847.2342
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 980.9445{col 34}{space 2} 137.1468{col 45}{space 1}    7.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 710.7443{col 75}{space 3} 1251.145
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.9166{col 34}{space 2}  154.232{col 45}{space 1}    5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 546.0557{col 75}{space 3} 1153.777
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 519.8516{col 34}{space 2} 164.3616{col 45}{space 1}    3.16{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}  196.034{col 75}{space 3} 843.6692
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 705.7738{col 34}{space 2} 147.8997{col 45}{space 1}    4.77{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 414.3887{col 75}{space 3} 997.1589
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1020.257{col 34}{space 2} 158.4762{col 45}{space 1}    6.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 708.0341{col 75}{space 3} 1332.479
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}    735.7{col 34}{space 2} 178.0793{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 384.8563{col 75}{space 3} 1086.544
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.1116{col 34}{space 2} 172.0063{col 45}{space 1}    4.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 502.2328{col 75}{space 3}  1179.99
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 967.3112{col 34}{space 2} 157.5901{col 45}{space 1}    6.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 656.8346{col 75}{space 3} 1277.788
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.0016{col 34}{space 2} 180.0969{col 45}{space 1}    5.25{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 591.1829{col 75}{space 3}  1300.82
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1126.502{col 34}{space 2} 179.6601{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 772.5444{col 75}{space 3}  1480.46
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1122.47{col 34}{space 2} 180.7523{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 766.3602{col 75}{space 3}  1478.58
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1150.668{col 34}{space 2} 189.8819{col 45}{space 1}    6.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.5715{col 75}{space 3} 1524.765
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1185.861{col 34}{space 2} 193.3772{col 45}{space 1}    6.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 804.8784{col 75}{space 3} 1566.844
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1263.883{col 34}{space 2} 207.9008{col 45}{space 1}    6.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 854.2864{col 75}{space 3}  1673.48
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1283.562{col 34}{space 2} 222.9068{col 45}{space 1}    5.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 844.4013{col 75}{space 3} 1722.723
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1070.534{col 34}{space 2} 230.0279{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 617.3441{col 75}{space 3} 1523.725
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1245.285{col 34}{space 2} 221.7179{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 808.4668{col 75}{space 3} 1682.103
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1631.066{col 34}{space 2} 240.0488{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1158.133{col 75}{space 3} 2103.999
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1468.545{col 34}{space 2}  267.269{col 45}{space 1}    5.49{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 941.9844{col 75}{space 3} 1995.106
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 781.4732{col 34}{space 2} 262.9843{col 45}{space 1}    2.97{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 263.3538{col 75}{space 3} 1299.593
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 841.5115{col 34}{space 2} 272.1662{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 305.3023{col 75}{space 3} 1377.721
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1544.588{col 34}{space 2} 266.1561{col 45}{space 1}    5.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1020.22{col 75}{space 3} 2068.957
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1360.997{col 34}{space 2} 310.5072{col 45}{space 1}    4.38{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 749.2497{col 75}{space 3} 1972.744
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1500.046{col 34}{space 2} 326.3453{col 45}{space 1}    4.60{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 857.0956{col 75}{space 3} 2142.996
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1038.788{col 34}{space 2} 300.2409{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 447.2671{col 75}{space 3} 1630.309
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.4881{col 34}{space 2} 314.9794{col 45}{space 1}    3.00{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 325.9302{col 75}{space 3} 1567.046
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1380.445{col 34}{space 2} 335.6441{col 45}{space 1}    4.11{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 719.1746{col 75}{space 3} 2041.715
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1224.186{col 34}{space 2} 330.1971{col 45}{space 1}    3.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 573.6466{col 75}{space 3} 1874.725
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1557.743{col 34}{space 2} 306.2784{col 45}{space 1}    5.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  954.327{col 75}{space 3} 2161.158
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1798.845{col 34}{space 2} 324.9766{col 45}{space 1}    5.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1158.591{col 75}{space 3} 2439.098
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1493.721{col 34}{space 2} 344.7873{col 45}{space 1}    4.33{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.4366{col 75}{space 3} 2173.005
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1494.58{col 34}{space 2} 285.9037{col 45}{space 1}    5.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 931.3056{col 75}{space 3} 2057.854
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1378.026{col 34}{space 2} 311.1836{col 45}{space 1}    4.43{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  764.947{col 75}{space 3} 1991.106
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1650.308{col 34}{space 2} 353.1955{col 45}{space 1}    4.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 954.4582{col 75}{space 3} 2346.157
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1565.585{col 34}{space 2} 370.2563{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 836.1237{col 75}{space 3} 2295.047
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.327{col 34}{space 2} 414.4888{col 45}{space 1}    2.94{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 402.7199{col 75}{space 3} 2035.933
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1193.988{col 34}{space 2} 384.6841{col 45}{space 1}    3.10{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 436.1008{col 75}{space 3} 1951.874
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1740.356{col 34}{space 2} 382.5421{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 986.6892{col 75}{space 3} 2494.023
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1524.17{col 34}{space 2} 398.2892{col 45}{space 1}    3.83{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 739.4796{col 75}{space 3} 2308.861
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1527.404{col 34}{space 2} 416.0402{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 707.7413{col 75}{space 3} 2347.067
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1574.455{col 34}{space 2} 378.3674{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 829.0131{col 75}{space 3} 2319.897
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1625.973{col 34}{space 2} 398.4993{col 45}{space 1}    4.08{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 840.8685{col 75}{space 3} 2411.078
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1729.99{col 34}{space 2} 413.7085{col 45}{space 1}    4.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 914.9204{col 75}{space 3} 2545.059
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2030.658{col 34}{space 2} 402.9805{col 45}{space 1}    5.04{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1236.725{col 75}{space 3} 2824.592
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1630.102{col 34}{space 2} 421.6632{col 45}{space 1}    3.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  799.361{col 75}{space 3} 2460.844
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1964.65{col 34}{space 2} 430.3748{col 45}{space 1}    4.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1116.745{col 75}{space 3} 2812.554
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1493.82{col 34}{space 2} 427.5355{col 45}{space 1}    3.49{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 651.5094{col 75}{space 3} 2336.131
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1406.116{col 34}{space 2}   460.62{col 45}{space 1}    3.05{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 498.6234{col 75}{space 3} 2313.608
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1646.79{col 34}{space 2} 441.5439{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 776.8807{col 75}{space 3} 2516.699
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2044.531{col 34}{space 2} 472.9278{col 45}{space 1}    4.32{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1112.79{col 75}{space 3} 2976.271
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1915.006{col 34}{space 2}  492.909{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 943.8997{col 75}{space 3} 2886.113
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1899.149{col 34}{space 2} 476.7365{col 45}{space 1}    3.98{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 959.9051{col 75}{space 3} 2838.394
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1749.84{col 34}{space 2} 475.6241{col 45}{space 1}    3.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 812.7873{col 75}{space 3} 2686.893
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1461.448{col 34}{space 2} 540.4724{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 396.6343{col 75}{space 3} 2526.262
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 713.8763{col 34}{space 2} 493.9876{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-259.3552{col 75}{space 3} 1687.108
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1895.581{col 34}{space 2} 514.1157{col 45}{space 1}    3.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 882.6941{col 75}{space 3} 2908.468
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1445.872{col 34}{space 2} 770.9623{col 45}{space 1}    1.88{col 54}{space 3}0.062{col 62}{space 4}-73.04184{col 75}{space 3} 2964.786
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   234) ={res}    5.16
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0240
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   234) ={res}    4.06
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0184
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.352808{col 26}{space 2} 3.032713{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-2.622102{col 67}{space 3} 9.327719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -19.2677{col 26}{space 2} 21.39371{col 37}{space 1}   -0.90{col 46}{space 3}0.368{col 54}{space 4} -61.1986{col 67}{space 3}  22.6632
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       325{col 27}-113.9815{col 38}-18.95772{col 49}    85{col 58} 207.9154{col 69} 529.5406
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if newsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       325
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 84,       240){col 67}= {res}      7.99
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1074383{col 30}{space 2} .0359213{col 41}{space 1}   -2.99{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.1781995{col 71}{space 3} -.036677
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000594{col 30}{space 2} .0000408{col 41}{space 1}   -1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0001398{col 71}{space 3}  .000021
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0059514{col 30}{space 2} .0618981{col 41}{space 1}    0.10{col 50}{space 3}0.923{col 58}{space 4}-.1159816{col 71}{space 3} .1278844
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0000673{col 30}{space 2} .0000965{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.486{col 58}{space 4}-.0002574{col 71}{space 3} .0001229
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3426483{col 30}{space 2} .0759475{col 41}{space 1}   -4.51{col 50}{space 3}0.000{col 58}{space 4}-.4922571{col 71}{space 3}-.1930395
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001337{col 30}{space 2} .0001049{col 41}{space 1}    1.27{col 50}{space 3}0.204{col 58}{space 4} -.000073{col 71}{space 3} .0003405
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1260379{col 30}{space 2} .0678157{col 41}{space 1}   -1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.2596278{col 71}{space 3}  .007552
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001763{col 30}{space 2} .0001213{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.147{col 58}{space 4}-.0000626{col 71}{space 3} .0004152
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0140955{col 30}{space 2} .0555141{col 41}{space 1}    0.25{col 50}{space 3}0.800{col 58}{space 4}-.0952616{col 71}{space 3} .1234526
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0094654{col 30}{space 2} .0518238{col 41}{space 1}   -0.18{col 50}{space 3}0.855{col 58}{space 4} -.111553{col 71}{space 3} .0926222
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0699734{col 30}{space 2} .0587914{col 41}{space 1}    1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.0458396{col 71}{space 3} .1857864
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.060885{col 30}{space 2} .0467756{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.194{col 58}{space 4}-.1530282{col 71}{space 3} .0312582
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.052549{col 30}{space 2} .0661593{col 41}{space 1}   -0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.428{col 58}{space 4} -.182876{col 71}{space 3}  .077778
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0805515{col 30}{space 2} .0475637{col 41}{space 1}    1.69{col 50}{space 3}0.092{col 58}{space 4}-.0131442{col 71}{space 3} .1742472
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .164324{col 30}{space 2} .0784869{col 41}{space 1}    2.09{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4} .0097129{col 71}{space 3} .3189351
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0197339{col 30}{space 2} .0524881{col 41}{space 1}   -0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.707{col 58}{space 4}  -.12313{col 71}{space 3} .0836622
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2610464{col 30}{space 2} .1084579{col 41}{space 1}   -2.41{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4}-.4746973{col 71}{space 3}-.0473955
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.244616{col 30}{space 2} .1063274{col 41}{space 1}   -2.30{col 50}{space 3}0.022{col 58}{space 4}  -.45407{col 71}{space 3}-.0351619
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2237759{col 30}{space 2} .1047355{col 41}{space 1}   -2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.034{col 58}{space 4} -.430094{col 71}{space 3}-.0174578
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0569784{col 30}{space 2} .0432658{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.0282509{col 71}{space 3} .1422077
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0251076{col 30}{space 2} .1831048{col 41}{space 1}    0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.891{col 58}{space 4}-.3355902{col 71}{space 3} .3858054
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0863653{col 30}{space 2} .1785401{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.629{col 58}{space 4}-.2653405{col 71}{space 3}  .438071
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0899103{col 30}{space 2} .1947742{col 41}{space 1}   -0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.4735955{col 71}{space 3} .2937749
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0495009{col 30}{space 2} .1612137{col 41}{space 1}   -0.31{col 50}{space 3}0.759{col 58}{space 4}-.3670753{col 71}{space 3} .2680735
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0915586{col 30}{space 2}  .433143{col 41}{space 1}    0.21{col 50}{space 3}0.833{col 58}{space 4}-.7616888{col 71}{space 3}  .944806
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0359267{col 30}{space 2} .1337052{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.788{col 58}{space 4}-.2993122{col 71}{space 3} .2274588
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4097033{col 30}{space 2} .3615608{col 41}{space 1}    1.13{col 50}{space 3}0.258{col 58}{space 4}-.3025345{col 71}{space 3} 1.121941
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0721155{col 30}{space 2}  .156395{col 41}{space 1}    0.46{col 50}{space 3}0.645{col 58}{space 4}-.2359666{col 71}{space 3} .3801976
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2060669{col 30}{space 2} .2699763{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.446{col 58}{space 4}-.3257588{col 71}{space 3} .7378926
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1080427{col 30}{space 2} .1815402{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.552{col 58}{space 4}-.2495728{col 71}{space 3} .4656582
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1143958{col 30}{space 2} .1643127{col 41}{space 1}    0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.487{col 58}{space 4}-.2092834{col 71}{space 3} .4380749
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0920743{col 30}{space 2} .1629749{col 41}{space 1}    0.56{col 50}{space 3}0.573{col 58}{space 4}-.2289695{col 71}{space 3} .4131181
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0788713{col 30}{space 2} .2870078{col 41}{space 1}   -0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.784{col 58}{space 4}-.6442473{col 71}{space 3} .4865047
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0736381{col 30}{space 2} .1778036{col 41}{space 1}    0.41{col 50}{space 3}0.679{col 58}{space 4}-.2766167{col 71}{space 3} .4238929
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2371869{col 30}{space 2} .2388776{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.322{col 58}{space 4}-.2333775{col 71}{space 3} .7077514
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2642848{col 30}{space 2} .3008071{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.381{col 58}{space 4}-.3282743{col 71}{space 3}  .856844
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7017362{col 30}{space 2} .2670987{col 41}{space 1}    2.63{col 50}{space 3}0.009{col 58}{space 4}  .175579{col 71}{space 3} 1.227893
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5400901{col 30}{space 2} .2384214{col 41}{space 1}    2.27{col 50}{space 3}0.024{col 58}{space 4} .0704244{col 71}{space 3} 1.009756
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1466208{col 30}{space 2} .4816544{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.761{col 58}{space 4}-.8021891{col 71}{space 3} 1.095431
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4326521{col 30}{space 2} .2358476{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.068{col 58}{space 4}-.0319436{col 71}{space 3} .8972477
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9945231{col 30}{space 2} .3554828{col 41}{space 1}    2.80{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4} .2942584{col 71}{space 3} 1.694788
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .558845{col 30}{space 2} .2586175{col 41}{space 1}    2.16{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .0493951{col 71}{space 3} 1.068295
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7256196{col 30}{space 2} .3223235{col 41}{space 1}    2.25{col 50}{space 3}0.025{col 58}{space 4} .0906753{col 71}{space 3} 1.360564
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6599174{col 30}{space 2} .2708444{col 41}{space 1}    2.44{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .1263817{col 71}{space 3} 1.193453
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4054715{col 30}{space 2} .2966677{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.173{col 58}{space 4}-.1789335{col 71}{space 3} .9898765
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5689013{col 30}{space 2} .3299276{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.0810222{col 71}{space 3} 1.218825
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}   .77595{col 30}{space 2} .3238809{col 41}{space 1}    2.40{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .1379379{col 71}{space 3} 1.413962
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4930841{col 30}{space 2} .2978951{col 41}{space 1}    1.66{col 50}{space 3}0.099{col 58}{space 4}-.0937388{col 71}{space 3} 1.079907
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2246748{col 30}{space 2} .4405729{col 41}{space 1}    0.51{col 50}{space 3}0.611{col 58}{space 4}-.6432086{col 71}{space 3} 1.092558
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7004286{col 30}{space 2}  .402162{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.0917894{col 71}{space 3} 1.492646
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4770848{col 30}{space 2} .3783425{col 41}{space 1}    1.26{col 50}{space 3}0.209{col 58}{space 4}-.2682113{col 71}{space 3} 1.222381
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .516951{col 30}{space 2} .3566948{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4}-.1857013{col 71}{space 3} 1.219603
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7331325{col 30}{space 2} .3950807{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4} -.045136{col 71}{space 3} 1.511401
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6856046{col 30}{space 2} .3574561{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0185474{col 71}{space 3} 1.389757
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.049201{col 30}{space 2} .4313154{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.016{col 58}{space 4} .1995537{col 71}{space 3} 1.898848
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8339756{col 30}{space 2} .4057917{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0346074{col 71}{space 3} 1.633344
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6803898{col 30}{space 2} .3912494{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.0903315{col 71}{space 3} 1.451111
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7696446{col 30}{space 2} .4154984{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.0488447{col 71}{space 3} 1.588134
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8400318{col 30}{space 2} .4052512{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0417283{col 71}{space 3} 1.638335
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6633402{col 30}{space 2} .4090021{col 41}{space 1}    1.62{col 50}{space 3}0.106{col 58}{space 4}-.1423522{col 71}{space 3} 1.469032
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8957849{col 30}{space 2} .4325991{col 41}{space 1}    2.07{col 50}{space 3}0.039{col 58}{space 4} .0436089{col 71}{space 3} 1.747961
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8516679{col 30}{space 2} .4616543{col 41}{space 1}    1.84{col 50}{space 3}0.066{col 58}{space 4}-.0577438{col 71}{space 3}  1.76108
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.020265{col 30}{space 2} .4798485{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0750128{col 71}{space 3} 1.965518
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8752618{col 30}{space 2} .4685912{col 41}{space 1}    1.87{col 50}{space 3}0.063{col 58}{space 4}-.0478149{col 71}{space 3} 1.798339
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .934505{col 30}{space 2} .4872866{col 41}{space 1}    1.92{col 50}{space 3}0.056{col 58}{space 4}-.0253997{col 71}{space 3}  1.89441
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.087894{col 30}{space 2} .5328983{col 41}{space 1}    2.04{col 50}{space 3}0.042{col 58}{space 4} .0381388{col 71}{space 3} 2.137649
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.040633{col 30}{space 2}  .513698{col 41}{space 1}    2.03{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0287002{col 71}{space 3} 2.052565
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9448389{col 30}{space 2} .4965481{col 41}{space 1}    1.90{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4}-.0333099{col 71}{space 3} 1.922988
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.159991{col 30}{space 2} .5198519{col 41}{space 1}    2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .1359359{col 71}{space 3} 2.184046
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9919518{col 30}{space 2} .5204599{col 41}{space 1}    1.91{col 50}{space 3}0.058{col 58}{space 4} -.033301{col 71}{space 3} 2.017205
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.091123{col 30}{space 2} .5397933{col 41}{space 1}    2.02{col 50}{space 3}0.044{col 58}{space 4} .0277856{col 71}{space 3} 2.154461
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.052543{col 30}{space 2} .5575188{col 41}{space 1}    1.89{col 50}{space 3}0.060{col 58}{space 4}-.0457118{col 71}{space 3} 2.150798
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9259249{col 30}{space 2} .5524236{col 41}{space 1}    1.68{col 50}{space 3}0.095{col 58}{space 4} -.162293{col 71}{space 3} 2.014143
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.009733{col 30}{space 2} .5768342{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.081{col 58}{space 4}-.1265714{col 71}{space 3} 2.146037
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.008557{col 30}{space 2} .5851632{col 41}{space 1}    1.72{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.1441549{col 71}{space 3} 2.161268
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.033581{col 30}{space 2} .5951737{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.084{col 58}{space 4}-.1388503{col 71}{space 3} 2.206012
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.179407{col 30}{space 2} .6343165{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.0701318{col 71}{space 3} 2.428945
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.190782{col 30}{space 2} .6523888{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0943571{col 71}{space 3} 2.475921
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.143223{col 30}{space 2} .6412394{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.076{col 58}{space 4} -.119953{col 71}{space 3} 2.406399
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.135428{col 30}{space 2} .6347252{col 41}{space 1}    1.79{col 50}{space 3}0.075{col 58}{space 4}-.1149151{col 71}{space 3} 2.385772
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.143512{col 30}{space 2} .6541222{col 41}{space 1}    1.75{col 50}{space 3}0.082{col 58}{space 4}-.1450414{col 71}{space 3} 2.432066
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.195889{col 30}{space 2} .6543861{col 41}{space 1}    1.83{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0931846{col 71}{space 3} 2.484963
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.197289{col 30}{space 2}  .656545{col 41}{space 1}    1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.069{col 58}{space 4}-.0960374{col 71}{space 3} 2.490615
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.304313{col 30}{space 2} .7254769{col 41}{space 1}    1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.073{col 58}{space 4}-.1248025{col 71}{space 3} 2.733428
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .401245{col 30}{space 2} .2613605{col 41}{space 1}    1.54{col 50}{space 3}0.126{col 58}{space 4}-.1136084{col 71}{space 3} .9160983
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfull if newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,014 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
.  
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   240) ={res}    8.95
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0031
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   240) ={res}    4.49
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0122
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002427{col 26}{space 2} .0001593{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-.0000711{col 67}{space 3} .0005566
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0005526{col 26}{space 2} .0003432{col 37}{space 1}   -1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-.0012253{col 67}{space 3} .0001201
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.B: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-1227.273{col 38}-1010.648{col 49}    57{col 58} 2135.297{col 69}  2315.69
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       118){col 67}= {res}    145.79
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2394916{col 34}{space 2} .0615264{col 45}{space 1}   -3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-.3613306{col 75}{space 3}-.1176525
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  4.05767{col 34}{space 2} 1.171177{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 1.738421{col 75}{space 3} 6.376919
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3748635{col 34}{space 2}  .147404{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} .0829634{col 75}{space 3} .6667636
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2.297857{col 34}{space 2} 1.058906{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.032{col 62}{space 4} .2009347{col 75}{space 3} 4.394779
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1025768{col 34}{space 2} .0843145{col 45}{space 1}   -1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.226{col 62}{space 4}-.2695426{col 75}{space 3} .0643889
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.514215{col 34}{space 2} 1.142963{col 45}{space 1}   -1.32{col 54}{space 3}0.188{col 62}{space 4}-3.777593{col 75}{space 3} .7491635
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0148482{col 34}{space 2} .1133986{col 45}{space 1}    0.13{col 54}{space 3}0.896{col 62}{space 4}-.2097119{col 75}{space 3} .2394083
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .224932{col 34}{space 2} 1.183032{col 45}{space 1}    0.19{col 54}{space 3}0.850{col 62}{space 4}-2.117794{col 75}{space 3} 2.567658
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.06862{col 34}{space 2} 358.8373{col 45}{space 1}    0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4} -693.527{col 75}{space 3} 727.6642
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-162.6094{col 34}{space 2} 354.5639{col 45}{space 1}   -0.46{col 54}{space 3}0.647{col 62}{space 4}-864.7425{col 75}{space 3} 539.5237
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-15.10918{col 34}{space 2} 111.8241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.14{col 54}{space 3}0.893{col 62}{space 4}-236.5514{col 75}{space 3}  206.333
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 288.0424{col 34}{space 2} 71.41441{col 45}{space 1}    4.03{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 146.6224{col 75}{space 3} 429.4624
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 903.4428{col 34}{space 2} 423.0997{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.035{col 62}{space 4} 65.59027{col 75}{space 3} 1741.295
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2533.483{col 34}{space 2} 1792.165{col 45}{space 1}   -1.41{col 54}{space 3}0.160{col 62}{space 4}-6082.458{col 75}{space 3} 1015.492
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1164.821{col 34}{space 2} 730.0189{col 45}{space 1}   -1.60{col 54}{space 3}0.113{col 62}{space 4}-2610.457{col 75}{space 3} 280.8156
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 5797.173{col 34}{space 2} 1394.868{col 45}{space 1}    4.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 3034.954{col 75}{space 3} 8559.392
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -52.2859{col 34}{space 2} 38.20344{col 45}{space 1}   -1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.174{col 62}{space 4}-127.9391{col 75}{space 3} 23.36732
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   -2.726{col 34}{space 2} 44.91899{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-91.67783{col 75}{space 3} 86.22583
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-266.3061{col 34}{space 2} 74.26274{col 45}{space 1}   -3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-413.3665{col 75}{space 3}-119.2457
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  -334.24{col 34}{space 2} 86.07386{col 45}{space 1}   -3.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-504.6897{col 75}{space 3}-163.7904
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-31.71024{col 34}{space 2} 117.4665{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.788{col 62}{space 4}-264.3258{col 75}{space 3} 200.9053
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 61.76902{col 34}{space 2} 28.81618{col 45}{space 1}    2.14{col 54}{space 3}0.034{col 62}{space 4} 4.705134{col 75}{space 3} 118.8329
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 65.32331{col 34}{space 2} 180.0344{col 45}{space 1}    0.36{col 54}{space 3}0.717{col 62}{space 4}-291.1938{col 75}{space 3} 421.8404
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 184.3201{col 34}{space 2} 191.7643{col 45}{space 1}    0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.338{col 62}{space 4}-195.4255{col 75}{space 3} 564.0657
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 180.4184{col 34}{space 2}  171.407{col 45}{space 1}    1.05{col 54}{space 3}0.295{col 62}{space 4}-159.0141{col 75}{space 3} 519.8509
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 602.1337{col 34}{space 2} 182.9779{col 45}{space 1}    3.29{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 239.7877{col 75}{space 3} 964.4798
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 325.4397{col 34}{space 2} 141.4177{col 45}{space 1}    2.30{col 54}{space 3}0.023{col 62}{space 4} 45.39422{col 75}{space 3} 605.4852
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 554.0664{col 34}{space 2} 150.9756{col 45}{space 1}    3.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 255.0936{col 75}{space 3} 853.0391
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 398.7361{col 34}{space 2} 115.3844{col 45}{space 1}    3.46{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 170.2435{col 75}{space 3} 627.2286
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 428.1557{col 34}{space 2} 110.9666{col 45}{space 1}    3.86{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 208.4117{col 75}{space 3} 647.8997
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.1111{col 34}{space 2} 126.0703{col 45}{space 1}    6.69{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 593.4577{col 75}{space 3} 1092.765
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 678.7478{col 34}{space 2} 123.5153{col 45}{space 1}    5.50{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 434.1539{col 75}{space 3} 923.3416
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 467.6142{col 34}{space 2} 147.2294{col 45}{space 1}    3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 176.0599{col 75}{space 3} 759.1684
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 653.3666{col 34}{space 2} 138.8222{col 45}{space 1}    4.71{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 378.4608{col 75}{space 3} 928.2724
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 928.1862{col 34}{space 2} 157.5279{col 45}{space 1}    5.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  616.238{col 75}{space 3} 1240.134
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 607.7068{col 34}{space 2} 146.3282{col 45}{space 1}    4.15{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 317.9371{col 75}{space 3} 897.4765
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 849.4495{col 34}{space 2} 164.2835{col 45}{space 1}    5.17{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 524.1234{col 75}{space 3} 1174.776
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 937.4956{col 34}{space 2} 151.0256{col 45}{space 1}    6.21{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 638.4238{col 75}{space 3} 1236.567
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 917.9285{col 34}{space 2} 156.4298{col 45}{space 1}    5.87{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  608.155{col 75}{space 3} 1227.702
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1146.219{col 34}{space 2}  162.266{col 45}{space 1}    7.06{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 824.8884{col 75}{space 3}  1467.55
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1173.607{col 34}{space 2} 163.0415{col 45}{space 1}    7.20{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 850.7406{col 75}{space 3} 1496.474
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1287.607{col 34}{space 2} 180.6963{col 45}{space 1}    7.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 929.7794{col 75}{space 3} 1645.435
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1352.612{col 34}{space 2} 198.7266{col 45}{space 1}    6.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 959.0789{col 75}{space 3} 1746.144
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1461.557{col 34}{space 2} 215.3459{col 45}{space 1}    6.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1035.114{col 75}{space 3} 1888.001
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1522.047{col 34}{space 2} 235.4561{col 45}{space 1}    6.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  1055.78{col 75}{space 3} 1988.315
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1385.569{col 34}{space 2} 246.4356{col 45}{space 1}    5.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}   897.56{col 75}{space 3} 1873.579
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1615.952{col 34}{space 2} 265.3703{col 45}{space 1}    6.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1090.447{col 75}{space 3} 2141.458
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1967.071{col 34}{space 2}  284.001{col 45}{space 1}    6.93{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1404.671{col 75}{space 3}  2529.47
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1847.19{col 34}{space 2} 308.5259{col 45}{space 1}    5.99{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1236.225{col 75}{space 3} 2458.156
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1365.74{col 34}{space 2} 312.9108{col 45}{space 1}    4.36{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 746.0912{col 75}{space 3} 1985.388
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1490.631{col 34}{space 2} 360.2644{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 777.2098{col 75}{space 3} 2204.053
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1997.665{col 34}{space 2} 345.0116{col 45}{space 1}    5.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1314.448{col 75}{space 3} 2680.882
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  1827.85{col 34}{space 2} 392.7721{col 45}{space 1}    4.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1050.054{col 75}{space 3} 2605.646
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2194.665{col 34}{space 2} 394.2981{col 45}{space 1}    5.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1413.847{col 75}{space 3} 2975.482
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1748.187{col 34}{space 2} 395.5159{col 45}{space 1}    4.42{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  964.958{col 75}{space 3} 2531.416
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1762.889{col 34}{space 2} 452.9279{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 865.9681{col 75}{space 3} 2659.809
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1914.896{col 34}{space 2} 813.7583{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} 303.4335{col 75}{space 3} 3526.359
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   118) ={res}   15.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   118) ={res}    9.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.008574{col 26}{space 2} 2.664818{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.706{col 54}{space 4} -4.26849{col 67}{space 3} 6.285639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.94285{col 26}{space 2} 4.839809{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 7.457002{col 67}{space 3}  26.4287
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res} .4878049              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 4.290876              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res}     13.5                      {txt}Mean          {res} 19.04453
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 18.52999
{txt}75%    {res} 25.56989           72.5
{txt}90%    {res} 48.16667       73.33333       {txt}Variance      {res} 343.3606
{txt}95%    {res} 60.83333       74.43978       {txt}Skewness      {res} 1.298429
{txt}99%    {res} 74.43978       74.43978       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.021216
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*25.56989 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*4.290876

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 360.5272{col 26}{space 2} 102.9864{col 37}{space 1}    3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 158.6776{col 67}{space 3} 562.3768
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       175{col 27}-109.2568{col 38}-54.26528{col 49}    51{col 58} 210.5306{col 69} 371.9346
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & newsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.dem_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       175
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 50,       124){col 67}= {res}      7.06
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1967548{col 30}{space 2}  .066058{col 41}{space 1}   -2.98{col 50}{space 3}0.003{col 58}{space 4}-.3275021{col 71}{space 3}-.0660075
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001993{col 30}{space 2} .0002011{col 41}{space 1}   -0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.324{col 58}{space 4}-.0005974{col 71}{space 3} .0001987
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0692893{col 30}{space 2} .0850853{col 41}{space 1}    0.81{col 50}{space 3}0.417{col 58}{space 4}-.0991183{col 71}{space 3} .2376969
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0000756{col 30}{space 2} .0003196{col 41}{space 1}    0.24{col 50}{space 3}0.813{col 58}{space 4}-.0005569{col 71}{space 3} .0007081
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3025279{col 30}{space 2} .0882388{col 41}{space 1}   -3.43{col 50}{space 3}0.001{col 58}{space 4}-.4771771{col 71}{space 3}-.1278787
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0004662{col 30}{space 2} .0003214{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4}-.0001699{col 71}{space 3} .0011023
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1052512{col 30}{space 2} .0811802{col 41}{space 1}   -1.30{col 50}{space 3}0.197{col 58}{space 4}-.2659295{col 71}{space 3} .0554271
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0006327{col 30}{space 2} .0002975{col 41}{space 1}    2.13{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0000439{col 71}{space 3} .0012215
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .239336{col 30}{space 2} .1857501{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.200{col 58}{space 4}-.1283154{col 71}{space 3} .6069873
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2581087{col 30}{space 2}  .178656{col 41}{space 1}   -1.44{col 50}{space 3}0.151{col 58}{space 4} -.611719{col 71}{space 3} .0955017
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0102344{col 30}{space 2} .1653437{col 41}{space 1}    0.06{col 50}{space 3}0.951{col 58}{space 4}-.3170271{col 71}{space 3} .3374958
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .020215{col 30}{space 2} .1563927{col 41}{space 1}    0.13{col 50}{space 3}0.897{col 58}{space 4}  -.28933{col 71}{space 3} .3297599
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}13  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.456839{col 30}{space 2} .2505285{col 41}{space 1}   -1.82{col 50}{space 3}0.071{col 58}{space 4} -.952705{col 71}{space 3} .0390271
{txt}{space 13}37  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.3653634{col 30}{space 2} .2652763{col 41}{space 1}   -1.38{col 50}{space 3}0.171{col 58}{space 4}-.8904196{col 71}{space 3} .1596927
{txt}{space 13}48  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.4359536{col 30}{space 2} .1622219{col 41}{space 1}   -2.69{col 50}{space 3}0.008{col 58}{space 4}-.7570363{col 71}{space 3} -.114871
{txt}{space 13}51  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0551627{col 30}{space 2} .1920167{col 41}{space 1}   -0.29{col 50}{space 3}0.774{col 58}{space 4}-.4352174{col 71}{space 3} .3248921
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2953771{col 30}{space 2} .2699467{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.2389231{col 71}{space 3} .8296772
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4880807{col 30}{space 2} .3670895{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.186{col 58}{space 4}-.2384921{col 71}{space 3} 1.214654
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1786361{col 30}{space 2} .2971523{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.549{col 58}{space 4}-.4095116{col 71}{space 3} .7667838
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0615406{col 30}{space 2} .2820234{col 41}{space 1}   -0.22{col 50}{space 3}0.828{col 58}{space 4}-.6197439{col 71}{space 3} .4966626
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0490046{col 30}{space 2} .4124527{col 41}{space 1}    0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.906{col 58}{space 4}-.7673548{col 71}{space 3}  .865364
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1209641{col 30}{space 2} .2325807{col 41}{space 1}   -0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.604{col 58}{space 4}-.5813065{col 71}{space 3} .3393783
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4495986{col 30}{space 2} .3838922{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.244{col 58}{space 4}-.3102315{col 71}{space 3} 1.209429
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .151891{col 30}{space 2} .2449728{col 41}{space 1}    0.62{col 50}{space 3}0.536{col 58}{space 4}-.3329788{col 71}{space 3} .6367608
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3021376{col 30}{space 2} .3817272{col 41}{space 1}    0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.430{col 58}{space 4}-.4534074{col 71}{space 3} 1.057683
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2201678{col 30}{space 2} .3432201{col 41}{space 1}    0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.522{col 58}{space 4}-.4591608{col 71}{space 3} .8994964
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1985746{col 30}{space 2} .2673054{col 41}{space 1}    0.74{col 50}{space 3}0.459{col 58}{space 4}-.3304978{col 71}{space 3} .7276469
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3200288{col 30}{space 2} .3240718{col 41}{space 1}    0.99{col 50}{space 3}0.325{col 58}{space 4}-.3213999{col 71}{space 3} .9614576
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .232831{col 30}{space 2} .4845461{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.632{col 58}{space 4}-.7262214{col 71}{space 3} 1.191883
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3241983{col 30}{space 2} .3680087{col 41}{space 1}    0.88{col 50}{space 3}0.380{col 58}{space 4}-.4041941{col 71}{space 3} 1.052591
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .436512{col 30}{space 2} .4061005{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4}-.3672747{col 71}{space 3} 1.240299
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5362965{col 30}{space 2} .5233925{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.308{col 58}{space 4}-.4996439{col 71}{space 3} 1.572237
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9326871{col 30}{space 2} .5046761{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.067{col 58}{space 4}-.0662083{col 71}{space 3} 1.931583
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7494389{col 30}{space 2} .5483421{col 41}{space 1}    1.37{col 50}{space 3}0.174{col 58}{space 4}-.3358837{col 71}{space 3} 1.834761
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .385815{col 30}{space 2} .6613759{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.561{col 58}{space 4}-.9232331{col 71}{space 3} 1.694863
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6631683{col 30}{space 2} .6063265{col 41}{space 1}    1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.276{col 58}{space 4}-.5369216{col 71}{space 3} 1.863258
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.286675{col 30}{space 2}  .723448{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.078{col 58}{space 4}-.1452313{col 71}{space 3} 2.718581
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9066137{col 30}{space 2} .7734654{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.243{col 58}{space 4} -.624291{col 71}{space 3} 2.437518
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.175065{col 30}{space 2} .8234208{col 41}{space 1}    1.43{col 50}{space 3}0.156{col 58}{space 4}-.4547151{col 71}{space 3} 2.804846
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.21798{col 30}{space 2} .8758846{col 41}{space 1}    1.39{col 50}{space 3}0.167{col 58}{space 4}-.5156413{col 71}{space 3}   2.9516
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.08381{col 30}{space 2} .9723009{col 41}{space 1}    1.11{col 50}{space 3}0.267{col 58}{space 4}-.8406457{col 71}{space 3} 3.008266
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.370131{col 30}{space 2} 1.092875{col 41}{space 1}    1.25{col 50}{space 3}0.212{col 58}{space 4}-.7929745{col 71}{space 3} 3.533237
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.480913{col 30}{space 2} 1.121529{col 41}{space 1}    1.32{col 50}{space 3}0.189{col 58}{space 4}-.7389062{col 71}{space 3} 3.700733
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.220271{col 30}{space 2} 1.038557{col 41}{space 1}    1.17{col 50}{space 3}0.242{col 58}{space 4}-.8353243{col 71}{space 3} 3.275867
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.233827{col 30}{space 2} 1.261275{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.330{col 58}{space 4}-1.262591{col 71}{space 3} 3.730244
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.902921{col 30}{space 2} 1.309888{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4} -.689715{col 71}{space 3} 4.495557
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.546493{col 30}{space 2} 1.264324{col 41}{space 1}    1.22{col 50}{space 3}0.224{col 58}{space 4}-.9559574{col 71}{space 3} 4.048944
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.387245{col 30}{space 2} 1.293917{col 41}{space 1}    1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.286{col 58}{space 4}-1.173779{col 71}{space 3} 3.948269
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.679931{col 30}{space 2} 1.258572{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.184{col 58}{space 4}-.8111363{col 71}{space 3} 4.170998
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.724191{col 30}{space 2} 1.291565{col 41}{space 1}    1.33{col 50}{space 3}0.184{col 58}{space 4}-.8321778{col 71}{space 3}  4.28056
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.227427{col 30}{space 2} 1.248117{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.327{col 58}{space 4}-1.242947{col 71}{space 3}   3.6978
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,164 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   124) ={res}    8.87
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0035
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   124) ={res}    4.62
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0116
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0011745{col 26}{space 2}  .000534{col 37}{space 1}    2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.030{col 54}{space 4} .0001176{col 67}{space 3} .0022315
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0010131{col 26}{space 2} .0010346{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-.0030409{col 67}{space 3} .0010148
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre !=. & year<=1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3985.879       3938.229
{txt} 5%    {res}  4394.34       3985.879
{txt}10%    {res} 4795.101       4032.346       {txt}Obs         {res}        175
{txt}25%    {res} 5533.502       4032.384       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        175

{txt}50%    {res} 6864.637                      {txt}Mean          {res} 7599.265
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2401.131
{txt}75%    {res}  9803.36        12169.1
{txt}90%    {res} 11176.03       12264.53       {txt}Variance      {res}  5765428
{txt}95%    {res} 11976.75       12302.72       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3836934
{txt}99%    {res} 12302.72       12331.84       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.881785
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*9803.36 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*5533.502

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.325666{col 26}{space 2} 4.417735{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-12.98427{col 67}{space 3} 4.332935
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.   
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** III.C: NEW SOUTH STATES (N = 5): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-1087.132{col 38}-942.0456{col 49}    56{col 58} 1996.091{col 69} 2164.687
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 55,        94){col 67}= {res}     90.34
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1675487{col 34}{space 2} .0519887{col 45}{space 1}   -3.22{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}-.2707735{col 75}{space 3}-.0643239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.085096{col 34}{space 2}  1.90631{col 45}{space 1}   -2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} -8.87012{col 75}{space 3}-1.300072
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0542246{col 34}{space 2} .1161457{col 45}{space 1}    0.47{col 54}{space 3}0.642{col 62}{space 4}-.1763853{col 75}{space 3} .2848346
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0974387{col 34}{space 2} 1.618183{col 45}{space 1}   -0.06{col 54}{space 3}0.952{col 62}{space 4}-3.310379{col 75}{space 3} 3.115502
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .2443096{col 34}{space 2} .0975452{col 45}{space 1}    2.50{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} .0506314{col 75}{space 3} .4379879
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.133868{col 34}{space 2} 2.565254{col 45}{space 1}    1.22{col 54}{space 3}0.225{col 62}{space 4}-1.959504{col 75}{space 3} 8.227239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0593385{col 34}{space 2} .1573595{col 45}{space 1}    0.38{col 54}{space 3}0.707{col 62}{space 4}-.2531025{col 75}{space 3} .3717796
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.733567{col 34}{space 2} 2.496303{col 45}{space 1}    0.69{col 54}{space 3}0.489{col 62}{space 4}-3.222902{col 75}{space 3} 6.690036
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 130.0354{col 34}{space 2} 1377.922{col 45}{space 1}    0.09{col 54}{space 3}0.925{col 62}{space 4}-2605.861{col 75}{space 3} 2865.932
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1370.655{col 34}{space 2} 2389.241{col 45}{space 1}   -0.57{col 54}{space 3}0.568{col 62}{space 4}-6114.549{col 75}{space 3} 3373.239
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 39.01017{col 34}{space 2}  86.5729{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-132.8823{col 75}{space 3} 210.9027
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -187.292{col 34}{space 2}  82.7264{col 45}{space 1}   -2.26{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4}-351.5472{col 75}{space 3}-23.03681
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1934.784{col 34}{space 2} 1510.186{col 45}{space 1}    1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.203{col 62}{space 4}-1063.727{col 75}{space 3} 4933.294
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2792.628{col 34}{space 2} 2398.402{col 45}{space 1}   -1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.247{col 62}{space 4}-7554.712{col 75}{space 3} 1969.455
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29315.38{col 34}{space 2} 9548.475{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} -48274.1{col 75}{space 3}-10356.66
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 16973.02{col 34}{space 2} 7528.843{col 45}{space 1}    2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.026{col 62}{space 4} 2024.328{col 75}{space 3} 31921.72
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  56.3451{col 34}{space 2} 56.78507{col 45}{space 1}    0.99{col 54}{space 3}0.324{col 62}{space 4}-56.40299{col 75}{space 3} 169.0932
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 91.26682{col 34}{space 2} 61.94534{col 45}{space 1}    1.47{col 54}{space 3}0.144{col 62}{space 4}-31.72712{col 75}{space 3} 214.2608
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-136.5881{col 34}{space 2} 71.12838{col 45}{space 1}   -1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-277.8151{col 75}{space 3} 4.639005
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-16.80189{col 34}{space 2} 76.18195{col 45}{space 1}   -0.22{col 54}{space 3}0.826{col 62}{space 4}-168.0629{col 75}{space 3} 134.4592
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-79.10462{col 34}{space 2} 85.87212{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-249.6057{col 75}{space 3} 91.39648
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.59273{col 34}{space 2} 103.7911{col 45}{space 1}    0.29{col 54}{space 3}0.769{col 62}{space 4}-175.4869{col 75}{space 3} 236.6724
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 17}13  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-325.7862{col 34}{space 2}  106.213{col 45}{space 1}   -3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4}-536.6747{col 75}{space 3}-114.8977
{txt}{space 17}37  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-434.0032{col 34}{space 2} 119.5311{col 45}{space 1}   -3.63{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}-671.3349{col 75}{space 3}-196.6715
{txt}{space 17}48  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-131.6283{col 34}{space 2} 74.22421{col 45}{space 1}   -1.77{col 54}{space 3}0.079{col 62}{space 4}-279.0023{col 75}{space 3} 15.74557
{txt}{space 17}51  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.9178{col 34}{space 2} 125.9207{col 45}{space 1}    3.56{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 197.8993{col 75}{space 3} 697.9363
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-39.62632{col 34}{space 2}  145.083{col 45}{space 1}   -0.27{col 54}{space 3}0.785{col 62}{space 4} -327.692{col 75}{space 3} 248.4393
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 233.8818{col 34}{space 2} 194.3081{col 45}{space 1}    1.20{col 54}{space 3}0.232{col 62}{space 4}-151.9215{col 75}{space 3} 619.6851
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 605.8549{col 34}{space 2} 176.2255{col 45}{space 1}    3.44{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 255.9551{col 75}{space 3} 955.7548
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 372.4552{col 34}{space 2} 251.0392{col 45}{space 1}    1.48{col 54}{space 3}0.141{col 62}{space 4} -125.989{col 75}{space 3} 870.8994
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 366.3794{col 34}{space 2} 186.0587{col 45}{space 1}    1.97{col 54}{space 3}0.052{col 62}{space 4}-3.044459{col 75}{space 3} 735.8033
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 332.5787{col 34}{space 2} 179.4409{col 45}{space 1}    1.85{col 54}{space 3}0.067{col 62}{space 4}-23.70541{col 75}{space 3} 688.8629
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 605.2597{col 34}{space 2}  219.541{col 45}{space 1}    2.76{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4}  169.356{col 75}{space 3} 1041.163
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 555.9568{col 34}{space 2} 256.6562{col 45}{space 1}    2.17{col 54}{space 3}0.033{col 62}{space 4} 46.35998{col 75}{space 3} 1065.554
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 189.5236{col 34}{space 2} 281.3282{col 45}{space 1}    0.67{col 54}{space 3}0.502{col 62}{space 4}-369.0602{col 75}{space 3} 748.1074
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  105.185{col 34}{space 2} 232.9005{col 45}{space 1}    0.45{col 54}{space 3}0.653{col 62}{space 4}-357.2444{col 75}{space 3} 567.6144
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 624.6386{col 34}{space 2}  260.514{col 45}{space 1}    2.40{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4}  107.382{col 75}{space 3} 1141.895
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 525.3006{col 34}{space 2} 361.9484{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.150{col 62}{space 4}-193.3564{col 75}{space 3} 1243.958
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 541.0505{col 34}{space 2} 350.1119{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.126{col 62}{space 4}-154.1048{col 75}{space 3} 1236.206
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 592.0844{col 34}{space 2} 330.3518{col 45}{space 1}    1.79{col 54}{space 3}0.076{col 62}{space 4}-63.83683{col 75}{space 3} 1248.006
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 688.9318{col 34}{space 2} 356.9322{col 45}{space 1}    1.93{col 54}{space 3}0.057{col 62}{space 4}-19.76552{col 75}{space 3} 1397.629
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 843.9225{col 34}{space 2} 350.8366{col 45}{space 1}    2.41{col 54}{space 3}0.018{col 62}{space 4} 147.3282{col 75}{space 3} 1540.517
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1194.891{col 34}{space 2}  379.014{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 442.3494{col 75}{space 3} 1947.432
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 926.4785{col 34}{space 2} 422.6048{col 45}{space 1}    2.19{col 54}{space 3}0.031{col 62}{space 4} 87.38674{col 75}{space 3}  1765.57
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1253.917{col 34}{space 2} 400.1504{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 459.4093{col 75}{space 3} 2048.425
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 888.9114{col 34}{space 2} 447.3762{col 45}{space 1}    1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4} .6354326{col 75}{space 3} 1777.187
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 728.7224{col 34}{space 2} 469.1823{col 45}{space 1}    1.55{col 54}{space 3}0.124{col 62}{space 4}-202.8501{col 75}{space 3} 1660.295
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 965.7583{col 34}{space 2}  433.702{col 45}{space 1}    2.23{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 104.6328{col 75}{space 3} 1826.884
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1414.679{col 34}{space 2}  489.383{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 442.9979{col 75}{space 3} 2386.361
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1331.912{col 34}{space 2} 545.3206{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.016{col 62}{space 4} 249.1653{col 75}{space 3} 2414.659
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1309.135{col 34}{space 2} 519.9555{col 45}{space 1}    2.52{col 54}{space 3}0.014{col 62}{space 4} 276.7514{col 75}{space 3} 2341.519
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1219.735{col 34}{space 2} 522.7458{col 45}{space 1}    2.33{col 54}{space 3}0.022{col 62}{space 4} 181.8114{col 75}{space 3} 2257.659
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 984.7705{col 34}{space 2} 630.0135{col 45}{space 1}    1.56{col 54}{space 3}0.121{col 62}{space 4}-266.1361{col 75}{space 3} 2235.677
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 177.2574{col 34}{space 2}  477.104{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.711{col 62}{space 4}-770.0438{col 75}{space 3} 1124.559
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1250.587{col 34}{space 2} 468.6647{col 45}{space 1}    2.67{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 320.0426{col 75}{space 3} 2181.132
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 31102.91{col 34}{space 2}  9639.86{col 45}{space 1}    3.23{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 11962.74{col 75}{space 3} 50243.08
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,    94) ={res}   10.39
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0017
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,    94) ={res}    8.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney  +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.769996{col 26}{space 2} 4.518824{col 37}{space 1}    1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.294{col 54}{space 4}-4.202236{col 67}{space 3} 13.74223
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-30.34996{col 26}{space 2} 14.42917{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-58.63061{col 67}{space 3}-2.069312
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney  if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}  22.2619        22.2619
{txt} 5%    {res} 30.51587        22.2619
{txt}10%    {res} 40.06452       25.83333       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 56.68817       25.83333       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 76.58333                      {txt}Mean          {res} 71.16566
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 20.01031
{txt}75%    {res} 85.82796        99.6129
{txt}90%    {res} 94.91667       99.82796       {txt}Variance      {res} 400.4125
{txt}95%    {res}       98       99.82796       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.5953372
{txt}99%    {res} 99.82796            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  2.55123
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796   -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*85.82796 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*56.68817

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-884.3915{col 26}{space 2} 420.4629{col 37}{space 1}   -2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-1708.484{col 67}{space 3}-60.29933
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       150{col 27}-513.1636{col 38}-457.1443{col 49}    48{col 58} 1010.289{col 69} 1154.799
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & newsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: LD.electedjudges1 omitted because of collinearity
note: 48.state_fips omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 47,       102){col 67}= {res}      6.28
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1958306{col 29}{space 2} .0708727{col 40}{space 1}   -2.76{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4}-.3364062{col 70}{space 3}-.0552549
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0024991{col 29}{space 2} .0011529{col 40}{space 1}    2.17{col 49}{space 3}0.033{col 57}{space 4} .0002124{col 70}{space 3} .0047858
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0577171{col 29}{space 2} .0853455{col 40}{space 1}   -0.68{col 49}{space 3}0.500{col 57}{space 4}-.2269995{col 70}{space 3} .1115653
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.000364{col 29}{space 2}  .002403{col 40}{space 1}   -0.15{col 49}{space 3}0.880{col 57}{space 4}-.0051304{col 70}{space 3} .0044025
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0452396{col 29}{space 2} .1153775{col 40}{space 1}   -0.39{col 49}{space 3}0.696{col 57}{space 4}-.2740905{col 70}{space 3} .1836112
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0042951{col 29}{space 2} .0025642{col 40}{space 1}    1.68{col 49}{space 3}0.097{col 57}{space 4} -.000791{col 70}{space 3} .0093811
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1144619{col 29}{space 2} .0910744{col 40}{space 1}   -1.26{col 49}{space 3}0.212{col 57}{space 4}-.2951075{col 70}{space 3} .0661838
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0036516{col 29}{space 2} .0031321{col 40}{space 1}   -1.17{col 49}{space 3}0.246{col 57}{space 4}-.0098641{col 70}{space 3} .0025608
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -4.35768{col 29}{space 2}  2.14111{col 40}{space 1}   -2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4}-8.604563{col 70}{space 3}-.1107977
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.976574{col 29}{space 2} 2.692457{col 40}{space 1}    1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.272{col 57}{space 4}-2.363901{col 70}{space 3} 8.317049
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.359541{col 29}{space 2} 2.591319{col 40}{space 1}    2.45{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4} 1.219672{col 70}{space 3} 11.49941
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.159942{col 29}{space 2} 2.972345{col 40}{space 1}   -1.40{col 49}{space 3}0.165{col 57}{space 4}-10.05557{col 70}{space 3} 1.735689
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.378298{col 29}{space 2} 3.385676{col 40}{space 1}   -1.59{col 49}{space 3}0.115{col 57}{space 4}-12.09377{col 70}{space 3} 1.337173
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.281779{col 29}{space 2} 3.207566{col 40}{space 1}    1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.185{col 57}{space 4}-2.080413{col 70}{space 3} 10.64397
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.927127{col 29}{space 2} 1.694828{col 40}{space 1}    1.14{col 49}{space 3}0.258{col 57}{space 4}-1.434556{col 70}{space 3} 5.288809
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 12}13  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.983473{col 29}{space 2} 2.140953{col 40}{space 1}   -1.39{col 49}{space 3}0.166{col 57}{space 4}-7.230042{col 70}{space 3} 1.263096
{txt}{space 12}37  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2011986{col 29}{space 2} 1.711187{col 40}{space 1}    0.12{col 49}{space 3}0.907{col 57}{space 4}-3.192932{col 70}{space 3} 3.595329
{txt}{space 12}48  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 12}51  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.441387{col 29}{space 2} 2.000181{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.225{col 57}{space 4}-6.408737{col 70}{space 3} 1.525963
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.372436{col 29}{space 2} 4.795038{col 40}{space 1}   -1.54{col 49}{space 3}0.127{col 57}{space 4}-16.88337{col 70}{space 3}   2.1385
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.20366{col 29}{space 2} 5.309794{col 40}{space 1}   -2.67{col 49}{space 3}0.009{col 57}{space 4}-24.73561{col 70}{space 3}-3.671709
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -12.1419{col 29}{space 2} 3.573314{col 40}{space 1}   -3.40{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-19.22956{col 70}{space 3}-5.054252
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.098064{col 29}{space 2} 4.831715{col 40}{space 1}   -0.85{col 49}{space 3}0.398{col 57}{space 4}-13.68175{col 70}{space 3} 5.485619
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.94281{col 29}{space 2} 4.248851{col 40}{space 1}   -2.58{col 49}{space 3}0.011{col 57}{space 4}-19.37038{col 70}{space 3}-2.515231
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.869558{col 29}{space 2} 4.813674{col 40}{space 1}   -1.84{col 49}{space 3}0.068{col 57}{space 4}-18.41746{col 70}{space 3}  .678342
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.538581{col 29}{space 2} 4.371212{col 40}{space 1}   -2.18{col 49}{space 3}0.031{col 57}{space 4}-18.20886{col 70}{space 3} -.868302
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.736951{col 29}{space 2} 5.297049{col 40}{space 1}   -1.08{col 49}{space 3}0.281{col 57}{space 4}-16.24362{col 70}{space 3} 4.769719
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-9.726668{col 29}{space 2} 4.855261{col 40}{space 1}   -2.00{col 49}{space 3}0.048{col 57}{space 4}-19.35706{col 70}{space 3}-.0962801
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.65849{col 29}{space 2} 4.473342{col 40}{space 1}   -2.38{col 49}{space 3}0.019{col 57}{space 4}-19.53134{col 70}{space 3}-1.785636
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.557227{col 29}{space 2} 5.905996{col 40}{space 1}   -0.77{col 49}{space 3}0.442{col 57}{space 4}-16.27174{col 70}{space 3} 7.157288
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-6.301323{col 29}{space 2} 6.155411{col 40}{space 1}   -1.02{col 49}{space 3}0.308{col 57}{space 4}-18.51055{col 70}{space 3} 5.907905
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.106158{col 29}{space 2}  5.35851{col 40}{space 1}   -1.33{col 49}{space 3}0.188{col 57}{space 4}-17.73474{col 70}{space 3} 3.522421
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.568127{col 29}{space 2} 7.908307{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.565{col 57}{space 4}-11.11796{col 70}{space 3} 20.25422
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-4.399677{col 29}{space 2} 6.411184{col 40}{space 1}   -0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.494{col 57}{space 4}-17.11623{col 70}{space 3} 8.316877
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -3.88668{col 29}{space 2} 7.377662{col 40}{space 1}   -0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.599{col 57}{space 4}-18.52024{col 70}{space 3} 10.74688
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-5.554354{col 29}{space 2} 7.494508{col 40}{space 1}   -0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.460{col 57}{space 4}-20.41968{col 70}{space 3} 9.310967
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-15.56952{col 29}{space 2} 8.928325{col 40}{space 1}   -1.74{col 49}{space 3}0.084{col 57}{space 4}-33.27881{col 70}{space 3}  2.13977
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.05982{col 29}{space 2}  8.24324{col 40}{space 1}   -1.22{col 49}{space 3}0.225{col 57}{space 4}-26.41025{col 70}{space 3} 6.290604
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.64148{col 29}{space 2} 8.874478{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-32.24396{col 70}{space 3} 2.961007
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.47609{col 29}{space 2} 8.178121{col 40}{space 1}   -1.65{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-29.69735{col 70}{space 3} 2.745174
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.19415{col 29}{space 2} 10.61081{col 40}{space 1}   -1.15{col 49}{space 3}0.253{col 57}{space 4}-33.24064{col 70}{space 3} 8.852341
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.50689{col 29}{space 2} 8.866118{col 40}{space 1}   -1.41{col 49}{space 3}0.161{col 57}{space 4} -30.0928{col 70}{space 3}  5.07901
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -15.7639{col 29}{space 2} 10.06175{col 40}{space 1}   -1.57{col 49}{space 3}0.120{col 57}{space 4}-35.72134{col 70}{space 3}  4.19353
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.74714{col 29}{space 2} 9.781684{col 40}{space 1}   -1.30{col 49}{space 3}0.195{col 57}{space 4}-32.14907{col 70}{space 3} 6.654782
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-14.51423{col 29}{space 2} 10.72471{col 40}{space 1}   -1.35{col 49}{space 3}0.179{col 57}{space 4}-35.78664{col 70}{space 3}  6.75818
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.24194{col 29}{space 2} 11.15432{col 40}{space 1}   -1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.316{col 57}{space 4}-33.36648{col 70}{space 3}  10.8826
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-11.01004{col 29}{space 2} 10.58738{col 40}{space 1}   -1.04{col 49}{space 3}0.301{col 57}{space 4}-32.01005{col 70}{space 3} 9.989969
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-13.24798{col 29}{space 2}  10.2741{col 40}{space 1}   -1.29{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4}-33.62661{col 70}{space 3} 7.130649
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-12.33193{col 29}{space 2} 15.50482{col 40}{space 1}   -0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.428{col 57}{space 4}-43.08568{col 70}{space 3} 18.42181
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & newsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,189 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   102) ={res}    7.63
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0068
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   102) ={res}    8.51
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0002795{col 26}{space 2} .0036515{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.939{col 54}{space 4}-.0069632{col 67}{space 3} .0075221
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0127615{col 26}{space 2} .0084375{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-.0037757{col 67}{space 3} .0292986
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum  real_pc_inc_ann    if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year>1980 & newsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 10063.01       10054.71
{txt} 5%    {res} 11693.49       10063.01
{txt}10%    {res} 12398.59       10330.47       {txt}Obs         {res}        150
{txt}25%    {res} 13297.69       10405.05       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        150

{txt}50%    {res} 15453.27                      {txt}Mean          {res} 15174.25
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2312.597
{txt}75%    {res} 16574.21       20300.61
{txt}90%    {res} 18271.44       20446.41       {txt}Variance      {res}  5348106
{txt}95%    {res} 19043.96       20757.53       {txt}Skewness      {res} .1371925
{txt}99%    {res} 20757.53       20864.72       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.753477
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69   

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*16574.21 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])*13297.69

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 41.81328{col 26}{space 2} 27.64556{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.130{col 54}{space 4}-12.37101{col 67}{space 3} 95.99758
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. restore 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. preserve
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. //(5,4) MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.A: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): FULL TIME PERIOD (1942 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       384{col 27}-2644.491{col 38}-2340.509{col 49}    93{col 58} 4867.018{col 69} 5234.428
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       384
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 92,       291){col 67}= {res}    111.46
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1086993{col 34}{space 2} .0386665{col 45}{space 1}   -2.81{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4}-.1848007{col 75}{space 3}-.0325978
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.270673{col 34}{space 2} .9299217{col 45}{space 1}    1.37{col 54}{space 3}0.173{col 62}{space 4}-.5595519{col 75}{space 3} 3.100898
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  .406435{col 34}{space 2} .0867707{col 45}{space 1}    4.68{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .2356572{col 75}{space 3} .5772127
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.354394{col 34}{space 2} 1.474977{col 45}{space 1}   -0.92{col 54}{space 3}0.359{col 62}{space 4}-4.257369{col 75}{space 3} 1.548582
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0318956{col 34}{space 2} .0656128{col 45}{space 1}   -0.49{col 54}{space 3}0.627{col 62}{space 4}-.1610315{col 75}{space 3} .0972403
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.84819{col 34}{space 2} 1.814956{col 45}{space 1}   -1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.309{col 62}{space 4}-5.420295{col 75}{space 3} 1.723915
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0248528{col 34}{space 2} .0746818{col 45}{space 1}   -0.33{col 54}{space 3}0.740{col 62}{space 4}-.1718378{col 75}{space 3} .1221321
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.940212{col 34}{space 2} 1.922005{col 45}{space 1}   -1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.314{col 62}{space 4}-5.723006{col 75}{space 3} 1.842582
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1106787{col 34}{space 2} .0453437{col 45}{space 1}    2.44{col 54}{space 3}0.015{col 62}{space 4} .0214354{col 75}{space 3}  .199922
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.475976{col 34}{space 2} 2.060648{col 45}{space 1}    0.72{col 54}{space 3}0.474{col 62}{space 4}-2.579688{col 75}{space 3} 5.531639
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-783.3003{col 34}{space 2} 348.7981{col 45}{space 1}   -2.25{col 54}{space 3}0.025{col 62}{space 4}-1469.787{col 75}{space 3}-96.81351
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 299.6691{col 34}{space 2} 393.8657{col 45}{space 1}    0.76{col 54}{space 3}0.447{col 62}{space 4}-475.5175{col 75}{space 3} 1074.856
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-23.95254{col 34}{space 2} 28.82721{col 45}{space 1}   -0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.407{col 62}{space 4} -80.6888{col 75}{space 3} 32.78371
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 17.09931{col 34}{space 2} 75.10908{col 45}{space 1}    0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.820{col 62}{space 4}-130.7266{col 75}{space 3} 164.9252
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-256.6121{col 34}{space 2} 282.1883{col 45}{space 1}   -0.91{col 54}{space 3}0.364{col 62}{space 4}-812.0009{col 75}{space 3} 298.7767
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 199.1761{col 34}{space 2} 625.0788{col 45}{space 1}    0.32{col 54}{space 3}0.750{col 62}{space 4}-1031.073{col 75}{space 3} 1429.425
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-165.8507{col 34}{space 2} 343.1286{col 45}{space 1}   -0.48{col 54}{space 3}0.629{col 62}{space 4}-841.1791{col 75}{space 3} 509.4778
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  3815.03{col 34}{space 2} 734.4266{col 45}{space 1}    5.19{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 2369.568{col 75}{space 3} 5260.491
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -77.1222{col 34}{space 2} 55.22971{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.164{col 62}{space 4}-185.8225{col 75}{space 3} 31.57813
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 90.86856{col 34}{space 2} 85.59809{col 45}{space 1}    1.06{col 54}{space 3}0.289{col 62}{space 4}-77.60127{col 75}{space 3} 259.3384
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 115.3794{col 34}{space 2}  60.5486{col 45}{space 1}    1.91{col 54}{space 3}0.058{col 62}{space 4}-3.789267{col 75}{space 3} 234.5481
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-94.98361{col 34}{space 2} 86.42337{col 45}{space 1}   -1.10{col 54}{space 3}0.273{col 62}{space 4}-265.0777{col 75}{space 3}  75.1105
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-109.3117{col 34}{space 2} 49.20639{col 45}{space 1}   -2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4}-206.1573{col 75}{space 3}-12.46618
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 147.3022{col 34}{space 2}   96.519{col 45}{space 1}    1.53{col 54}{space 3}0.128{col 62}{space 4} -42.6616{col 75}{space 3} 337.2661
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -40.0636{col 34}{space 2}  39.9237{col 45}{space 1}   -1.00{col 54}{space 3}0.316{col 62}{space 4}-118.6394{col 75}{space 3} 38.51221
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  61.1936{col 34}{space 2} 35.80655{col 45}{space 1}    1.71{col 54}{space 3}0.089{col 62}{space 4}-9.279044{col 75}{space 3} 131.6662
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -132.501{col 34}{space 2} 56.75525{col 45}{space 1}   -2.33{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4}-244.2038{col 75}{space 3}-20.79814
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -1.56267{col 34}{space 2}  19.7419{col 45}{space 1}   -0.08{col 54}{space 3}0.937{col 62}{space 4}-40.41768{col 75}{space 3} 37.29234
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   69.333{col 34}{space 2} 41.15292{col 45}{space 1}    1.68{col 54}{space 3}0.093{col 62}{space 4} -11.6621{col 75}{space 3} 150.3281
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  437.531{col 34}{space 2}   98.007{col 45}{space 1}    4.46{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 244.6385{col 75}{space 3} 630.4234
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 55.10531{col 34}{space 2} 104.1469{col 45}{space 1}    0.53{col 54}{space 3}0.597{col 62}{space 4}-149.8713{col 75}{space 3} 260.0819
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 303.0924{col 34}{space 2} 119.0043{col 45}{space 1}    2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.011{col 62}{space 4} 68.87422{col 75}{space 3} 537.3106
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 335.0489{col 34}{space 2} 117.5052{col 45}{space 1}    2.85{col 54}{space 3}0.005{col 62}{space 4} 103.7811{col 75}{space 3} 566.3168
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 337.3505{col 34}{space 2} 82.55274{col 45}{space 1}    4.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 174.8744{col 75}{space 3} 499.8266
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 357.2834{col 34}{space 2} 91.19694{col 45}{space 1}    3.92{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 177.7942{col 75}{space 3} 536.7726
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 98.29608{col 34}{space 2} 85.09311{col 45}{space 1}    1.16{col 54}{space 3}0.249{col 62}{space 4}-69.17988{col 75}{space 3}  265.772
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  570.295{col 34}{space 2} 102.3804{col 45}{space 1}    5.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  368.795{col 75}{space 3}  771.795
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 419.3365{col 34}{space 2} 93.69563{col 45}{space 1}    4.48{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 234.9295{col 75}{space 3} 603.7435
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 203.9097{col 34}{space 2} 113.0097{col 45}{space 1}    1.80{col 54}{space 3}0.072{col 62}{space 4}-18.51032{col 75}{space 3} 426.3297
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 375.4962{col 34}{space 2} 108.1899{col 45}{space 1}    3.47{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 162.5623{col 75}{space 3} 588.4301
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 565.8379{col 34}{space 2} 96.23519{col 45}{space 1}    5.88{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 376.4326{col 75}{space 3} 755.2431
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 299.1452{col 34}{space 2} 113.6875{col 45}{space 1}    2.63{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 75.39114{col 75}{space 3} 522.8992
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 585.8741{col 34}{space 2} 128.1132{col 45}{space 1}    4.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 333.7281{col 75}{space 3} 838.0201
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 575.9777{col 34}{space 2} 124.1971{col 45}{space 1}    4.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 331.5392{col 75}{space 3} 820.4163
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 576.5785{col 34}{space 2} 131.1987{col 45}{space 1}    4.39{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 318.3598{col 75}{space 3} 834.7972
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  698.211{col 34}{space 2}  126.051{col 45}{space 1}    5.54{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 450.1239{col 75}{space 3} 946.2981
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 730.4807{col 34}{space 2} 131.4061{col 45}{space 1}    5.56{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 471.8539{col 75}{space 3} 989.1075
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 769.0203{col 34}{space 2} 143.3324{col 45}{space 1}    5.37{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 486.9207{col 75}{space 3}  1051.12
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  732.773{col 34}{space 2} 142.7083{col 45}{space 1}    5.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 451.9018{col 75}{space 3} 1013.644
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 830.1543{col 34}{space 2} 151.7831{col 45}{space 1}    5.47{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 531.4225{col 75}{space 3} 1128.886
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 721.0669{col 34}{space 2} 177.9577{col 45}{space 1}    4.05{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 370.8195{col 75}{space 3} 1071.314
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 681.0629{col 34}{space 2} 158.9959{col 45}{space 1}    4.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 368.1353{col 75}{space 3} 993.9906
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 877.1959{col 34}{space 2} 175.5747{col 45}{space 1}    5.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 531.6386{col 75}{space 3} 1222.753
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1078.545{col 34}{space 2} 189.3549{col 45}{space 1}    5.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 705.8666{col 75}{space 3} 1451.224
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1041.417{col 34}{space 2} 201.8294{col 45}{space 1}    5.16{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 644.1867{col 75}{space 3} 1438.647
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 581.6026{col 34}{space 2} 201.2684{col 45}{space 1}    2.89{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 185.4763{col 75}{space 3} 977.7289
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 662.1885{col 34}{space 2} 208.3895{col 45}{space 1}    3.18{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 252.0468{col 75}{space 3}  1072.33
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1191.524{col 34}{space 2} 222.8965{col 45}{space 1}    5.35{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 752.8307{col 75}{space 3} 1630.218
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  806.952{col 34}{space 2}  246.352{col 45}{space 1}    3.28{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 322.0945{col 75}{space 3}  1291.81
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1163.887{col 34}{space 2} 255.8884{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 660.2605{col 75}{space 3} 1667.514
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 699.9297{col 34}{space 2} 259.5885{col 45}{space 1}    2.70{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 189.0207{col 75}{space 3} 1210.839
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 510.2707{col 34}{space 2} 265.8459{col 45}{space 1}    1.92{col 54}{space 3}0.056{col 62}{space 4}-12.95374{col 75}{space 3} 1033.495
{txt}{space 15}1981  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1038.734{col 34}{space 2} 277.7847{col 45}{space 1}    3.74{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 492.0125{col 75}{space 3} 1585.456
{txt}{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 720.2255{col 34}{space 2} 276.2946{col 45}{space 1}    2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4} 176.4365{col 75}{space 3} 1264.014
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1080.979{col 34}{space 2} 286.2562{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 517.5843{col 75}{space 3} 1644.374
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1293.127{col 34}{space 2} 277.5139{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  746.938{col 75}{space 3} 1839.316
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 946.0671{col 34}{space 2} 265.0031{col 45}{space 1}    3.57{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 424.5013{col 75}{space 3} 1467.633
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1065.622{col 34}{space 2} 261.6773{col 45}{space 1}    4.07{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 550.6017{col 75}{space 3} 1580.642
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 987.7565{col 34}{space 2} 273.3841{col 45}{space 1}    3.61{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 449.6957{col 75}{space 3} 1525.817
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1183.495{col 34}{space 2} 286.5453{col 45}{space 1}    4.13{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 619.5306{col 75}{space 3} 1747.459
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1137.784{col 34}{space 2} 300.9335{col 45}{space 1}    3.78{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 545.5015{col 75}{space 3} 1730.066
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 948.6906{col 34}{space 2} 318.1828{col 45}{space 1}    2.98{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 322.4593{col 75}{space 3} 1574.922
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1001.847{col 34}{space 2} 318.4149{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 375.1591{col 75}{space 3} 1628.535
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1361.538{col 34}{space 2} 318.3173{col 45}{space 1}    4.28{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 735.0417{col 75}{space 3} 1988.034
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1014.119{col 34}{space 2} 324.2401{col 45}{space 1}    3.13{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 375.9658{col 75}{space 3} 1652.272
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1372.648{col 34}{space 2} 335.7908{col 45}{space 1}    4.09{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 711.7611{col 75}{space 3} 2033.534
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1208.032{col 34}{space 2} 336.3161{col 45}{space 1}    3.59{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 546.1112{col 75}{space 3} 1869.952
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1216.363{col 34}{space 2} 342.1756{col 45}{space 1}    3.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 542.9104{col 75}{space 3} 1889.816
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1359.612{col 34}{space 2} 344.0516{col 45}{space 1}    3.95{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 682.4669{col 75}{space 3} 2036.757
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1546.432{col 34}{space 2}  339.556{col 45}{space 1}    4.55{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 878.1351{col 75}{space 3} 2214.729
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1147.192{col 34}{space 2} 370.9213{col 45}{space 1}    3.09{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 417.1634{col 75}{space 3} 1877.221
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1423.864{col 34}{space 2} 365.7929{col 45}{space 1}    3.89{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 703.9292{col 75}{space 3} 2143.799
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1418.475{col 34}{space 2} 387.9449{col 45}{space 1}    3.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 654.9419{col 75}{space 3} 2182.009
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1212.788{col 34}{space 2} 394.0297{col 45}{space 1}    3.08{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 437.2785{col 75}{space 3} 1988.297
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1405.659{col 34}{space 2} 407.3344{col 45}{space 1}    3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 603.9639{col 75}{space 3} 2207.354
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1574.415{col 34}{space 2}  413.351{col 45}{space 1}    3.81{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 760.8785{col 75}{space 3} 2387.952
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1455.472{col 34}{space 2} 422.4434{col 45}{space 1}    3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 624.0403{col 75}{space 3} 2286.904
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1746.108{col 34}{space 2} 448.2157{col 45}{space 1}    3.90{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 863.9524{col 75}{space 3} 2628.264
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1627.343{col 34}{space 2} 429.3266{col 45}{space 1}    3.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 782.3642{col 75}{space 3} 2472.322
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1368.146{col 34}{space 2} 434.7888{col 45}{space 1}    3.15{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4}  512.417{col 75}{space 3} 2223.876
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  959.707{col 34}{space 2} 454.4043{col 45}{space 1}    2.11{col 54}{space 3}0.036{col 62}{space 4} 65.37141{col 75}{space 3} 1854.043
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1764.639{col 34}{space 2} 472.6203{col 45}{space 1}    3.73{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 834.4514{col 75}{space 3} 2694.826
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 463.8084{col 34}{space 2} 384.2797{col 45}{space 1}    1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.228{col 62}{space 4}-292.5115{col 75}{space 3} 1220.128
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,955 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   291) ={res}    7.90
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0053
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   291) ={res}    4.82
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0088
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -3.66682{col 26}{space 2} 4.417497{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.407{col 54}{space 4}-12.36112{col 67}{space 3} 5.027476
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  11.6898{col 26}{space 2} 9.442654{col 37}{space 1}    1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.216{col 54}{space 4}-6.817457{col 67}{space 3} 30.19707
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       390{col 27}-189.1924{col 38}-113.2913{col 49}    86{col 58} 398.5826{col 69} 739.6712
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ****** PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if oldsouth==1, lag(8) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       390
{txt}maximum lag: {res}8{col 49}{txt}F( 85,       304){col 67}= {res}      7.30
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1094593{col 30}{space 2} .0433852{col 41}{space 1}   -2.52{col 50}{space 3}0.012{col 58}{space 4}-.1948326{col 71}{space 3} -.024086
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001019{col 30}{space 2} .0000609{col 41}{space 1}   -1.67{col 50}{space 3}0.095{col 58}{space 4}-.0002217{col 71}{space 3}  .000018
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0314207{col 30}{space 2} .1004052{col 41}{space 1}   -0.31{col 50}{space 3}0.755{col 58}{space 4}-.2289977{col 71}{space 3} .1661564
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0001296{col 30}{space 2} .0001127{col 41}{space 1}   -1.15{col 50}{space 3}0.251{col 58}{space 4}-.0003515{col 71}{space 3} .0000922
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1659402{col 30}{space 2}  .063689{col 41}{space 1}   -2.61{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4}-.2912673{col 71}{space 3} -.040613
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.75e-06{col 30}{space 2} .0001486{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.991{col 58}{space 4}-.0002908{col 71}{space 3} .0002943
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0948331{col 30}{space 2} .0584965{col 41}{space 1}   -1.62{col 50}{space 3}0.106{col 58}{space 4}-.2099424{col 71}{space 3} .0202762
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .000089{col 30}{space 2}  .000172{col 41}{space 1}    0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.605{col 58}{space 4}-.0002495{col 71}{space 3} .0004276
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1234676{col 30}{space 2}  .069297{col 41}{space 1}   -1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.076{col 58}{space 4}-.2598301{col 71}{space 3}  .012895
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0456925{col 30}{space 2} .1274308{col 41}{space 1}   -0.36{col 50}{space 3}0.720{col 58}{space 4}-.2964505{col 71}{space 3} .2050655
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1381773{col 30}{space 2} .0792193{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.082{col 58}{space 4}-.0177104{col 71}{space 3} .2940649
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0187311{col 30}{space 2} .1349076{col 41}{space 1}    0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.890{col 58}{space 4}-.2467397{col 71}{space 3}  .284202
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1398137{col 30}{space 2} .0721105{col 41}{space 1}   -1.94{col 50}{space 3}0.053{col 58}{space 4}-.2817125{col 71}{space 3} .0020852
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0028345{col 30}{space 2} .1311641{col 41}{space 1}    0.02{col 50}{space 3}0.983{col 58}{space 4}-.2552701{col 71}{space 3} .2609391
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0902484{col 30}{space 2} .1310837{col 41}{space 1}    0.69{col 50}{space 3}0.492{col 58}{space 4}-.1676978{col 71}{space 3} .3481947
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0471394{col 30}{space 2} .0915057{col 41}{space 1}    0.52{col 50}{space 3}0.607{col 58}{space 4}-.1329253{col 71}{space 3} .2272042
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0427385{col 30}{space 2} .0704793{col 41}{space 1}   -0.61{col 50}{space 3}0.545{col 58}{space 4}-.1814275{col 71}{space 3} .0959505
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0543953{col 30}{space 2} .0624243{col 41}{space 1}    0.87{col 50}{space 3}0.384{col 58}{space 4}-.0684432{col 71}{space 3} .1772337
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1036259{col 30}{space 2} .0967421{col 41}{space 1}   -1.07{col 50}{space 3}0.285{col 58}{space 4}-.2939949{col 71}{space 3} .0867431
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1726047{col 30}{space 2} .1641824{col 41}{space 1}    1.05{col 50}{space 3}0.294{col 58}{space 4}-.1504732{col 71}{space 3} .4956826
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2875648{col 30}{space 2} .1595154{col 41}{space 1}    1.80{col 50}{space 3}0.072{col 58}{space 4}-.0263293{col 71}{space 3} .6014589
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0793494{col 30}{space 2} .1150414{col 41}{space 1}   -0.69{col 50}{space 3}0.491{col 58}{space 4}-.3057275{col 71}{space 3} .1470288
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0711681{col 30}{space 2} .1800138{col 41}{space 1}    0.40{col 50}{space 3}0.693{col 58}{space 4}-.2830628{col 71}{space 3}  .425399
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1299539{col 30}{space 2} .2128947{col 41}{space 1}   -0.61{col 50}{space 3}0.542{col 58}{space 4}-.5488877{col 71}{space 3}   .28898
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0156559{col 30}{space 2} .1157946{col 41}{space 1}   -0.14{col 50}{space 3}0.893{col 58}{space 4}-.2435163{col 71}{space 3} .2122045
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1101021{col 30}{space 2} .1450697{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.448{col 58}{space 4}-.1753657{col 71}{space 3}   .39557
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0289938{col 30}{space 2} .1056406{col 41}{space 1}    0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.784{col 58}{space 4}-.1788855{col 71}{space 3} .2368732
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1487409{col 30}{space 2} .1494774{col 41}{space 1}    1.00{col 50}{space 3}0.320{col 58}{space 4}-.1454004{col 71}{space 3} .4428823
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0664179{col 30}{space 2} .1155494{col 41}{space 1}    0.57{col 50}{space 3}0.566{col 58}{space 4}-.1609601{col 71}{space 3} .2937958
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0869609{col 30}{space 2} .2515362{col 41}{space 1}    0.35{col 50}{space 3}0.730{col 58}{space 4}-.4080116{col 71}{space 3} .5819334
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1370663{col 30}{space 2} .1787823{col 41}{space 1}    0.77{col 50}{space 3}0.444{col 58}{space 4}-.2147412{col 71}{space 3} .4888738
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0008923{col 30}{space 2} .1381955{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.995{col 58}{space 4}-.2710486{col 71}{space 3} .2728331
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .097679{col 30}{space 2} .1534099{col 41}{space 1}    0.64{col 50}{space 3}0.525{col 58}{space 4}-.2042007{col 71}{space 3} .3995587
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2076246{col 30}{space 2}  .296283{col 41}{space 1}   -0.70{col 50}{space 3}0.484{col 58}{space 4}-.7906497{col 71}{space 3} .3754005
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0697111{col 30}{space 2} .1655785{col 41}{space 1}    0.42{col 50}{space 3}0.674{col 58}{space 4} -.256114{col 71}{space 3} .3955362
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2213465{col 30}{space 2} .1859678{col 41}{space 1}    1.19{col 50}{space 3}0.235{col 58}{space 4}-.1446007{col 71}{space 3} .5872936
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .130803{col 30}{space 2} .1667474{col 41}{space 1}    0.78{col 50}{space 3}0.433{col 58}{space 4}-.1973223{col 71}{space 3} .4589283
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .436164{col 30}{space 2} .2627169{col 41}{space 1}    1.66{col 50}{space 3}0.098{col 58}{space 4}-.0808098{col 71}{space 3} .9531377
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6036794{col 30}{space 2} .2857502{col 41}{space 1}    2.11{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .0413807{col 71}{space 3} 1.165978
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3607213{col 30}{space 2} .2786806{col 41}{space 1}    1.29{col 50}{space 3}0.197{col 58}{space 4}-.1876658{col 71}{space 3} .9091084
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9847129{col 30}{space 2} .3475631{col 41}{space 1}    2.83{col 50}{space 3}0.005{col 58}{space 4} .3007788{col 71}{space 3} 1.668647
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.241408{col 30}{space 2} .5647953{col 41}{space 1}    2.20{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4} .1300051{col 71}{space 3} 2.352811
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1248384{col 30}{space 2} .4589586{col 41}{space 1}    0.27{col 50}{space 3}0.786{col 58}{space 4}-.7782995{col 71}{space 3} 1.027976
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .6883061{col 30}{space 2}  .351403{col 41}{space 1}    1.96{col 50}{space 3}0.051{col 58}{space 4} -.003184{col 71}{space 3} 1.379796
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.136099{col 30}{space 2} .3619807{col 41}{space 1}    3.14{col 50}{space 3}0.002{col 58}{space 4} .4237937{col 71}{space 3} 1.848404
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .5671295{col 30}{space 2} .2868959{col 41}{space 1}    1.98{col 50}{space 3}0.049{col 58}{space 4} .0025764{col 71}{space 3} 1.131683
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8351019{col 30}{space 2} .4064489{col 41}{space 1}    2.05{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0352925{col 71}{space 3} 1.634911
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8750353{col 30}{space 2} .3843393{col 41}{space 1}    2.28{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4}  .118733{col 71}{space 3} 1.631337
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .655716{col 30}{space 2} .3541785{col 41}{space 1}    1.85{col 50}{space 3}0.065{col 58}{space 4}-.0412359{col 71}{space 3} 1.352668
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4718741{col 30}{space 2} .4188678{col 41}{space 1}    1.13{col 50}{space 3}0.261{col 58}{space 4}-.3523732{col 71}{space 3} 1.296121
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7270828{col 30}{space 2} .4095341{col 41}{space 1}    1.78{col 50}{space 3}0.077{col 58}{space 4}-.0787976{col 71}{space 3} 1.532963
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.219294{col 30}{space 2} .6553296{col 41}{space 1}    1.86{col 50}{space 3}0.064{col 58}{space 4}-.0702621{col 71}{space 3} 2.508851
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7964314{col 30}{space 2} .3596723{col 41}{space 1}    2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .0886689{col 71}{space 3} 1.504194
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9824368{col 30}{space 2} .4449064{col 41}{space 1}    2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .1069509{col 71}{space 3} 1.857923
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .868791{col 30}{space 2} .4039013{col 41}{space 1}    2.15{col 50}{space 3}0.032{col 58}{space 4} .0739947{col 71}{space 3} 1.663587
{txt}{space 11}1981  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.051407{col 30}{space 2} .4520554{col 41}{space 1}    2.33{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .1618537{col 71}{space 3} 1.940961
{txt}{space 11}1982  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9218471{col 30}{space 2}   .46898{col 41}{space 1}    1.97{col 50}{space 3}0.050{col 58}{space 4}-.0010109{col 71}{space 3} 1.844705
{txt}{space 11}1983  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.210733{col 30}{space 2} .5303357{col 41}{space 1}    2.28{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4}  .167139{col 71}{space 3} 2.254326
{txt}{space 11}1984  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.048175{col 30}{space 2} .4881967{col 41}{space 1}    2.15{col 50}{space 3}0.033{col 58}{space 4} .0875025{col 71}{space 3} 2.008848
{txt}{space 11}1985  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.366257{col 30}{space 2} .5349661{col 41}{space 1}    2.55{col 50}{space 3}0.011{col 58}{space 4} .3135515{col 71}{space 3} 2.418962
{txt}{space 11}1986  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9937284{col 30}{space 2} .4706578{col 41}{space 1}    2.11{col 50}{space 3}0.036{col 58}{space 4} .0675688{col 71}{space 3} 1.919888
{txt}{space 11}1987  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.283464{col 30}{space 2} .5271533{col 41}{space 1}    2.43{col 50}{space 3}0.015{col 58}{space 4} .2461326{col 71}{space 3} 2.320795
{txt}{space 11}1988  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.161812{col 30}{space 2} .5289959{col 41}{space 1}    2.20{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4} .1208545{col 71}{space 3} 2.202769
{txt}{space 11}1989  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.272055{col 30}{space 2} .5566471{col 41}{space 1}    2.29{col 50}{space 3}0.023{col 58}{space 4} .1766858{col 71}{space 3} 2.367424
{txt}{space 11}1990  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.213731{col 30}{space 2}  .544303{col 41}{space 1}    2.23{col 50}{space 3}0.026{col 58}{space 4} .1426523{col 71}{space 3} 2.284809
{txt}{space 11}1991  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.230096{col 30}{space 2} .5579583{col 41}{space 1}    2.20{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .1321463{col 71}{space 3} 2.328045
{txt}{space 11}1992  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.255463{col 30}{space 2}  .598566{col 41}{space 1}    2.10{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4} .0776059{col 71}{space 3}  2.43332
{txt}{space 11}1993  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.328843{col 30}{space 2} .6066974{col 41}{space 1}    2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4} .1349854{col 71}{space 3} 2.522702
{txt}{space 11}1994  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.305965{col 30}{space 2} .5899989{col 41}{space 1}    2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .1449661{col 71}{space 3} 2.466964
{txt}{space 11}1995  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.491994{col 30}{space 2} .6255348{col 41}{space 1}    2.39{col 50}{space 3}0.018{col 58}{space 4} .2610677{col 71}{space 3}  2.72292
{txt}{space 11}1996  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.475921{col 30}{space 2}  .616632{col 41}{space 1}    2.39{col 50}{space 3}0.017{col 58}{space 4} .2625134{col 71}{space 3} 2.689328
{txt}{space 11}1997  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.424382{col 30}{space 2} .6423384{col 41}{space 1}    2.22{col 50}{space 3}0.027{col 58}{space 4} .1603896{col 71}{space 3} 2.688374
{txt}{space 11}1998  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.484139{col 30}{space 2} .6775757{col 41}{space 1}    2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4} .1508065{col 71}{space 3} 2.817471
{txt}{space 11}1999  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.498031{col 30}{space 2} .6818435{col 41}{space 1}    2.20{col 50}{space 3}0.029{col 58}{space 4}  .156301{col 71}{space 3} 2.839762
{txt}{space 11}2000  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.483432{col 30}{space 2} .6724352{col 41}{space 1}    2.21{col 50}{space 3}0.028{col 58}{space 4} .1602152{col 71}{space 3} 2.806649
{txt}{space 11}2001  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.589458{col 30}{space 2} .7272291{col 41}{space 1}    2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .1584183{col 71}{space 3} 3.020498
{txt}{space 11}2002  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.518601{col 30}{space 2} .7218732{col 41}{space 1}    2.10{col 50}{space 3}0.036{col 58}{space 4} .0981001{col 71}{space 3} 2.939102
{txt}{space 11}2003  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.575543{col 30}{space 2} .7347577{col 41}{space 1}    2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.033{col 58}{space 4} .1296884{col 71}{space 3} 3.021398
{txt}{space 11}2004  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.615715{col 30}{space 2} .7664066{col 41}{space 1}    2.11{col 50}{space 3}0.036{col 58}{space 4} .1075813{col 71}{space 3} 3.123848
{txt}{space 11}2005  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.640118{col 30}{space 2} .7752323{col 41}{space 1}    2.12{col 50}{space 3}0.035{col 58}{space 4} .1146174{col 71}{space 3} 3.165619
{txt}{space 11}2006  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.686822{col 30}{space 2} .7774927{col 41}{space 1}    2.17{col 50}{space 3}0.031{col 58}{space 4} .1568732{col 71}{space 3}  3.21677
{txt}{space 11}2007  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.758225{col 30}{space 2} .8079728{col 41}{space 1}    2.18{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .1682974{col 71}{space 3} 3.348152
{txt}{space 11}2008  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.707734{col 30}{space 2} .7983541{col 41}{space 1}    2.14{col 50}{space 3}0.033{col 58}{space 4} .1367343{col 71}{space 3} 3.278734
{txt}{space 11}2009  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.667885{col 30}{space 2} .7969428{col 41}{space 1}    2.09{col 50}{space 3}0.037{col 58}{space 4} .0996622{col 71}{space 3} 3.236107
{txt}{space 11}2010  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.761507{col 30}{space 2} .8446711{col 41}{space 1}    2.09{col 50}{space 3}0.038{col 58}{space 4} .0993646{col 71}{space 3} 3.423649
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3372409{col 30}{space 2} .2949738{col 41}{space 1}    1.14{col 50}{space 3}0.254{col 58}{space 4}-.2432079{col 71}{space 3} .9176897
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallfullos if oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(2,949 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   304) ={res}    6.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0121
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   304) ={res}    3.37
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0357
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000389{col 26}{space 2} .0002074{col 37}{space 1}   -0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.852{col 54}{space 4} -.000447{col 67}{space 3} .0003693
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0009305{col 26}{space 2} .0005127{col 37}{space 1}   -1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.070{col 54}{space 4}-.0019353{col 67}{space 3} .0000743
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (4,3)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.B: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): PRE-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1942 - 1980) ***
. 
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       210{col 27}-1460.995{col 38}-1242.211{col 49}    60{col 58} 2604.422{col 69} 2805.249
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       210
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 59,       150){col 67}= {res}    156.75
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2339635{col 34}{space 2} .0883646{col 45}{space 1}   -2.65{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-.4085636{col 75}{space 3}-.0593635
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.144303{col 34}{space 2} 1.387725{col 45}{space 1}    0.82{col 54}{space 3}0.411{col 62}{space 4}-1.597711{col 75}{space 3} 3.886317
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .3014235{col 34}{space 2} .0983129{col 45}{space 1}    3.07{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} .1071665{col 75}{space 3} .4956804
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-2.156617{col 34}{space 2} 1.679005{col 45}{space 1}   -1.28{col 54}{space 3}0.201{col 62}{space 4}-5.474171{col 75}{space 3} 1.160937
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0726275{col 34}{space 2} .0646345{col 45}{space 1}   -1.12{col 54}{space 3}0.263{col 62}{space 4}-.2003391{col 75}{space 3}  .055084
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 3.116295{col 34}{space 2} 2.075573{col 45}{space 1}    1.50{col 54}{space 3}0.135{col 62}{space 4}-.9848407{col 75}{space 3} 7.217431
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0499169{col 34}{space 2} .0834736{col 45}{space 1}   -0.60{col 54}{space 3}0.551{col 62}{space 4}-.2148528{col 75}{space 3} .1150189
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-1.317788{col 34}{space 2} 1.651762{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.426{col 62}{space 4}-4.581513{col 75}{space 3} 1.945937
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} -283.154{col 34}{space 2} 351.7792{col 45}{space 1}   -0.80{col 54}{space 3}0.422{col 62}{space 4}-978.2365{col 75}{space 3} 411.9284
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  78.0638{col 34}{space 2} 397.9253{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.845{col 62}{space 4} -708.199{col 75}{space 3} 864.3266
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-24.71175{col 34}{space 2} 57.90714{col 45}{space 1}   -0.43{col 54}{space 3}0.670{col 62}{space 4}-139.1308{col 75}{space 3} 89.70727
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 32.47555{col 34}{space 2} 79.42273{col 45}{space 1}    0.41{col 54}{space 3}0.683{col 62}{space 4}-124.4563{col 75}{space 3} 189.4074
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-695.0986{col 34}{space 2} 398.2364{col 45}{space 1}   -1.75{col 54}{space 3}0.083{col 62}{space 4}-1481.976{col 75}{space 3} 91.77879
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 622.2733{col 34}{space 2} 809.5661{col 45}{space 1}    0.77{col 54}{space 3}0.443{col 62}{space 4}-977.3528{col 75}{space 3} 2221.899
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 504.2064{col 34}{space 2} 594.6348{col 45}{space 1}    0.85{col 54}{space 3}0.398{col 62}{space 4}-670.7357{col 75}{space 3} 1679.149
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2706.441{col 34}{space 2} 862.0624{col 45}{space 1}    3.14{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} 1003.087{col 75}{space 3} 4409.795
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 112.5584{col 34}{space 2} 61.63142{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.070{col 62}{space 4} -9.21948{col 75}{space 3} 234.3362
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-124.2815{col 34}{space 2} 46.72765{col 45}{space 1}   -2.66{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}-216.6109{col 75}{space 3}-31.95206
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-67.51971{col 34}{space 2} 74.74751{col 45}{space 1}   -0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.368{col 62}{space 4}-215.2137{col 75}{space 3} 80.17429
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  149.501{col 34}{space 2} 67.26155{col 45}{space 1}    2.22{col 54}{space 3}0.028{col 62}{space 4} 16.59855{col 75}{space 3} 282.4034
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .7326132{col 34}{space 2} 50.55891{col 45}{space 1}    0.01{col 54}{space 3}0.988{col 62}{space 4}  -99.167{col 75}{space 3} 100.6322
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 152.4538{col 34}{space 2} 57.64456{col 45}{space 1}    2.64{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 38.55362{col 75}{space 3}  266.354
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-178.6195{col 34}{space 2} 86.09086{col 45}{space 1}   -2.07{col 54}{space 3}0.040{col 62}{space 4}-348.7269{col 75}{space 3}  -8.5121
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-35.60892{col 34}{space 2} 35.12581{col 45}{space 1}   -1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.312{col 62}{space 4}-105.0142{col 75}{space 3} 33.79635
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 68.36277{col 34}{space 2} 66.95509{col 45}{space 1}    1.02{col 54}{space 3}0.309{col 62}{space 4}-63.93415{col 75}{space 3} 200.6597
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1947  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 204.4783{col 34}{space 2} 126.4634{col 45}{space 1}    1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.108{col 62}{space 4}-45.40133{col 75}{space 3}  454.358
{txt}{space 15}1948  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 573.6865{col 34}{space 2}  156.933{col 45}{space 1}    3.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 263.6018{col 75}{space 3} 883.7712
{txt}{space 15}1949  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  179.826{col 34}{space 2} 146.0993{col 45}{space 1}    1.23{col 54}{space 3}0.220{col 62}{space 4}-108.8525{col 75}{space 3} 468.5044
{txt}{space 15}1950  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 384.5635{col 34}{space 2} 102.2641{col 45}{space 1}    3.76{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 182.4992{col 75}{space 3} 586.6277
{txt}{space 15}1951  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 447.5523{col 34}{space 2} 98.76379{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 252.4044{col 75}{space 3} 642.7002
{txt}{space 15}1952  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  538.426{col 34}{space 2} 97.66535{col 45}{space 1}    5.51{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 345.4485{col 75}{space 3} 731.4035
{txt}{space 15}1953  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 557.6055{col 34}{space 2} 91.06927{col 45}{space 1}    6.12{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 377.6613{col 75}{space 3} 737.5498
{txt}{space 15}1954  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 334.6968{col 34}{space 2} 88.25558{col 45}{space 1}    3.79{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 160.3121{col 75}{space 3} 509.0814
{txt}{space 15}1955  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 766.4641{col 34}{space 2} 103.4962{col 45}{space 1}    7.41{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 561.9653{col 75}{space 3} 970.9628
{txt}{space 15}1956  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 653.7474{col 34}{space 2} 108.9282{col 45}{space 1}    6.00{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 438.5155{col 75}{space 3} 868.9792
{txt}{space 15}1957  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 478.2557{col 34}{space 2} 107.5367{col 45}{space 1}    4.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 265.7733{col 75}{space 3}  690.738
{txt}{space 15}1958  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 587.5169{col 34}{space 2} 118.9613{col 45}{space 1}    4.94{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 352.4608{col 75}{space 3} 822.5731
{txt}{space 15}1959  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 801.7316{col 34}{space 2} 121.1447{col 45}{space 1}    6.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 562.3612{col 75}{space 3} 1041.102
{txt}{space 15}1960  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 555.3151{col 34}{space 2} 134.2109{col 45}{space 1}    4.14{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 290.1271{col 75}{space 3}  820.503
{txt}{space 15}1961  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 792.0509{col 34}{space 2} 139.0637{col 45}{space 1}    5.70{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 517.2742{col 75}{space 3} 1066.828
{txt}{space 15}1962  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 800.6203{col 34}{space 2} 141.2511{col 45}{space 1}    5.67{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 521.5214{col 75}{space 3} 1079.719
{txt}{space 15}1963  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 862.9243{col 34}{space 2} 152.9263{col 45}{space 1}    5.64{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 560.7565{col 75}{space 3} 1165.092
{txt}{space 15}1964  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 985.3929{col 34}{space 2} 159.3551{col 45}{space 1}    6.18{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 670.5223{col 75}{space 3} 1300.264
{txt}{space 15}1965  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1089.148{col 34}{space 2} 173.8456{col 45}{space 1}    6.27{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 745.6458{col 75}{space 3} 1432.651
{txt}{space 15}1966  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1168.613{col 34}{space 2} 200.8521{col 45}{space 1}    5.82{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 771.7479{col 75}{space 3} 1565.478
{txt}{space 15}1967  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1190.798{col 34}{space 2}  218.306{col 45}{space 1}    5.45{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 759.4457{col 75}{space 3}  1622.15
{txt}{space 15}1968  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1296.127{col 34}{space 2} 243.9835{col 45}{space 1}    5.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 814.0385{col 75}{space 3} 1778.215
{txt}{space 15}1969  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1281.322{col 34}{space 2} 288.6312{col 45}{space 1}    4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 711.0137{col 75}{space 3}  1851.63
{txt}{space 15}1970  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1273.425{col 34}{space 2} 295.4253{col 45}{space 1}    4.31{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 689.6923{col 75}{space 3} 1857.157
{txt}{space 15}1971  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1419.041{col 34}{space 2} 319.4666{col 45}{space 1}    4.44{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 787.8052{col 75}{space 3} 2050.277
{txt}{space 15}1972  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1679.372{col 34}{space 2} 349.7773{col 45}{space 1}    4.80{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 988.2454{col 75}{space 3} 2370.499
{txt}{space 15}1973  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1771.179{col 34}{space 2} 391.4049{col 45}{space 1}    4.53{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 997.7996{col 75}{space 3} 2544.558
{txt}{space 15}1974  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1365.724{col 34}{space 2} 395.4835{col 45}{space 1}    3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 584.2864{col 75}{space 3} 2147.162
{txt}{space 15}1975  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1431.406{col 34}{space 2}  405.499{col 45}{space 1}    3.53{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 630.1788{col 75}{space 3} 2232.634
{txt}{space 15}1976  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1950.889{col 34}{space 2} 418.6704{col 45}{space 1}    4.66{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1123.636{col 75}{space 3} 2778.142
{txt}{space 15}1977  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1630.988{col 34}{space 2} 446.5411{col 45}{space 1}    3.65{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4}  748.665{col 75}{space 3} 2513.311
{txt}{space 15}1978  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1959.936{col 34}{space 2} 462.9712{col 45}{space 1}    4.23{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} 1045.148{col 75}{space 3} 2874.723
{txt}{space 15}1979  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1581.697{col 34}{space 2} 488.4454{col 45}{space 1}    3.24{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 616.5753{col 75}{space 3} 2546.819
{txt}{space 15}1980  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1391.847{col 34}{space 2} 457.6102{col 45}{space 1}    3.04{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 487.6525{col 75}{space 3} 2296.041
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 214.0628{col 34}{space 2} 509.1633{col 45}{space 1}    0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.675{col 62}{space 4}-791.9957{col 75}{space 3} 1220.121
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,129 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   150) ={res}    7.01
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0090
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   150) ={res}    4.46
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0132
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3581105{col 26}{space 2} 2.839943{col 37}{space 1}   -0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.900{col 54}{space 4}-5.969569{col 67}{space 3} 5.253348
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.890947{col 26}{space 2} 4.847504{col 37}{space 1}    1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.313{col 54}{space 4}-4.609987{col 67}{space 3} 14.39188
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res}        0              0
{txt} 5%    {res}        0              0
{txt}10%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Obs         {res}        210
{txt}25%    {res}        0              0       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        210

{txt}50%    {res} 2.928571                      {txt}Mean          {res} 11.78031
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 21.14665
{txt}75%    {res} 8.571429       86.86869
{txt}90%    {res} 38.38384       89.89899       {txt}Variance      {res} 447.1807
{txt}95%    {res} 66.66667       90.90909       {txt}Skewness      {res} 2.344286
{txt}99%    {res} 89.89899       90.90909       {txt}Kurtosis      {res}  7.82849
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*44.05263 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*0.9433962

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  210.845{col 26}{space 2} 208.9722{col 37}{space 1}    1.01{col 46}{space 3}0.313{col 54}{space 4} -198.733{col 67}{space 3} 620.4229
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui regress d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       210{col 27}-156.8436{col 38}-110.3775{col 49}    54{col 58} 328.7551{col 69} 509.4989
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. *
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. 
. newey d.ihsklarnerranney  l.ihsklarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.ihsklarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.ihsklarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.ihsklarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1 i.state_fips i.year if year <=1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(6) force
{txt}note: L.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.rep_unified omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       210
{txt}maximum lag: {res}6{col 49}{txt}F( 53,       156){col 67}= {res}      4.35
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 17}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.              {col 18}{c |}{col 30}  Newey-West
{col 1}ihsklarnerranney{col 18}{c |}      Coef.{col 30}   Std. Err.{col 42}      t{col 50}   P>|t|{col 58}     [95% Con{col 71}f. Interval]
{hline 17}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2060644{col 30}{space 2} .0734098{col 41}{space 1}   -2.81{col 50}{space 3}0.006{col 58}{space 4}-.3510698{col 71}{space 3} -.061059
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} -.000313{col 30}{space 2} .0002658{col 41}{space 1}   -1.18{col 50}{space 3}0.241{col 58}{space 4} -.000838{col 71}{space 3}  .000212
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0272305{col 30}{space 2} .1184205{col 41}{space 1}    0.23{col 50}{space 3}0.818{col 58}{space 4}-.2066839{col 71}{space 3} .2611449
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}D1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0003174{col 30}{space 2} .0002249{col 41}{space 1}   -1.41{col 50}{space 3}0.160{col 58}{space 4}-.0007617{col 71}{space 3} .0001268
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1463936{col 30}{space 2} .0749838{col 41}{space 1}   -1.95{col 50}{space 3}0.053{col 58}{space 4}-.2945081{col 71}{space 3} .0017209
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001645{col 30}{space 2}  .000276{col 41}{space 1}    0.60{col 50}{space 3}0.552{col 58}{space 4}-.0003806{col 71}{space 3} .0007097
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
ihsklarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L3D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0766186{col 30}{space 2}  .070497{col 41}{space 1}   -1.09{col 50}{space 3}0.279{col 58}{space 4}-.2158704{col 71}{space 3} .0626332
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 1}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L2D. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0001469{col 30}{space 2} .0003761{col 41}{space 1}    0.39{col 50}{space 3}0.697{col 58}{space 4}-.0005959{col 71}{space 3} .0008897
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 7}gov_party {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1658235{col 30}{space 2} .2704038{col 41}{space 1}   -0.61{col 50}{space 3}0.541{col 58}{space 4}-.6999488{col 71}{space 3} .3683018
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1818627{col 30}{space 2} .2165362{col 41}{space 1}   -0.84{col 50}{space 3}0.402{col 58}{space 4} -.609584{col 71}{space 3} .2458586
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}dem_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1970306{col 30}{space 2} .2358287{col 41}{space 1}    0.84{col 50}{space 3}0.405{col 58}{space 4}-.2687989{col 71}{space 3} .6628602
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  .132997{col 30}{space 2} .2278657{col 41}{space 1}    0.58{col 50}{space 3}0.560{col 58}{space 4}-.3171033{col 71}{space 3} .5830973
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 5}rep_unified {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}        0{col 30}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 16} {c |}
{space 2}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 13}L1. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0236397{col 30}{space 2} .3074108{col 41}{space 1}   -0.08{col 50}{space 3}0.939{col 58}{space 4}-.6308644{col 71}{space 3} .5835851
{txt}{space 13}LD. {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0769474{col 30}{space 2} .1954684{col 41}{space 1}    0.39{col 50}{space 3}0.694{col 58}{space 4}-.3091589{col 71}{space 3} .4630538
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 6}state_fips {c |}
{space 14}5  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0336687{col 30}{space 2} .1124329{col 41}{space 1}    0.30{col 50}{space 3}0.765{col 58}{space 4}-.1884186{col 71}{space 3} .2557559
{txt}{space 13}22  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2006527{col 30}{space 2} .1896471{col 41}{space 1}    1.06{col 50}{space 3}0.292{col 58}{space 4}-.1739549{col 71}{space 3} .5752603
{txt}{space 13}28  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.2217485{col 30}{space 2} .2366179{col 41}{space 1}   -0.94{col 50}{space 3}0.350{col 58}{space 4}-.6891369{col 71}{space 3} .2456399
{txt}{space 13}45  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1124791{col 30}{space 2} .3005814{col 41}{space 1}    0.37{col 50}{space 3}0.709{col 58}{space 4}-.4812555{col 71}{space 3} .7062137
{txt}{space 13}47  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8636758{col 30}{space 2} .3305808{col 41}{space 1}    2.61{col 50}{space 3}0.010{col 58}{space 4} .2106838{col 71}{space 3} 1.516668
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 12}year {c |}
{space 11}1947  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.0423128{col 30}{space 2} .2222337{col 41}{space 1}   -0.19{col 50}{space 3}0.849{col 58}{space 4}-.4812881{col 71}{space 3} .3966626
{txt}{space 11}1948  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1538675{col 30}{space 2} .3861288{col 41}{space 1}    0.40{col 50}{space 3}0.691{col 58}{space 4}-.6088479{col 71}{space 3} .9165829
{txt}{space 11}1949  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}-.1599374{col 30}{space 2} .3347596{col 41}{space 1}   -0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.633{col 58}{space 4}-.8211839{col 71}{space 3} .5013091
{txt}{space 11}1950  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0013741{col 30}{space 2} .2202775{col 41}{space 1}    0.01{col 50}{space 3}0.995{col 58}{space 4}-.4337373{col 71}{space 3} .4364855
{txt}{space 11}1951  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1255918{col 30}{space 2} .2607055{col 41}{space 1}    0.48{col 50}{space 3}0.631{col 58}{space 4}-.3893766{col 71}{space 3} .6405602
{txt}{space 11}1952  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0688745{col 30}{space 2} .1831672{col 41}{space 1}    0.38{col 50}{space 3}0.707{col 58}{space 4}-.2929333{col 71}{space 3} .4306823
{txt}{space 11}1953  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2290097{col 30}{space 2} .2275491{col 41}{space 1}    1.01{col 50}{space 3}0.316{col 58}{space 4}-.2204651{col 71}{space 3} .6784845
{txt}{space 11}1954  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1386262{col 30}{space 2} .1909429{col 41}{space 1}    0.73{col 50}{space 3}0.469{col 58}{space 4}-.2385411{col 71}{space 3} .5157934
{txt}{space 11}1955  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2659014{col 30}{space 2} .3241141{col 41}{space 1}    0.82{col 50}{space 3}0.413{col 58}{space 4}-.3743172{col 71}{space 3} .9061199
{txt}{space 11}1956  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2987899{col 30}{space 2} .3350091{col 41}{space 1}    0.89{col 50}{space 3}0.374{col 58}{space 4}-.3629493{col 71}{space 3} .9605291
{txt}{space 11}1957  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .1744153{col 30}{space 2} .2294278{col 41}{space 1}    0.76{col 50}{space 3}0.448{col 58}{space 4}-.2787706{col 71}{space 3} .6276012
{txt}{space 11}1958  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .3106661{col 30}{space 2} .3050146{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.310{col 58}{space 4}-.2918254{col 71}{space 3} .9131575
{txt}{space 11}1959  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .0463264{col 30}{space 2} .3946013{col 41}{space 1}    0.12{col 50}{space 3}0.907{col 58}{space 4}-.7331246{col 71}{space 3} .8257775
{txt}{space 11}1960  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .2810465{col 30}{space 2} .3573021{col 41}{space 1}    0.79{col 50}{space 3}0.433{col 58}{space 4}-.4247278{col 71}{space 3} .9868209
{txt}{space 11}1961  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4779191{col 30}{space 2} .3730708{col 41}{space 1}    1.28{col 50}{space 3}0.202{col 58}{space 4}-.2590031{col 71}{space 3} 1.214841
{txt}{space 11}1962  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .4105267{col 30}{space 2} .4199033{col 41}{space 1}    0.98{col 50}{space 3}0.330{col 58}{space 4} -.418903{col 71}{space 3} 1.239956
{txt}{space 11}1963  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .7542523{col 30}{space 2} .4462159{col 41}{space 1}    1.69{col 50}{space 3}0.093{col 58}{space 4}-.1271524{col 71}{space 3} 1.635657
{txt}{space 11}1964  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .9756879{col 30}{space 2} .5642418{col 41}{space 1}    1.73{col 50}{space 3}0.086{col 58}{space 4}-.1388518{col 71}{space 3} 2.090228
{txt}{space 11}1965  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8213665{col 30}{space 2} .5625094{col 41}{space 1}    1.46{col 50}{space 3}0.146{col 58}{space 4}-.2897513{col 71}{space 3} 1.932484
{txt}{space 11}1966  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.525204{col 30}{space 2} .6959477{col 41}{space 1}    2.19{col 50}{space 3}0.030{col 58}{space 4} .1505069{col 71}{space 3}   2.8999
{txt}{space 11}1967  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.860954{col 30}{space 2} .7982672{col 41}{space 1}    2.33{col 50}{space 3}0.021{col 58}{space 4} .2841466{col 71}{space 3} 3.437761
{txt}{space 11}1968  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} .8884417{col 30}{space 2}  .780638{col 41}{space 1}    1.14{col 50}{space 3}0.257{col 58}{space 4}-.6535427{col 71}{space 3} 2.430426
{txt}{space 11}1969  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.514936{col 30}{space 2} .9095863{col 41}{space 1}    1.67{col 50}{space 3}0.098{col 58}{space 4}-.2817582{col 71}{space 3} 3.311631
{txt}{space 11}1970  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.032733{col 30}{space 2} .9872611{col 41}{space 1}    2.06{col 50}{space 3}0.041{col 58}{space 4} .0826084{col 71}{space 3} 3.982857
{txt}{space 11}1971  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.555184{col 30}{space 2} .9811864{col 41}{space 1}    1.59{col 50}{space 3}0.115{col 58}{space 4}-.3829412{col 71}{space 3} 3.493309
{txt}{space 11}1972  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.898118{col 30}{space 2} 1.176704{col 41}{space 1}    1.61{col 50}{space 3}0.109{col 58}{space 4}-.4262103{col 71}{space 3} 4.222446
{txt}{space 11}1973  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.006871{col 30}{space 2} 1.151632{col 41}{space 1}    1.74{col 50}{space 3}0.083{col 58}{space 4}-.2679341{col 71}{space 3} 4.281675
{txt}{space 11}1974  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.784638{col 30}{space 2} 1.230944{col 41}{space 1}    1.45{col 50}{space 3}0.149{col 58}{space 4} -.646831{col 71}{space 3} 4.216107
{txt}{space 11}1975  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 1.676057{col 30}{space 2} 1.252623{col 41}{space 1}    1.34{col 50}{space 3}0.183{col 58}{space 4} -.798233{col 71}{space 3} 4.150347
{txt}{space 11}1976  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.060225{col 30}{space 2} 1.375504{col 41}{space 1}    1.50{col 50}{space 3}0.136{col 58}{space 4}-.6567903{col 71}{space 3}  4.77724
{txt}{space 11}1977  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.516359{col 30}{space 2} 1.601701{col 41}{space 1}    1.57{col 50}{space 3}0.118{col 58}{space 4}-.6474608{col 71}{space 3} 5.680179
{txt}{space 11}1978  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  2.19489{col 30}{space 2}  1.45923{col 41}{space 1}    1.50{col 50}{space 3}0.135{col 58}{space 4}-.6875098{col 71}{space 3} 5.077289
{txt}{space 11}1979  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.382049{col 30}{space 2} 1.585188{col 41}{space 1}    1.50{col 50}{space 3}0.135{col 58}{space 4}-.7491538{col 71}{space 3} 5.513252
{txt}{space 11}1980  {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2} 2.270066{col 30}{space 2} 1.538347{col 41}{space 1}    1.48{col 50}{space 3}0.142{col 58}{space 4}-.7686129{col 71}{space 3} 5.308744
{txt}{space 16} {c |}
{space 11}_cons {c |}{col 18}{res}{space 2}  1.21169{col 30}{space 2} 1.182527{col 41}{space 1}    1.02{col 50}{space 3}0.307{col 58}{space 4}-1.124142{col 71}{space 3} 3.547521
{txt}{hline 17}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre if year<=1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,129 missing values generated)

{com}. 
.  
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   156) ={res}    7.88
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0056
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.ihsklarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.ihsklarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.ihsklarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   156) ={res}    4.09
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0186
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann + 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.02e-06{col 26}{space 2} .0004986{col 37}{space 1}   -0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.990{col 54}{space 4}-.0009909{col 67}{space 3} .0009789
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.ihsklarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0015187{col 26}{space 2} .0012787{col 37}{space 1}   -1.19{col 46}{space 3}0.235{col 54}{space 4}-.0040249{col 67}{space 3} .0009875
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann    if ihsklarnerranneyhatallpre!=. & year<=1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 3099.246       2933.336
{txt} 5%    {res} 3473.436       2952.088
{txt}10%    {res} 3756.247       3099.246       {txt}Obs         {res}        210
{txt}25%    {res} 4436.137       3175.111       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        210

{txt}50%    {res} 5703.939                      {txt}Mean          {res} 6269.297
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2149.674
{txt}75%    {res} 8153.232       10518.84
{txt}90%    {res} 9369.632       10595.85       {txt}Variance      {res}  4621100
{txt}95%    {res} 9837.022       10638.07       {txt}Skewness      {res} .3673344
{txt}99%    {res} 10595.85       10670.46       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.830969
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON ihsklarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*8432.818 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.ihsklarnerranney])*4643.055

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}ihsklarner~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.755645{col 26}{space 2} 4.845961{col 37}{space 1}   -1.19{col 46}{space 3}0.235{col 54}{space 4}-15.25355{col 67}{space 3} 3.742264
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ***********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. // (5,4)  MODEL
. 
. 
. 
. *** IV.C: OLD SOUTH STATES (N = 9): POST-PARTISAN ALIGNMENT TIME PERIOD (1981 - 2010) ***
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       180{col 27} -1240.42{col 38}-1104.636{col 49}    57{col 58} 2323.273{col 69} 2505.271
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******INCOME EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.real_pc_inc_ann l.klarnerranney   l.d.real_pc_inc_ann d.klarnerranney  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.d.klarnerranney  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann l2.d.klarnerranney  l4.d.real_pc_inc_ann l3.d.klarnerranney  l.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.d.csi_perc_cap_outlays l.right_to_work l.d.right_to_work  l.csi_welf_perc_total l.d.csi_welf_perc_total l.nonfarm_persinc l.d.nonfarm_persinc l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force
{txt}note: L.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity
note: LD.right_to_work omitted because of collinearity

Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       180
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 56,       123){col 67}= {res}     75.05
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 21}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 22}{c |}{col 34}  Newey-West
{col 1}   D.real_pc_inc_ann{col 22}{c |}      Coef.{col 34}   Std. Err.{col 46}      t{col 54}   P>|t|{col 62}     [95% Con{col 75}f. Interval]
{hline 21}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.1572465{col 34}{space 2} .0493562{col 45}{space 1}   -3.19{col 54}{space 3}0.002{col 62}{space 4} -.254944{col 75}{space 3}-.0595489
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}   2.0671{col 34}{space 2} 1.479656{col 45}{space 1}    1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.165{col 62}{space 4} -.861788{col 75}{space 3} 4.995989
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .4243134{col 34}{space 2} .0917955{col 45}{space 1}    4.62{col 54}{space 3}0.000{col 62}{space 4} .2426097{col 75}{space 3}  .606017
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}D1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.2976237{col 34}{space 2} 2.565852{col 45}{space 1}   -0.12{col 54}{space 3}0.908{col 62}{space 4} -5.37657{col 75}{space 3} 4.781323
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .0540963{col 34}{space 2} .0977457{col 45}{space 1}    0.55{col 54}{space 3}0.581{col 62}{space 4}-.1393852{col 75}{space 3} .2475778
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.181868{col 34}{space 2} 2.600622{col 45}{space 1}   -1.99{col 54}{space 3}0.049{col 62}{space 4}-10.32964{col 75}{space 3}-.0340967
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-.0859304{col 34}{space 2} .1206413{col 45}{space 1}   -0.71{col 54}{space 3}0.478{col 62}{space 4}-.3247324{col 75}{space 3} .1528717
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L2D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-4.325343{col 34}{space 2} 2.165052{col 45}{space 1}   -2.00{col 54}{space 3}0.048{col 62}{space 4}-8.610931{col 75}{space 3}-.0397562
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 16}L4D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} .1888918{col 34}{space 2} .0714939{col 45}{space 1}    2.64{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4}  .047374{col 75}{space 3} .3304095
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 16}L3D. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 1.744066{col 34}{space 2} 3.426351{col 45}{space 1}    0.51{col 54}{space 3}0.612{col 62}{space 4}-5.038187{col 75}{space 3} 8.526318
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
csi_perc_cap_outlays {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-341.2508{col 34}{space 2}  814.326{col 45}{space 1}   -0.42{col 54}{space 3}0.676{col 62}{space 4}-1953.159{col 75}{space 3} 1270.658
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 32.78533{col 34}{space 2} 1108.758{col 45}{space 1}    0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.976{col 62}{space 4}-2161.932{col 75}{space 3} 2227.503
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 7}right_to_work {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}        0{col 34}{txt}  (omitted)
{space 20} {c |}
{space 1}csi_welf_perc_total {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-774.0376{col 34}{space 2} 810.2478{col 45}{space 1}   -0.96{col 54}{space 3}0.341{col 62}{space 4}-2377.874{col 75}{space 3} 829.7983
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-50.61071{col 34}{space 2} 1067.626{col 45}{space 1}   -0.05{col 54}{space 3}0.962{col 62}{space 4}-2163.911{col 75}{space 3}  2062.69
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 5}nonfarm_persinc {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 9479.821{col 34}{space 2} 5965.814{col 45}{space 1}    1.59{col 54}{space 3}0.115{col 62}{space 4}-2329.142{col 75}{space 3} 21288.78
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 2009.093{col 34}{space 2} 2943.024{col 45}{space 1}    0.68{col 54}{space 3}0.496{col 62}{space 4}-3816.442{col 75}{space 3} 7834.628
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 11}gov_party {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-105.6452{col 34}{space 2} 75.22618{col 45}{space 1}   -1.40{col 54}{space 3}0.163{col 62}{space 4}-254.5509{col 75}{space 3} 43.26038
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 129.5906{col 34}{space 2} 149.6521{col 45}{space 1}    0.87{col 54}{space 3}0.388{col 62}{space 4}-166.6364{col 75}{space 3} 425.8177
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}dem_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 164.6464{col 34}{space 2} 70.06689{col 45}{space 1}    2.35{col 54}{space 3}0.020{col 62}{space 4} 25.95323{col 75}{space 3} 303.3395
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-161.8964{col 34}{space 2} 143.7362{col 45}{space 1}   -1.13{col 54}{space 3}0.262{col 62}{space 4}-446.4134{col 75}{space 3} 122.6206
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 9}rep_unified {c |}
{space 17}L1. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-132.5574{col 34}{space 2} 65.92387{col 45}{space 1}   -2.01{col 54}{space 3}0.047{col 62}{space 4}-263.0496{col 75}{space 3}-2.065135
{txt}{space 17}LD. {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 136.7484{col 34}{space 2} 162.7027{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.402{col 62}{space 4}-185.3116{col 75}{space 3} 458.8084
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 10}state_fips {c |}
{space 18}5  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 126.6642{col 34}{space 2} 151.1015{col 45}{space 1}    0.84{col 54}{space 3}0.404{col 62}{space 4}-172.4319{col 75}{space 3} 425.7604
{txt}{space 17}22  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 7.749082{col 34}{space 2} 37.99798{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.839{col 62}{space 4}-67.46558{col 75}{space 3} 82.96375
{txt}{space 17}28  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-161.9152{col 34}{space 2} 99.83518{col 45}{space 1}   -1.62{col 54}{space 3}0.107{col 62}{space 4}-359.5328{col 75}{space 3} 35.70247
{txt}{space 17}45  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-53.56366{col 34}{space 2} 64.71242{col 45}{space 1}   -0.83{col 54}{space 3}0.409{col 62}{space 4}-181.6579{col 75}{space 3}  74.5306
{txt}{space 17}47  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 86.63026{col 34}{space 2} 95.91617{col 45}{space 1}    0.90{col 54}{space 3}0.368{col 62}{space 4}-103.2299{col 75}{space 3} 276.4904
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 16}year {c |}
{space 15}1982  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-309.3966{col 34}{space 2} 118.7257{col 45}{space 1}   -2.61{col 54}{space 3}0.010{col 62}{space 4}-544.4069{col 75}{space 3}-74.38635
{txt}{space 15}1983  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 30.09302{col 34}{space 2} 152.3947{col 45}{space 1}    0.20{col 54}{space 3}0.844{col 62}{space 4} -271.563{col 75}{space 3}  331.749
{txt}{space 15}1984  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  261.267{col 34}{space 2} 116.4941{col 45}{space 1}    2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} 30.67401{col 75}{space 3} 491.8599
{txt}{space 15}1985  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-89.11895{col 34}{space 2} 165.1758{col 45}{space 1}   -0.54{col 54}{space 3}0.590{col 62}{space 4}-416.0743{col 75}{space 3} 237.8364
{txt}{space 15}1986  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 59.76395{col 34}{space 2}  161.787{col 45}{space 1}    0.37{col 54}{space 3}0.712{col 62}{space 4}-260.4836{col 75}{space 3} 380.0115
{txt}{space 15}1987  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-29.57239{col 34}{space 2} 126.6669{col 45}{space 1}   -0.23{col 54}{space 3}0.816{col 62}{space 4}-280.3018{col 75}{space 3}  221.157
{txt}{space 15}1988  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 158.8616{col 34}{space 2} 156.8138{col 45}{space 1}    1.01{col 54}{space 3}0.313{col 62}{space 4}-151.5418{col 75}{space 3} 469.2649
{txt}{space 15}1989  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 204.3825{col 34}{space 2} 157.4974{col 45}{space 1}    1.30{col 54}{space 3}0.197{col 62}{space 4}-107.3741{col 75}{space 3}  516.139
{txt}{space 15}1990  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-5.458694{col 34}{space 2} 167.6793{col 45}{space 1}   -0.03{col 54}{space 3}0.974{col 62}{space 4}-337.3696{col 75}{space 3} 326.4522
{txt}{space 15}1991  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 61.86946{col 34}{space 2} 154.0019{col 45}{space 1}    0.40{col 54}{space 3}0.689{col 62}{space 4}-242.9679{col 75}{space 3} 366.7068
{txt}{space 15}1992  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 444.4261{col 34}{space 2} 161.5449{col 45}{space 1}    2.75{col 54}{space 3}0.007{col 62}{space 4} 124.6579{col 75}{space 3} 764.1943
{txt}{space 15}1993  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 131.9184{col 34}{space 2} 179.7348{col 45}{space 1}    0.73{col 54}{space 3}0.464{col 62}{space 4}-223.8555{col 75}{space 3} 487.6923
{txt}{space 15}1994  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 471.1281{col 34}{space 2} 177.6687{col 45}{space 1}    2.65{col 54}{space 3}0.009{col 62}{space 4} 119.4437{col 75}{space 3} 822.8125
{txt}{space 15}1995  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 363.3765{col 34}{space 2} 183.5286{col 45}{space 1}    1.98{col 54}{space 3}0.050{col 62}{space 4} .0929491{col 75}{space 3}   726.66
{txt}{space 15}1996  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 327.7931{col 34}{space 2} 193.2515{col 45}{space 1}    1.70{col 54}{space 3}0.092{col 62}{space 4}-54.73649{col 75}{space 3} 710.3227
{txt}{space 15}1997  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 548.2924{col 34}{space 2} 186.1722{col 45}{space 1}    2.95{col 54}{space 3}0.004{col 62}{space 4} 179.7759{col 75}{space 3} 916.8088
{txt}{space 15}1998  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 690.5346{col 34}{space 2} 200.2446{col 45}{space 1}    3.45{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 294.1626{col 75}{space 3} 1086.907
{txt}{space 15}1999  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 282.3595{col 34}{space 2}  234.095{col 45}{space 1}    1.21{col 54}{space 3}0.230{col 62}{space 4}-181.0172{col 75}{space 3} 745.7361
{txt}{space 15}2000  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 562.9837{col 34}{space 2} 222.0783{col 45}{space 1}    2.54{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 123.3932{col 75}{space 3} 1002.574
{txt}{space 15}2001  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 602.5807{col 34}{space 2} 236.1624{col 45}{space 1}    2.55{col 54}{space 3}0.012{col 62}{space 4} 135.1118{col 75}{space 3}  1070.05
{txt}{space 15}2002  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 385.6593{col 34}{space 2} 265.5466{col 45}{space 1}    1.45{col 54}{space 3}0.149{col 62}{space 4}-139.9739{col 75}{space 3} 911.2926
{txt}{space 15}2003  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}  574.211{col 34}{space 2} 255.8228{col 45}{space 1}    2.24{col 54}{space 3}0.027{col 62}{space 4} 67.82545{col 75}{space 3} 1080.597
{txt}{space 15}2004  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 797.1627{col 34}{space 2} 264.4084{col 45}{space 1}    3.01{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 273.7825{col 75}{space 3} 1320.543
{txt}{space 15}2005  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 700.7766{col 34}{space 2} 295.3207{col 45}{space 1}    2.37{col 54}{space 3}0.019{col 62}{space 4} 116.2074{col 75}{space 3} 1285.346
{txt}{space 15}2006  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 991.3795{col 34}{space 2}  292.594{col 45}{space 1}    3.39{col 54}{space 3}0.001{col 62}{space 4} 412.2076{col 75}{space 3} 1570.552
{txt}{space 15}2007  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 842.4342{col 34}{space 2} 301.4181{col 45}{space 1}    2.79{col 54}{space 3}0.006{col 62}{space 4} 245.7956{col 75}{space 3} 1439.073
{txt}{space 15}2008  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 565.5226{col 34}{space 2} 309.1744{col 45}{space 1}    1.83{col 54}{space 3}0.070{col 62}{space 4}-46.46922{col 75}{space 3} 1177.514
{txt}{space 15}2009  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 192.8336{col 34}{space 2} 331.6077{col 45}{space 1}    0.58{col 54}{space 3}0.562{col 62}{space 4}-463.5635{col 75}{space 3} 849.2307
{txt}{space 15}2010  {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2} 977.6086{col 34}{space 2} 322.1826{col 45}{space 1}    3.03{col 54}{space 3}0.003{col 62}{space 4} 339.8679{col 75}{space 3} 1615.349
{txt}{space 20} {c |}
{space 15}_cons {c |}{col 22}{res}{space 2}-7595.639{col 34}{space 2} 5981.121{col 45}{space 1}   -1.27{col 54}{space 3}0.207{col 62}{space 4} -19434.9{col 75}{space 3} 4243.624
{txt}{hline 21}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict real_pc_inc_annhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,159 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   123) ={res}   10.15
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0018
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING INCOME FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENIETY)*
. 
. test l.real_pc_inc_ann = l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.real_pc_inc_ann - L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   123) ={res}    6.60
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0019
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.klarnerranney +  l.d.klarnerranney +  l2.d.klarnerranney +  l3.d.klarnerranney 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.klarnerranney + LD.klarnerranney + L2D.klarnerranney + L3D.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.060769{col 26}{space 2} 5.609901{col 37}{space 1}   -1.44{col 46}{space 3}0.153{col 54}{space 4}-19.16522{col 67}{space 3} 3.043686
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] 

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.klarnerranney]/-_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 13.14561{col 26}{space 2}  10.6668{col 37}{space 1}    1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.218{col 54}{space 4}-7.760929{col 67}{space 3} 34.05215
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. sum klarnerranney   if real_pc_inc_annhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

         {txt}Annual Ranney Measure of State Legislative
               Partisan Balance (Klarner Data)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 4.761905       4.761905
{txt} 5%    {res} 10.68726       4.761905
{txt}10%    {res} 16.38095        9.52381       {txt}Obs         {res}        180
{txt}25%    {res} 31.57509        9.52381       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        180

{txt}50%    {res} 63.89985                      {txt}Mean          {res} 56.61512
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res}  27.1913
{txt}75%    {res} 81.31313        97.9798
{txt}90%    {res}  89.7541       98.14165       {txt}Variance      {res}  739.367
{txt}95%    {res} 96.80926        98.9899       {txt}Skewness      {res}-.2488648
{txt}99%    {res}  98.9899       99.26367       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 1.789488
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  klarnerranney ON real_pc_inc_ann:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF klarnerranney FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD *
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818  -  (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*81.81818 - (_b[l.klarnerranney] / - _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann])*39.04762

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}real_pc_in~n{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 562.2451{col 26}{space 2} 456.2249{col 37}{space 1}    1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.218{col 54}{space 4}-331.9393{col 67}{space 3} 1456.429
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. qui reg d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}
{com}. estat ic

Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 63}
       Model {c |}        Obs  ll(null)  ll(model)      df         AIC        BIC
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
{ralign 12:.}{col 14}{c |}{res}{col 16}       180{col 27} -569.481{col 38}-526.1185{col 49}    53{col 58} 1158.237{col 69} 1327.464
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 63}
{p 15 21 2}
Note: N=Obs used in calculating BIC; see {helpb bic_note:[R] BIC note}.
{p_end}

{com}. 
. 
. ******PARTISAN COMPETITION EQUATION*********
. 
. newey d.klarnerranney  l.klarnerranney l.real_pc_inc_ann l.d.klarnerranney d.real_pc_inc_ann  l2.d.klarnerranney  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l3.d.klarnerranney l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l4.d.klarnerranney l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann  l.gov_party l.d.gov_party l.dem_unified l.d.dem_unified l.rep_unified l.d.rep_unified l.electedjudges1 l.d.electedjudges1  i.state_fips i.year if year >1980 & oldsouth==1, lag(5) force

{txt}Regression with Newey-West standard errors{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       180
{txt}maximum lag: {res}5{col 49}{txt}F( 51,       127){col 67}= {res}   2226.32
{col 49}{txt}Prob > F{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}  Newey-West
{col 1}D.klarnerranney{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      t{col 49}   P>|t|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1878988{col 29}{space 2} .0561401{col 40}{space 1}   -3.35{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4}-.2989899{col 70}{space 3}-.0768076
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0014631{col 29}{space 2} .0015797{col 40}{space 1}    0.93{col 49}{space 3}0.356{col 57}{space 4}-.0016628{col 70}{space 3} .0045889
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0231703{col 29}{space 2} .0951478{col 40}{space 1}    0.24{col 49}{space 3}0.808{col 57}{space 4}-.1651099{col 70}{space 3} .2114506
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}D1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .000471{col 29}{space 2} .0034238{col 40}{space 1}    0.14{col 49}{space 3}0.891{col 57}{space 4}-.0063042{col 70}{space 3} .0072461
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1555975{col 29}{space 2} .1044843{col 40}{space 1}    1.49{col 49}{space 3}0.139{col 57}{space 4}-.0511581{col 70}{space 3}  .362353
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0025764{col 29}{space 2}  .003404{col 40}{space 1}   -0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.451{col 57}{space 4}-.0093123{col 70}{space 3} .0041595
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0442404{col 29}{space 2}  .087158{col 40}{space 1}    0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.613{col 57}{space 4}-.1282296{col 70}{space 3} .2167103
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L2D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} -.000585{col 29}{space 2} .0020827{col 40}{space 1}   -0.28{col 49}{space 3}0.779{col 57}{space 4}-.0047064{col 70}{space 3} .0035363
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 2}klarnerranney {c |}
{space 11}L4D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.1066475{col 29}{space 2} .0836199{col 40}{space 1}   -1.28{col 49}{space 3}0.205{col 57}{space 4}-.2721161{col 70}{space 3} .0588212
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
real_pc_inc_ann {c |}
{space 11}L3D. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .002411{col 29}{space 2} .0034522{col 40}{space 1}    0.70{col 49}{space 3}0.486{col 57}{space 4}-.0044204{col 70}{space 3} .0092424
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 6}gov_party {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-8.065447{col 29}{space 2}  2.09562{col 40}{space 1}   -3.85{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} -12.2123{col 70}{space 3}-3.918594
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.343623{col 29}{space 2} 2.104624{col 40}{space 1}    4.44{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 5.178953{col 70}{space 3} 13.50829
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}dem_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.718039{col 29}{space 2} 2.628204{col 40}{space 1}    3.32{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} 3.517297{col 70}{space 3} 13.91878
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-10.13307{col 29}{space 2} 2.241608{col 40}{space 1}   -4.52{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} -14.5688{col 70}{space 3}-5.697328
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}rep_unified {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-7.755225{col 29}{space 2} 2.676938{col 40}{space 1}   -2.90{col 49}{space 3}0.004{col 57}{space 4} -13.0524{col 70}{space 3}-2.458047
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 11.88386{col 29}{space 2} 3.849346{col 40}{space 1}    3.09{col 49}{space 3}0.002{col 57}{space 4} 4.266703{col 70}{space 3} 19.50103
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 1}electedjudges1 {c |}
{space 12}L1. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.949107{col 29}{space 2} 2.431107{col 40}{space 1}    2.04{col 49}{space 3}0.044{col 57}{space 4} .1383847{col 70}{space 3} 9.759829
{txt}{space 12}LD. {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-2.784393{col 29}{space 2} 4.774505{col 40}{space 1}   -0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.561{col 57}{space 4}-12.23228{col 70}{space 3}  6.66349
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 5}state_fips {c |}
{space 13}5  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-1.873856{col 29}{space 2} 1.897025{col 40}{space 1}   -0.99{col 49}{space 3}0.325{col 57}{space 4}-5.627728{col 70}{space 3} 1.880015
{txt}{space 12}22  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.5094926{col 29}{space 2} 1.229214{col 40}{space 1}   -0.41{col 49}{space 3}0.679{col 57}{space 4}-2.941886{col 70}{space 3} 1.922901
{txt}{space 12}28  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.089214{col 29}{space 2} 2.784445{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.454{col 57}{space 4}-3.420701{col 70}{space 3} 7.599129
{txt}{space 12}45  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.87556{col 29}{space 2} 3.637197{col 40}{space 1}    2.99{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}   3.6782{col 70}{space 3} 18.07291
{txt}{space 12}47  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.023178{col 29}{space 2}  3.13291{col 40}{space 1}    1.92{col 49}{space 3}0.057{col 57}{space 4} -.176285{col 70}{space 3} 12.22264
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 11}year {c |}
{space 10}1982  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.015303{col 29}{space 2} 2.371073{col 40}{space 1}    0.43{col 49}{space 3}0.669{col 57}{space 4}-3.676623{col 70}{space 3} 5.707228
{txt}{space 10}1983  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.100689{col 29}{space 2} 3.544723{col 40}{space 1}    1.16{col 49}{space 3}0.250{col 57}{space 4}-2.913678{col 70}{space 3} 11.11506
{txt}{space 10}1984  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8352281{col 29}{space 2} 2.492176{col 40}{space 1}    0.34{col 49}{space 3}0.738{col 57}{space 4}-4.096338{col 70}{space 3} 5.766794
{txt}{space 10}1985  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.929515{col 29}{space 2} 4.896681{col 40}{space 1}    1.82{col 49}{space 3}0.071{col 57}{space 4}-.7601324{col 70}{space 3} 18.61916
{txt}{space 10}1986  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0701862{col 29}{space 2} 2.973313{col 40}{space 1}    0.02{col 49}{space 3}0.981{col 57}{space 4}-5.813463{col 70}{space 3} 5.953836
{txt}{space 10}1987  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.260494{col 29}{space 2}  4.30377{col 40}{space 1}    0.76{col 49}{space 3}0.450{col 57}{space 4} -5.25589{col 70}{space 3} 11.77688
{txt}{space 10}1988  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.103248{col 29}{space 2} 3.089372{col 40}{space 1}    0.36{col 49}{space 3}0.722{col 57}{space 4}-5.010062{col 70}{space 3} 7.216558
{txt}{space 10}1989  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.806265{col 29}{space 2} 4.170777{col 40}{space 1}    1.15{col 49}{space 3}0.251{col 57}{space 4} -3.44695{col 70}{space 3} 13.05948
{txt}{space 10}1990  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 2.899667{col 29}{space 2} 3.891886{col 40}{space 1}    0.75{col 49}{space 3}0.458{col 57}{space 4}-4.801673{col 70}{space 3} 10.60101
{txt}{space 10}1991  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.148738{col 29}{space 2} 3.996593{col 40}{space 1}    1.04{col 49}{space 3}0.301{col 57}{space 4}-3.759799{col 70}{space 3} 12.05728
{txt}{space 10}1992  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.486453{col 29}{space 2} 4.286581{col 40}{space 1}    0.35{col 49}{space 3}0.729{col 57}{space 4}-6.995917{col 70}{space 3} 9.968822
{txt}{space 10}1993  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.623164{col 29}{space 2} 5.027161{col 40}{space 1}    1.12{col 49}{space 3}0.265{col 57}{space 4} -4.32468{col 70}{space 3} 15.57101
{txt}{space 10}1994  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.265363{col 29}{space 2} 5.363088{col 40}{space 1}    0.80{col 49}{space 3}0.428{col 57}{space 4}-6.347222{col 70}{space 3} 14.87795
{txt}{space 10}1995  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 12.15367{col 29}{space 2} 5.627578{col 40}{space 1}    2.16{col 49}{space 3}0.033{col 57}{space 4} 1.017706{col 70}{space 3} 23.28963
{txt}{space 10}1996  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 10.29433{col 29}{space 2} 7.983574{col 40}{space 1}    1.29{col 49}{space 3}0.200{col 57}{space 4}-5.503723{col 70}{space 3} 26.09238
{txt}{space 10}1997  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.844347{col 29}{space 2} 5.826826{col 40}{space 1}    0.66{col 49}{space 3}0.511{col 57}{space 4}-7.685889{col 70}{space 3} 15.37458
{txt}{space 10}1998  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 3.911583{col 29}{space 2} 6.738804{col 40}{space 1}    0.58{col 49}{space 3}0.563{col 57}{space 4}-9.423294{col 70}{space 3} 17.24646
{txt}{space 10}1999  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.193217{col 29}{space 2} 7.027991{col 40}{space 1}    1.17{col 49}{space 3}0.246{col 57}{space 4} -5.71391{col 70}{space 3} 22.10034
{txt}{space 10}2000  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.937149{col 29}{space 2} 7.110445{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.489{col 57}{space 4}-9.133139{col 70}{space 3} 19.00744
{txt}{space 10}2001  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.349768{col 29}{space 2} 7.032248{col 40}{space 1}    1.05{col 49}{space 3}0.298{col 57}{space 4}-6.565783{col 70}{space 3} 21.26532
{txt}{space 10}2002  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 5.158746{col 29}{space 2} 7.869953{col 40}{space 1}    0.66{col 49}{space 3}0.513{col 57}{space 4}-10.41447{col 70}{space 3} 20.73196
{txt}{space 10}2003  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.996435{col 29}{space 2} 8.049865{col 40}{space 1}    0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.386{col 57}{space 4}-8.932795{col 70}{space 3} 22.92566
{txt}{space 10}2004  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  5.96794{col 29}{space 2} 8.060196{col 40}{space 1}    0.74{col 49}{space 3}0.460{col 57}{space 4}-9.981733{col 70}{space 3} 21.91761
{txt}{space 10}2005  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 8.000452{col 29}{space 2} 9.236961{col 40}{space 1}    0.87{col 49}{space 3}0.388{col 57}{space 4}-10.27783{col 70}{space 3} 26.27873
{txt}{space 10}2006  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 4.966685{col 29}{space 2} 9.355417{col 40}{space 1}    0.53{col 49}{space 3}0.596{col 57}{space 4}  -13.546{col 70}{space 3} 23.47937
{txt}{space 10}2007  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 9.162607{col 29}{space 2} 9.454266{col 40}{space 1}    0.97{col 49}{space 3}0.334{col 57}{space 4}-9.545679{col 70}{space 3} 27.87089
{txt}{space 10}2008  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.845646{col 29}{space 2} 9.922359{col 40}{space 1}    0.69{col 49}{space 3}0.492{col 57}{space 4}-12.78891{col 70}{space 3}  26.4802
{txt}{space 10}2009  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 6.823693{col 29}{space 2} 9.646819{col 40}{space 1}    0.71{col 49}{space 3}0.481{col 57}{space 4}-12.26562{col 70}{space 3} 25.91301
{txt}{space 10}2010  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 7.649241{col 29}{space 2} 15.11258{col 40}{space 1}    0.51{col 49}{space 3}0.614{col 57}{space 4}-22.25582{col 70}{space 3} 37.55431
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-17.69611{col 29}{space 2}  15.9924{col 40}{space 1}   -1.11{col 49}{space 3}0.271{col 57}{space 4}-49.34218{col 70}{space 3} 13.94996
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. predict klarnerranneyhatallpost if year>1980 & oldsouth==1
{txt}(option xb assumed; fitted values)
(3,159 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. * 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION ERROR CORRECTION RATE *
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  1,   127) ={res}   11.20
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0011
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING PARTISAN COMPETITION FOR COINTEGRATION VIA LONG-RUN COEFFICIENT JOINT EQUALITY WITH ZERO (WEAK EXOGENEITY)*
. 
. test l.klarnerranney = l.real_pc_inc_ann = 0

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}L.klarnerranney - L.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} L.klarnerranney = 0{p_end}

{txt}       F(  2,   127) ={res}    5.78
{txt}{col 13}Prob > F ={res}    0.0040
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. * ESTIMATING CUMULATIVE SHORT-RUN EFFECTS FOR NON-LEFT-HAND SIDE VARIABLE *
. 
. lincom  d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l2.d.real_pc_inc_ann  +  l3.d.real_pc_inc_ann 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}D.real_pc_inc_ann + LD.real_pc_inc_ann + L2D.real_pc_inc_ann + L3D.real_pc_inc_ann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002795{col 26}{space 2} .0052349{col 37}{space 1}   -0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.957{col 54}{space 4}-.0106384{col 67}{space 3} .0100793
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. * TESTING FOR LONG-RUN MULTIPLIER EFFECT *
. 
. nlcom _b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann]/-_b[l.klarnerranney]

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0077864{col 26}{space 2} .0084968{col 37}{space 1}    0.92{col 46}{space 3}0.359{col 54}{space 4} -.008867{col 67}{space 3} .0244398
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. sum real_pc_inc_ann   if klarnerranneyhatallpost!=. & year > 1980 & oldsouth==1, detail

        {txt}Per Capita Annual Income (1982-1984 Constant
                          Dollars)
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 8604.584       8530.043
{txt} 5%    {res} 9436.156       8604.584
{txt}10%    {res} 10034.57       8624.711       {txt}Obs         {res}        180
{txt}25%    {res}  11107.3       9026.411       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        180

{txt}50%    {res} 12697.21                      {txt}Mean          {res} 12770.52
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 2083.081
{txt}75%    {res} 14369.93       16862.75
{txt}90%    {res} 15489.77       16986.17       {txt}Variance      {res}  4339228
{txt}95%    {res} 16037.44        17263.1       {txt}Skewness      {res} .0442403
{txt}99%    {res}  17263.1       17584.98       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 2.170782
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. * TOTAL/DYNAMIC MULTIPLIER & BASELINE LONG-RUN EFFECTS  OF  real_pc_inc_ann ON klarnerranney:  75TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann MINUS 25TH PERCENTILE VALUE OF real_pc_inc_ann FOR EFFECTIVE SAMPLE PERIOD 
. 
. 
. nlcom  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06   -  (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

       {txt}_nl_1:  {res}(_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 14367.06 - (_b[l.real_pc_inc_ann] / - _b[l.klarnerranney])* 11208.2

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}D.          {col 14}{c |}
{col 1}klarnerran~y{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_nl_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 24.59612{col 26}{space 2} 26.84015{col 37}{space 1}    0.92{col 46}{space 3}0.359{col 54}{space 4}-28.00962{col 67}{space 3} 77.20185
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. restore
{txt}
{com}. 
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. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\mzarit\Documents\Regional_Convergence_Krause&Zarit_12-27-2015_CONFEDERACY_SOUTH.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}27 Dec 2015, 21:22:28
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}